The Biggest Start/Sit Decisions for Week 11 (Fantasy Football)
“If he gets a touchdown, I will *literally* be frightened of you for the rest of my life.”
— Jason Moore, on Andy Holloway’s latest TD guarantee
Bonjour, Footclan! Welcome to Week 11 of the Start/Sit series, where we’ll identify and discuss your most commonly asked “Who should I start?” questions for the week.
The projections between any two players on your roster may appear similar, but this “simple” choice could be the difference between your team’s victory or defeat. Luckily, the Fantasy Footballers have created an amazing Start/Sit tool to easily compare any two (or more) players with insight from the Ballers themselves, and trust me — it’s an extremely valuable asset that will help you make these crucial lineup decisions that could ultimately lead you to your #FootClanTitle. Please note that the Footballers’ rankings are constantly being updated as news breaks, so make sure you check out the tool for yourself to catch any last-second changes.
So, without further ado, let’s kick things off with the most popular Start/Sit questions for Week 11:
Featured Matchup
QB:
Lamar Jackson (BAL) or Justin Fields (CHI)?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 20.3 | 20.5 |
| Andy Rank | QB #2 | QB #4 |
| Mike Rank | QB #5 | QB #3 |
| Jason Rank | QB #4 | QB #2 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 18 | 25 |
| Home/Away | Home | Away |
| Over/Under | 41.5 | 49 |
| Line | -13 | +3.5 |
Lamar Jackson hasn’t quite been the league-winning QB we expected him to be. Don’t get me wrong, he’s still a must-start thanks to his legs (averages 70.6 rushing yards per game), but he’s struggled through the air after losing his lead wideout, Rashod Bateman. In Weeks 1-4 when Bateman was fully healthy (pre-foot injury), Jackson averaged 223.3 passing yards and nearly three passing TDs per game. After Bateman’s injury, those numbers dwindled to 175 passing yards and one TD. It doesn’t help that he also lost his trusty TE Mark Andrews, though there’s a chance he’ll return this week. Nevertheless, Jackson is a strong start this week against an exploitable Panthers team.
There’s heating up, then there’s catching fire…and then there’s Justin Fields.
JUSTIN FIELDS IS ON A DIFFERENT LEVEL RIGHT NOW. pic.twitter.com/UYpFgtWkYj
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) November 13, 2022
After the team finally decided to incorporate more run plays for him, Fields’ output skyrocketed to historic levels, rushing for 325 yards and three TDs in his last two games. In fact, he’s scored one or more rushing TDs in his last four weeks. At this point, you have to stay in the flames inferno with the blazing sophomore QB. He also has a salivating matchup against an extremely charitable Falcons defense in a game that has the highest over/under on the main slate.
The Verdict
Justin Fields
WR:
Kadarius Toney (KC) or Joshua Palmer (LAC)?
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 11.2 | 10.6 |
| Andy Rank | WR #25 | WR #28 |
| Mike Rank | WR #29 | WR #28 |
| Jason Rank | WR #16 | WR #28 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 12 | 28 |
| Home/Away | Away | Home |
| Over/Under | 50 | 50 |
| Line | -6 | +6 |
This is the dawning of the age of Kadarius. Sure, he only had five targets in his KC breakout game, and Patrick Mahomes will certainly spread the ball around, but his 29.4% targets per route run is a promising sign of things to come. Toney also saw two designed run plays, meaning Andy Reid is going to scheme ways to show off his newest toy. JuJu Smith-Schuster is dealing with a concussion while Mecole Hardman was just placed on IR, so all signs point to another eruption spot.
Meanwhile, Josh Palmer is coming off a dud performance despite seeing eight targets (3-44-0). That was without Keenan Allen and Mike Williams active, AND Gerald Everett left the game early due to an “Agggggh! Ma groin!” injury. The matchup is great, but this could end up being another week where DeAndre Carter blows up instead. Not to mention, Allen and Williams might return. If they’re out, Palmer is worth starting, but Toney’s upside is too tantalizing.
The Verdict
Kadarius Toney
RB:
Isiah Pacheco (KC) or Brian Robinson (WAS)?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 10.9 | 11.4 |
| Andy Rank | RB #23 | RB #26 |
| Mike Rank | RB #22 | RB #17 |
| Jason Rank | RB #23 | RB #17 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 31 | 32 |
| Home/Away | Away | Away |
| Over/Under | 50 | 40.5 |
| Line | -6 | -3.5 |
Two unexpected rookie RB starters that you probably got off waivers with amazing matchups. Both guys are in play, but you gotta go with Brian Robinson here because of his proven utilization. Robinson is averaging 16.2 opportunities (carries + targets) per game on the season; Isiah Pacheco has never surpassed that number despite playing three more games.
Robinson also has twice as many rushing attempts inside the five, so he’s a better bet to find the endzone. The arrow is clearly pointing up for Pacheco, but we know Robinson will get a strong workload, and he should be able to run all over Houston and their league’s WORST defense in both regular AND schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed for opposing RBs.
The Verdict
Brian Robinson
TE:
Cole Kmet (CHI) or Greg Dulcich (DEN)?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 7.8 | 8.5 |
| Andy Rank | TE #11 | TE #6 |
| Mike Rank | TE #10 | TE #6 |
| Jason Rank | TE #9 | TE #7 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 20 | 29 |
| Home/Away | Away | Home |
| Over/Under | 49 | 41.5 |
| Line | +3.5 | -3 |
I already spoke about Justin Fields‘ resurgence, and the same goes for Cole Kmet, who is coming off back-to-back weeks of two-score games. He also scored in Week 8 and is fantasy’s TE1 in that timespan. Heck, he’s even the TE1 since Week 7, and he only managed 4.2 fantasy points in that game. He is dealing with a thigh injury, so monitor reports if you plan on taking a trip back down to Kolekomo, but he is expected to play and should resume his role as Fields’ trusty weapon.
But the Ballers unanimously have Greg Dulcich ranked higher despite coming off a putrid one-catch game where he only managed 11 scoreless yards. Why? Because he gets to play against the Las Vegas Raiders, meaning he (and basically any opposing offensive skill player) has a great chance of cashing in. The Broncos haven’t been trustworthy, but Dulcich is seeing enough usage and should be leaned on heavily with Jerry Jeudy expected out.
The Verdict
Greg Dulcich
D/ST:
Cincinnati Bengals or Washington Commanders?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | – | – |
| Andy Rank | D #9 | D #11 |
| Mike Rank | D #6 | D #10 |
| Jason Rank | D #10 | D #9 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 30 | 25 |
| Home/Away | Away | Away |
| Over/Under | 41 | 40.5 |
| Line | -4 | -3.5 |
Both D/STs are great streaming options this week as they’re both good real-life defenses that are facing terrible, turnover-friendly offenses. However, I’m siding with an underrated Commanders team, who will be riding the momentum after a huge upset win over the previously undefeated Eagles. If standout DE Chase Young makes his long-awaited return as he’s expected to, then it’s an even easier choice for me. The Bengals are sure to do just fine with Kenny Pickett handling the ball against them, but they’ll miss having CB Chidobe Awuzie covering the field.
The Verdict
Washington Commanders
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