Dynasty Trade Targets + Rookie Sleepers, Salty Naps
Dynasty trades and more! On today’s fantasy football podcast, Andy, Mike, and Jason each give a player to trade for and trade away in dynasty leagues! Plus, favorite sleepers in rookie drafts, or sitting on dynasty waiver wires! Manage your redraft, keeper, and dynasty fantasy football teams with the #1 fantasy football podcast. — Fantasy Football Podcast for May 11th, 2023.
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Summary:
Introductions 00:00
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On today’s episode, the hosts talk about trade for and away candidates in the context of dynasty fantasy football.
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One of the hosts, Jason Moore, attempts to stay awake throughout the episode.
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Jonathan Taylor, a running back for the Indianapolis Colts, introduces the podcast hosts.
Dynasty Week 02:39
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The episode is part of a series called Dynasty Week.
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The hosts discuss their championship wins in a dynasty league.
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They mention a podcast specific to dynasty fantasy football that was released recently.
Drake London Discussion 03:06
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The hosts bring up a player named Drake London.
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They mention that he was difficult to rank in a dynasty context.
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London had impressive college production, but his NFL situation was unfavorable.
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One of the hosts lists where London ranks in his redraft rankings.
Upside Ranking 04:57
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The hosts introduce the concept of an “upside meter” for their Ultimate Draft Kit.
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They discuss how a player like Drake London might have a low ranking in redraft leagues due to his unfavorable situation, but could have a high upside.
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The hosts give examples of other players, like Mike Williams and Calvin Ridley, who might have lower upside than London.
Shooting for the Moon 05:34
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The hosts talk about the strategy of drafting players with high upside in order to win a league.
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They emphasize the importance of having a mix of “safe” players and players with high potential.
FootclanGiveaway.com 06:20
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Giveaway for a sweet Justin Jefferson-signed jersey.
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To enter this giveaway, head over to FootclanGiveaway.com.
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There are a couple of ways to get entries to win.
Quick Question 06:36
- Favorite Player going into the third round or later of rookie drafts
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Michael Wilson is a wide receiver for the Arizona Cardinals, who was drafted in day 2.
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Although many of us were unfamiliar with him, the video team scouts players extensively and is surprised he slipped under their radar.
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Wilson is a graduate student who attended Stanford with a string of injuries.
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His final years in college football were plagued by injuries, which might have contributed to his draft value declining.
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Wilson has NFL prototypical size, athleticism, and successful wide receiver statistics, which makes him a good addition to the team.
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The Cardinals drafted him to swing for the upside as well.
- Cedric Tillman is a wide receiver from Tennessee drafted by the Cleveland Browns over a dynasty span.
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Dallas Cowboys got another tight end, Luke Schoonmaker, who has a clear path to be the starting tight end and pass catcher for week one.
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Despite being older for a rookie 00:25, he has short yard and short area quickness.
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The pick for the Detroit Lions as a tight end is Sam Laporta who might have early success and the ability to establish himself in a dynasty league.
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Sam Laporta is a better option than Luke Shoemaker when it comes to dynasty drafts and he could have a better fantasy career than Dalton Kincaid or Michael Mayer.
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It’s wise to take second round wide receivers at the beginning of the rookie drafts and grab tight ends in the back half.
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Tight ends and lower quarterbacks tend to drop in rookie drafts due to their potentially delayed impact.
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Foster Moreau signed a three-year $12M deal, including $8M guaranteed with the New Orleans Saints.
Foster Moreau‘s situation and playing in 2023 16:50
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Discovering his lymphoma early and getting treatment is good news for Monroe.
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Reports suggest that Moreau wants to play in 2023.
NFL teams and international games 17:31
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The NFL schedule for the year has been released.
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The Jacksonville Jaguars will play in England.
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There may be four teams and even their own division in Europe in the future.
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There is excitement regarding the stadium names in Europe.
Miles Sanders: three-down back 19:32
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The goal is to get Miles Sanders back to where he was as a rookie.
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He may be a three-down back and may catch more passes.
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Mike believes wholeheartedly that he will have a fantastic season.
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He is confident in Sanders being ranked high.
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Sanders is a player to target in dynasty trades.
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He will get every opportunity, and there is no other player in his team.
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He is capable of being a pass-catching running back.
Fantasy Football Trade Targets and Rookie Sleepers 20:52
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Bryce Young is a promising quarterback but the key to his success is the running back Jameer Gibbs who has a high check-down rate.
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Rookie quarterbacks target their running backs slightly above league average, with a 20.4% target share since 2014.
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Miles Sanders could be very valuable if he ends up with a higher target share than he had in Philadelphia, perhaps a 16 or 17% target share, making him worthy of fantasy football consideration.
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There is speculation that Romeo Dobbs will lead the Packers in receptions this season, but some have their doubts.
Packers WR Corps 21:43
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The Athletic predicts Romeo Doubs will lead the Packers in receptions this season.
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Jaden Reed’s contribution to the team’s offense as a rookie is unclear, and there are a few other options.
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Christian Watson is unlikely to be a high-volume guy as he was last year.
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Dobbs and Watson had similar reception stats last year with Dobbs at 42 and Watson at 41, but Dobbs played one fewer game than Watson.
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It’s possible Dobbs could be the PPR for the team, but the hype regarding his talent is not wholly justified.
The Future of Rookie Receivers 23:43
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Dobbs had a solid rookie season before getting injured and was on track for 100 targets, 63 receptions, and 629 yards before he was sidelined.
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This was a strong performance for a fourth-round wide receiver.
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There is little certainty about rookie receiver Jaden Reed and his potential contribution to the Packers’ offense.
Sneak Peek into Dynasty Week 23:51
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“The Fantasy Footballers” announce that it is “Dynasty Week.”
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A big announcement is coming next week; viewers are urged not to miss it.
Salty Naps and the Things We’ll Do for the Show 24:10
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The podcasters take a break, and when they return, they mention a huge sandwich they consumed.
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The salt on the sandwich was spilled all over it, earning the phrase ‘salty nap.’
Salty Naps 25:13
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The hosts discuss how the excessive salt content of the food could lead to sleepiness.
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They joke about losing their audience’s attention and move on to the next topic.
Dynasty Trade Targets and Candidates 25:40
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The hosts share their top dynasty trade targets and candidates for the season.
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They mention that these are their opinions, and the audience should evaluate and make their own decisions based on their teams’ needs and strategies.
Trade for Candidate – Nick Chubb 26:32
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Nick Chubb is a trade for candidate for dynasty leagues.
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He is a 27-year-old running back for the Cleveland Browns under contract for two more years.
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Chubb was the number one running back for the first eight weeks of last season despite not being ranked near the top 5.
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Cleveland has a barren backfield, and Chubb is projected to have an excellent season.
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The trade depends on one’s beliefs about Cleveland’s offense and whether a younger player is preferred.
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Chubb is a two-year championship window acquisition for a team that is looking to close the gap and win.
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He is a top-level runner, rushing for at least 5 yards per carry every year for five straight years.
Trade Away Candidate 28:17
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The hosts discuss the strategy of capitalizing on running backs in their second contract and trading them away for a young running back and a first-round pick or something replenishing.
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One should evaluate their team’s window and needs before deciding to trade away a player like Nick Chubb.
Nick Chubb‘s Trade Target 29:44
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Nick Chubb had a great season last year with 12 rushing touchdowns.
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However, from week 13 through the end of the year, he was on pace for a 17 game pace of zero rushing touchdowns.
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He was still in pace for almost 1400 rushing yards in the DeSean Watson stretch, but the fact that he scored no rushing touchdowns, that hurts.
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The fear of him not getting enough rushing touchdowns can be put into somebody else and he may be acquired.
Jason’s Dynasty League Trade For Candidate: JK Dobbins 30:30
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JK Dobbins is a great trade target in a Dynasty League.
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He had a rookie season where he showed flashes of brilliance and he showed more last year despite having an injury mid-way through the year.
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During his final four games, he was able to put together some insane numbers, averaging 99.3 yards per game and scoring multiple touchdowns
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The Baltimore offense he plays in is very promising and with the addition of the new receiver situation for Lamar Jackson, it’s only going to get better.
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The volume in the ground game is expected to be great as JK Dobbins was on pace for roughly 242 rushing attempts.
Baltimore offense improvement 33:54
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The Baltimore offense will likely be much better than last year due to the improved wide receiver corps.
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The additional wide receivers in the lineup prevent opponents from stacking the box.
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The increased opportunities to move the ball lead to more touchdowns.
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Without Lamar Jackson carrying the ball so much, JK Dobbins will have more opportunities to carry the ball.
Trades for JK Dobbins 34:29
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Some older running backs that could be moved to pick up JK Dobbins include Dalvin Cook and Derek Henry.
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The perceived value of JK Dobbins is not high.
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Alexander Madison could also be an appealing pick up as a potential starting running back for the Minnesota Vikings if Dalvin Cook is traded.
Trading for Alexander Mattison 37:55
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If you trade for Alexander Mattison in June, you’ll pay more because there’s a risk he may not be traded.
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A good trade opportunity would be a second-round pick, but it’s a risky call since the success rate of second-round picks is low.
Alexander Mattison vs Malcolm Brown‘s Deals 38:42
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Madison’s $7m deal is almost fully guaranteed over the next two years.
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This is very similar to Malcolm Brown‘s $5.6m deal.
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The Vikings might be willing to go into the season with only Madison since Ty Chandler is unproven and McBride was a late-round pick.
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They could add someone else if need be, but it has to be cost-efficient since they can’t afford to clear Dalvin Cook‘s money or take his dead cap.
Trade Candidate: Saquon Barkley 40:50
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Owners of Saquon Barkley in dynasty leagues should trade him now because he’s on the franchise tag.
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His long-term offer was rescinded by the Giants, making him a risky investment.
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Saquon’s value is very high right now, but he’s not aged out and still seen as a young, athletic workhorse back.
Trading Saquon Barkley in Dynasty 41:32
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The hosts discuss trading Saquon Barkley in dynasty leagues.
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It is suggested that Barkley’s value is high due to popularity, but it is uncertain what team he will play for next year.
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The hosts recommend trading Barkley for a younger, longer window running back who is still very good.
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Suggestions are Travis ETN and Miles Sanders, among others.
Jonathan Taylor trade targets and strategies 46:00
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According to the video creators, Jonathan Taylor is going to have a big year in 2023 as he is likely to be a top 10 running back in redraft leagues.
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However, the video also suggests that trading Taylor could be a wise move if the right offer comes along.
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The creators believe that Taylor’s value could potentially decrease in the future as he gets older or if the Colts offense underperforms.
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They suggest trading him for a player who is performing at the same level currently like Saquon Barkley or Josh Jacobs or a hall of fame type trade offer.
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There is a good chance that Taylor’s value could increase if he has a monster year in the upcoming season.
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One of the creators admits that he traded for Taylor last year after the running back had a great season, and he thinks that other fantasy owners could potentially make the same mistake.
Selling Jonathan Taylor‘s potential 46:45
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JJ Zachariason thinks that Jonathan Taylor could be a valuable trade target because some fantasy owners still remember his dominant 2022 season when they consider his potential.
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He believes that the potential for a return to glory for Taylor could convince some owners to trade for him despite the risks.
The potential risks associated with Jonathan Taylor 47:44
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The video creators discuss the potential risks associated with Jonathan Taylor, who is currently being touted as a top 10 running back in redraft leagues.
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They mention that the Colts offense could struggle with a new offensive coordinator and quarterback Anthony Richardson
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They suggest that Taylor’s production could decrease if the offense underperforms, which would hurt his trade value.
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The creators also note that historically, the ceiling for running backs tends to be lower when the quarterback is an elite rushing quarterback, which could limit Taylor’s production if Richardson has a great year.
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However, if the Colts offense performs well in the upcoming season, Taylor’s value could increase.
Trade away Aaron Jones 47:54
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The video creators discuss the risks associated with keeping Aaron Jones, the Green Bay Packers running back.
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They note that Jones is aging (28.5 years old) and still has two years left on his contract, so the Packers will need to decide whether to pay him a lot of money or trade him away.
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Jones’s success is also tied to the performance of Jordan Love, who is taking over from Aaron Rodgers as the starting quarterback.
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The creators note that the Packers showed a lack of confidence in Love by not giving him the fifth-year option, which could negatively impact Jones’s production.
Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon‘s Future with the Packers 50:19
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The Packers gave Aaron Jones a two-year extension, but it is speculated that they may release him next year to save some money.
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If they release him, the Packers will have to take the cap hit.
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There’s a possibility that Aaron Jones will play in the upcoming season and then be done with or looking for another team.
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With Jordan Love at quarterback, there will be a reset of values in Green Bay.
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Nobody knows what to expect from Jordan Love since we saw very little from him last year.
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In the Dynasty format, projecting a couple of years ahead, it’s going to be interesting to watch the Packers’ identity and what they’re trying to build.
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Aaron Jones is gone, and AJ Dillon is in the last year of his contract.
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AJ Dillon doesn’t seem like the future there and had a not-so-great year last year.
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AJ Dillon‘s average carry was 3.9 last year, which was a bit of a letdown from what was hoped for.
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It looks like AJ Dillon will get a committee contract, and he may get a contract in the same range as David Montgomery‘s.
Conclusion 52:10
- The hosts announce the Justin Jefferson signed jersey at FootclanGiveaway.com and mention a mega-sized announcement coming up in the next show.