The Fantasy Footballers’ Starts of the Week for Week 14

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Every week of the fantasy season feels like the most crucial one to come, but Week 14 is a truly critical week of the fantasy season. With only two teams on bye, you have a fortunate number of players available for your roster before the playoffs start for many next week. Whether you have all your players or not, getting advice from a trusted source can be incredibly helpful this time of year. Enter The Fantasy Footballers to bring you the guidance you need. On Thursday’s episode, Andy, Mike, and Jason laid out their Starts of the Week to bring you confidence and clarity for your rosters. Check out the YouTube link below if you want to watch the full episode.

You must ensure that you connect with our fantasy community, and if you aren’t, pause your reading, go to jointhefoot.com, and become a member of the #FootClan. Also, make sure you are a part of our Discord community, where you can find a very active group of like-minded fantasy lovers. Now, let’s dive into The Fantasy Footballers’ Starts of the Week for Week 14.

Andy’s Starts of the Week

QB – Tua Tagovailoa vs. TEN

The Dolphins’ recipe has been to beat up the bad teams all year. When Miami is home, he averages 308 yards, 2.8 touchdowns, and 21+ fantasy points per game. The Dolphins have a 30.3 team implied total, the highest of Week 14. Tua has so many weapons to make big plays that he doesn’t have to do all the work himself. Tennessee is allowing the sixth-highest yards per attempt this season, tied with Arizona. Trust Tua this week; know this is the kind of matchup where he thrives.

RB – De’Von Achane vs. TEN

When Achane plays, he is something special. Last week, Achane had two touchdowns, averaging 9.5 yards per carry. In the four games where he has only 10% of the team’s snaps, he has finished as the RB1, RB4, RB4, and RB4. The Titans have been a red-light-green-light team against the run over the last month. The Dolphins have the highest team implied total of the week, and when Achane plays, he has been a significant contributor to the offense. You do not want to miss out on his explosive ability.

WR – Garrett Wilson vs. HOU

This week brings the reestablishment of the Wilson-to-Wilson connection. In the 10 Zach Wilson starts this year, Garrett Wilson has averaged 10 targets and 65 receiving yards per game. In the non-Zach Wilson starts Garrett Wilson has only received 47 yards per game. You might feel like there is a “lack of ceiling.” However, the only other WRs with 28%+ target share and 40%+ of their teams’ air yards are Tyreek Hill, A.J. Brown, and Davante Adams. Houston has allowed points to opposing passing games, as they rank 26th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points to the WR position. The concern with Zach Wilson is fair, but this could be a matchup where you get a higher output from Garrett Wilson down the stretch.

TE – Brevin Jordan (or Dalton Schultz) @ NYJ

Schultz was limited in practice Wednesday with a hamstring injury. If Schultz is out, Jordan should be a good play, and if Schultz plays, then you should feel safe to put him in. The Texans’ TE position has been somewhat valuable; they are seventh in fantasy points scored, sixth in receiving touchdowns, and sixth in yards per reception. The Texans face off with a Jets defense that has been weak against the TE, ranking 27th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs. Whichever of the Texans’ TE is the starter is the one you should feel good putting in your lineup.

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Jason’s Starts of the Week

QB – Brock Purdy vs. SEA

It seems weird to encourage people to play the current favorite for the NFL MVP in their lineups, but that is what Jason has to do. He isn’t a big-name player, and Jason does have some players he would play over Purdy: Dak, Tua, Hurst, and Josh Allen. That’s the end of the list. Purdy is number one in expected points per pass attempt and has the second-highest yards per attempt of all time at 9.6 yards. The 49ers just put up 31 points against Seattle, and there is no reason to think they couldn’t do it again.

RB – Joe Mixon vs. IND

Mixon got into the end zone twice last week, and if Jake Browning continues to be successful, then Mixon has his upside back. He has one of the most secure roles as an RB in all football. Mixon gets 88% of the team’s rushing attempts; only Josh Jacobs has more. Mixon receives 81% of the team’s RB targets and is on pace for 323 opportunities this year. The Colts have allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns and the seventh-most rushing yards per game. It should be an excellent matchup for Mixon to continue being a fantasy difference-maker.

WR – Brandin Cooks vs. PHI

Dak Prescott‘s ascension has correlated with Brandin Cooks becoming a legit fantasy WR2 over the last two months. Since Week 6, Cooks has been a top-24 WR in five of seven weeks, making him the WR13 in total fantasy points in that span. The matchup against the Eagles is very juicy. Philly is dead last in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs. The total of this game is 52, which is the highest of any game since Week 5. You want players in this game.

TE – Cole Kmet vs. DET

Kmet is quietly the TE6 of the year. He is on pace for 79 catches, 683 yards, and seven touchdowns on 96 targets. The Lions’ defense has started unraveling over the last month. In that time, Detroit allowed 30.3 points per game and ranked 25th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to the TE position. Last year at home against the Lions, Kmet was the TE1 on the week with four catches for 74 yards and two touchdowns on seven targets. He has been a focal point for the offense, and there is no reason to think he won’t continue to be well-utilized.

Mike’s Starts of the Week

QB – Justin Fields vs. DET

Detroit ranks 29th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to QBs. Justin Fields has been a fantastic runner against Detroit. In his last three games, Fields has run 18 times for 104 yards, 10 times for 132 yards, and 13 times for 147 yards and two touchdowns. That is incredible production to get from your QB on the ground. Also, according to our own Marvin Elequin’s Expected Points Model Fields ranks first, making him a clear candidate for positive regression. He hasn’t had that “I’m back” type game, but if the weather holds out, this could be a week where Fields gets back into that upper tier of QBs.

RB – A.J. Dillon @ NYG

Dillon has quietly been a top-24 RB in three straight weeks. If you need an RB2 or a flex start, Dillon should get the volume you need. Over the last three games, he has had 18, 17, and 19 opportunities. Since Week 7, the Giants rank 28th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points given up to the running back position. They have allowed 19+ fantasy points to opposing running backs in five straight games. That was against NE, WAS, DAL, LV, and NYJ. Only Dallas has a winning record of those teams. It feels stinky, but plug your nose and play him in your lineup.

WR – Courtland Sutton @ LAC

Sutton is a touchdown-scoring machine this year. He has scored six touchdowns in his last seven games. Sutton has been a big play machine this year with ten receptions of 20+ air yards, tied for the fifth most in the NFL. He trails Tyreek, CeeDee, Calvin Ridley, and DJ Moore. The Chargers are allowing the fifth-highest rate of explosive pass plays. A big-play receiver against a defense that gives up big plays is a good combination for your fantasy roster.

TE – Isaiah Likely vs. LAR

He is not Mark Andrews, but he is still pretty good. Before the bye, Likely had six targets on 30 routes run, the second most on the team. He lined up in the slot on 78% of his snaps. Now, he faces one of the best matchups for TEs all year. The Rams have allowed 60+ receiving yards or a touchdown in seven of the last nine games. They rank 32nd in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs. The weather could be bad, but if you are scrounging for a TE option this week Likely should fit the bill for you in this sweet matchup.

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Comments

Ray B says:

Who do I start for running back down below? Please let me know.

Thank you!

Roshon Johnson
Ty Chandler
Clyde Edwards Helaire

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