The Biggest Start/Sit Decisions for Week 13 (Fantasy Football)
Welcome to Week 13 of the Start/Sit series, where we’ll discuss your most commonly asked “Who should I start?” questions for the week.
The projections between any two players on your roster may appear similar, but this “simple” choice could be the difference between your team’s victory or defeat. Luckily, the Fantasy Footballers have created an amazing Start/Sit tool to easily compare any two (or more) players with insight from the Ballers themselves, and trust me — it’s a precious asset that will help you make these crucial lineup decisions that could ultimately lead you to your #FootClanTitle.
In this article, you’ll find your most popular Start/Sit questions of the week, along with the Ballers’ projections and my personal opinions on the matter. Please note that the Footballers’ rankings are constantly being updated as news breaks, so make sure you check out the tool for yourself to catch any last-second changes.
So, without further ado, let’s kick things off with the biggest Start/Sit questions for Week 13:
It’s the dreaded byepocalypse with tons of heavy hitters on bye, so it’s no surprise that we have multiple QB Start/Sit questions being asked. Leading the charge is Russell Wilson vs. Kyler Murray, which would’ve been a ridiculous question last year, but it’s closer than you think.
Wilson has been nothing if not consistent since losing in Kansas City back in Week 6, averaging 16.3 fantasy points, a 106.8 QB rating, and nearly two total TDs per game, not to mention winning out since then (including a surprise victory in their rematch against the Chiefs). He also boasts the BEST TD Rate (6.3%) and is tied for the LOWEST INT Rate (1.3%) among all QBs. Now, he gets to face one of the biggest pass-funnel defenses in a projected Houston shootout where he’ll have to sling it in order to keep up with rookie sensations C.J. Stroud. It’s a no-brainer that Wilson is Andy’s QB Start of the Week.
— Fantasy Footballers (@TheFFBallers) December 1, 2023
On the other hand, Kyler Murray has been an absolute stud since returning from injury, averaging 19.8 points per game — which also happens to be more points than Wilson has scored in his last seven games. It certainly helps that he hasn’t been afraid to utilize his fully repaired legs, running nearly 30 yards a game and scoring a rushing TD every single week. He has a daunting task on hand in Pittsburgh this Sunday, but his elite 21% rushing share should continue to alleviate any obstacles that may arise in his passing game.
Unfortunately for Murray, those obstacles may prove too imposing with Michael Wilson ruled out (shoulder) while Marquise Brown (heel) and Trey McBride (groin) are hobbled, diminishing an already weak arsenal. These concerns with a tough matchup make Dangeruss the unanimous winner.
Let’s make this simple. Is Chris Olave (concussion) playing? Can Rashid Shaheed (thigh) return to action? Will Taysom Hill (vulture) have zero green zone touches for the third week in a row? Unless you can confidently answer “YES” to all of these questions then it’s probably best to ride with Uncle Rico and leave the Carr in the garage until the conditions improve.
This requires some massive stones and a huge leap of faith, but Diontae Johnson is primed for a bounce back after back-to-back-to-back disappointing weeks. He has a great matchup, his 25.23% TPRR can’t be ignored (WR15), he’s averaging 8.2 targets per game since his return from injury, and he continues to lead his team in target share (26.9%), air yards share (47.5%), and route participation (94%).
Equally disappointing is Josh Downs, who hasn’t produced ever since he tweaked his knee in Week 9. But it’s clear that he’s getting healthier each week:
The crew unanimously favors Johnson, but I actually prefer Downs on the assumption that he’s another week healthier and returned to form. Downs is also Andy’s WR Start of the Week.
It’s PIT vs. IND part deux, only this time it’s between their running mates. Jaylen Warren has been on a matchup-dependent bonanza, and he could not have a better opponent to feast on. However, he still has to share the load with Najee Harris (who happens to be Mike’s RB Start of the Week).
You know who gets to keep the full load for himself? Zack Moss, Jason’s Start of the Week. He has the tougher matchup — though Tennessee’s run defense has been a shadow of their formal formidable selves, ranking as the seventh EASIEST schedule-adjusted matchup since Week 9. Whenever Jonathan Taylor (thumb) is not in the backfield, Moss is an auto-start.
Congratulations Trey McBride managers, you’ve won the TE sweepstakes for the rest of the season now that Zach Ertz has been released. Since Ertz has been injured, McBride has averaged nearly nine targets, over 70 yards, and 11.5 fantasy points per game, making him the overall TE3 in that timespan. But with his groin in shambles, we need to make sure he’s active before starting him. He’s the winner by all three Ballers, but if he’s ruled out, then the Muth is an easy consolation prize and a worthwhile starter in his own right.
Both the Rams and Buccaneers are great options this week with strong defensive fronts facing vulnerable O-lines with shaky (at best) passers. But the Rams win the consensus vote since Amari Cooper is hurt (ribs), Elijah Moore has been a non-factor (WR57), and the league leaders in dropped passes are David Njoku (eight) and Jerome Ford (seven). Elite dragon Joe Flacco will be under center, and while he had his moments, his best days are far behind him. Look for him to dink-and-dunk his way into a very low scoring affair, while being good for a few sacks and likely an INT and/or fumble.
The Buccaneers have a stupendous matchup as well against the Panthers. Sure, they may surprise folks with their change in coaching regime, but it’ll be nearly impossible for them to suddenly improve their offense. Bryce Young is currently the QB2 in sacks taken (40) and has more INTs and fumbles (14) than TDs (nine). Simply put, opposing defenses FEAST on the Panthers.
It’s a toss-up, but since the Bucs may be without standout LBs Lavonte David (groin) and Devin White (foot), the Rams eek out the win.
Los Angeles Rams