Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 13 (Fantasy Football)
Buckle up, everyone. I hope you got your fill of mac & cheese, sweet potato casserole, and the GOAT meat of Thanksgiving (it’s ham, sorry turkey), because we’re about to enter the second six-team bye week famine of the NFL season. With trade deadlines past in all but the most sicko of leagues, it’s time to hit the waiver wire and make some bold streaming decisions.
This weekly series gives actionable insights for the week ahead based on Targets Per Route Run (TPRR). TPRR is calculated by dividing a player’s targets by their routes run and expressing it as a percentage. We use this statistic to evaluate a player’s efficiency and production related to their opportunities. To learn more about TPRR and why it’s a useful tool, check out the 2023 season preview.
Week 12 Recap
Here’s a look at Week 12’s top 25 in Targets Per Route Run (minimum 🎉 15 🎉 routes run):
*Route and Target Data via PFF.com
Takeaways
- This week sees a glut of newer names at the top of the list this week, especially younger players. If you’re looking for the end-of-season rookie boost, fire up Rashee Rice (39% TPRR), Josh Downs (33% TPRR), or Jayden Reed (27% TPRR) in Week 13. Downs looks like he’s past his injury and could find success against Tennessee.
- Demario Douglas (41% TPRR) will be available in a lot of leagues, especially if he ends up missing Week 13. The Patriots are a mess, but Pop Douglas is the unquestioned number one in the receiver room.
- Chris Olave (41%) tore it up before exiting Week 12’s eventual loss to Atlanta and will probably miss a game after entering the league concussion protocol. Rashid Shaheed (38% TPRR on 13 routes run) is in danger of missing Week 13, or else he’d be someone I’d put into my lineups. Without Olave, Shaheed, and Michael Thomas, it’s Taysom time in New Orleans! Alvin Kamara and Taysom Hill should comprise the majority of the Saints’ offense.
Season Leaders
Here are the season leaders in TPRR among qualified receivers through Week 12, with the minimum routes run set at 165. The right-hand column (+/-) shows a player’s movement in the rankings from week to week.
*Route and Target Data via PFF.com
Takeaways
- I never thought I’d recommend benching Cooper Kupp, but he clearly isn’t healthy. Matthew Stafford was able to throw four touchdowns with limited involvement from Kupp, and Kyren Williams looks like the centerpiece of the offense.
- Brandon Aiyuk (23% TPRR) salvaged his fantasy day with a touchdown but only saw four targets on Thanksgiving. The 49ers have a lot of mouths to feed, so Aiyuk will struggle when Deebo Samuel and Christian McCaffrey eat all the pumpkin pie. You just have to take your lumps, and Aiyuk is a must-start against an Eagles defense that’s giving up passing yards like it’s a buffet.
- Diontae Johnson finds himself in a get-right spot against the Cardinals. Kenny Pickett limits his ceiling, and the re-emergence of The Muth (Pat Freiermuth) is concerning, but beggars can’t be choosers. Start him. For that matter, start Freiermuth as well. The Muth got Luth to the tune of 11 targets on 23 routes run, a 48% TPRR.
Full TPRR List
This list includes all WRs with at least 150 routes run on the season.
| Targets Per Route Run – Season Leaders (Min. 165 Routes) | ||||||
| Rk | Player | Team | Routes | Targets | TPRR | + /- |
| 1 | Tyreek Hill | MIA | 329 | 117 | 35.56% | 0 |
| 2 | Davante Adams | LV | 403 | 114 | 28.29% | 0 |
| 3 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 379 | 105 | 27.70% | 0 |
| 4 | Keenan Allen | LAC | 444 | 123 | 27.70% | 1 |
| 5 | Puka Nacua | LA | 387 | 106 | 27.39% | -1 |
| 6 | Stefon Diggs | BUF | 450 | 119 | 26.44% | 0 |
| 7 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 389 | 102 | 26.22% | 0 |
| 8 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 199 | 52 | 26.13% | 0 |
| 9 | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | 288 | 75 | 26.04% | 3 |
| 10 | Demario Douglas | NE | 204 | 53 | 25.98% | 11 |
| 11 | Chris Olave | NO | 397 | 103 | 25.94% | 4 |
| 12 | A.J. Brown | PHI | 396 | 102 | 25.76% | -2 |
| 13 | DeAndre Hopkins | TEN | 307 | 79 | 25.73% | -4 |
| 14 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | 415 | 105 | 25.30% | 3 |
| 15 | Diontae Johnson | PIT | 214 | 54 | 25.23% | -4 |
| 16 | Rashee Rice | KC | 218 | 55 | 25.23% | 6 |
| 17 | Mike Evans | TB | 349 | 87 | 24.93% | -1 |
| 18 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 432 | 107 | 24.77% | -4 |
| 19 | Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | 443 | 108 | 24.38% | -1 |
| 20 | Cooper Kupp | LA | 207 | 49 | 23.67% | -7 |
| 21 | Tank Dell | HST | 316 | 74 | 23.42% | -1 |
| 22 | Kendrick Bourne | NE | 235 | 55 | 23.40% | 1 |
| 23 | Nico Collins | HST | 312 | 73 | 23.40% | 1 |
| 24 | Brandon Aiyuk | SF | 278 | 63 | 22.66% | -5 |
| 25 | Odell Beckham Jr. | BLT | 207 | 46 | 22.22% | 7 |
| 26 | D.K. Metcalf | SEA | 338 | 75 | 22.19% | 1 |
| 27 | Adam Thielen | CAR | 448 | 99 | 22.10% | -2 |
| 28 | Drake London | ATL | 301 | 66 | 21.93% | 0 |
| 29 | Marquise Brown | ARZ | 427 | 93 | 21.78% | 1 |
| 30 | Josh Downs | IND | 317 | 69 | 21.77% | 9 |
| 31 | DJ Moore | CHI | 424 | 92 | 21.70% | 5 |
| 32 | Deebo Samuel | SF | 218 | 47 | 21.56% | 9 |
| 33 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 233 | 49 | 21.03% | -2 |
| 34 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | 362 | 76 | 20.99% | -8 |
| 35 | Jakobi Meyers | LV | 364 | 76 | 20.88% | -1 |
| 36 | Chris Godwin | TB | 374 | 78 | 20.86% | -7 |
| 37 | Christian Kirk | JAX | 379 | 79 | 20.84% | -4 |
| 38 | Curtis Samuel | WAS | 290 | 60 | 20.69% | 11 |
| 39 | Amari Cooper | CLV | 396 | 81 | 20.45% | -4 |
| 40 | JuJu Smith-Schuster | NE | 184 | 37 | 20.11% | -3 |
| 41 | Zay Flowers | BLT | 387 | 77 | 19.90% | -1 |
| 42 | Jayden Reed | GB | 281 | 55 | 19.57% | 6 |
| 43 | Michael Thomas | NO | 324 | 63 | 19.44% | 2 |
| 44 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 489 | 95 | 19.43% | 2 |
| 45 | Romeo Doubs | GB | 341 | 66 | 19.35% | -3 |
| 46 | Robert Woods | HST | 274 | 53 | 19.34% | -8 |
| 47 | George Pickens | PIT | 368 | 71 | 19.29% | -3 |
| 48 | Calvin Ridley | JAX | 389 | 75 | 19.28% | -5 |
| 49 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 348 | 66 | 18.97% | 2 |
| 50 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 429 | 80 | 18.65% | 4 |
| 51 | Dontayvion Wicks | GB | 172 | 32 | 18.60% | -1 |
| 52 | Christian Watson | GB | 242 | 44 | 18.18% | 7 |
| 52 | Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG | 242 | 44 | 18.18% | 0 |
| 54 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 305 | 55 | 18.03% | -7 |
| 55 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 418 | 75 | 17.94% | 3 |
| 56 | Jerry Jeudy | DEN | 293 | 52 | 17.75% | -3 |
| 57 | Elijah Moore | CLV | 389 | 69 | 17.74% | -2 |
| 58 | Tyler Boyd | CIN | 411 | 70 | 17.03% | 3 |
| 59 | Justin Watson | KC | 228 | 38 | 16.67% | -3 |
| 60 | Tutu Atwell | LA | 356 | 59 | 16.57% | 2 |
| 61 | Jalen Tolbert | DAL | 171 | 28 | 16.37% | 3 |
| 62 | Rashid Shaheed | NO | 320 | 52 | 16.25% | 5 |
| 63 | Michael Gallup | DAL | 278 | 45 | 16.19% | -3 |
| 64 | Joshua Palmer | LAC | 237 | 38 | 16.03% | -1 |
| 65 | Brandin Cooks | DAL | 307 | 48 | 15.64% | 1 |
| 66 | Rashod Bateman | BLT | 235 | 36 | 15.32% | 3 |
| 67 | Jonathan Mingo | CAR | 369 | 55 | 14.91% | 6 |
| 68 | Terrace Marshall Jr. | CAR | 198 | 29 | 14.65% | 4 |
| 69 | Brandon Powell | MIN | 226 | 33 | 14.60% | -1 |
| 70 | Gabe Davis | BUF | 439 | 64 | 14.58% | 6 |
| 71 | Calvin Austin III | PIT | 186 | 27 | 14.52% | -1 |
| 72 | Michael Wilson | ARZ | 276 | 40 | 14.49% | 2 |
| 73 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 208 | 30 | 14.42% | -8 |
| 74 | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | TEN | 239 | 34 | 14.23% | 5 |
| 75 | Hunter Renfrow | LV | 204 | 29 | 14.22% | 3 |
| 76 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 263 | 36 | 13.69% | 1 |
| 77 | K.J. Osborn | MIN | 395 | 54 | 13.67% | -2 |
| 78 | Jahan Dotson | WAS | 488 | 65 | 13.32% | 3 |
| 79 | Darius Slayton | NYG | 376 | 50 | 13.30% | 3 |
| 80 | Braxton Berrios | MIA | 204 | 27 | 13.24% | -9 |
| 81 | Trey Palmer | TB | 310 | 41 | 13.23% | 3 |
| 82 | Skyy Moore | KC | 250 | 33 | 13.20% | 1 |
| 83 | DeVante Parker | NE | 229 | 30 | 13.10% | 3 |
| 84 | Nelson Agholor | BLT | 219 | 28 | 12.79% | 2 |
| 85 | Rondale Moore | ARZ | 347 | 44 | 12.68% | -5 |
| 86 | Jauan Jennings | SF | 182 | 23 | 12.64% | -1 |
| 87 | Josh Reynolds | DET | 325 | 39 | 12.00% | 2 |
| 88 | Allen Lazard | NYJ | 346 | 41 | 11.85% | 3 |
| 89 | Isaiah Hodgins | NYG | 205 | 24 | 11.71% | 4 |
| 90 | Van Jefferson | ATL | 273 | 31 | 11.36% | 4 |
| 91 | Trenton Irwin | CIN | 203 | 23 | 11.33% | -1 |
| 92 | Allen Robinson II | PIT | 294 | 33 | 11.22% | 0 |
| 93 | DJ Chark Jr. | CAR | 316 | 35 | 11.08% | 3 |
| 94 | Chris Moore | TEN | 182 | 20 | 10.99% | 3 |
| 95 | Jalin Hyatt | NYG | 258 | 28 | 10.85% | 4 |
| 96 | Darnell Mooney | CHI | 357 | 38 | 10.64% | -1 |
| 97 | Alec Pierce | IND | 390 | 39 | 10.00% | 1 |
| 98 | Marquez Valdes-Scantling | KC | 316 | 27 | 8.54% | 2 |
| 99 | Donovan Peoples-Jones | DET | 225 | 18 | 8.00% | 2 |
| 100 | Cedric Tillman | CLV | 165 | 13 | 7.88% | #N/A |
| 101 | Xavier Gipson | NYJ | 167 | 11 | 6.59% | #N/A |
| 102 | Olamide Zaccheaus | PHI | 223 | 13 | 5.83% | 0 |