The Biggest Start/Sit Decisions for Week 10 (Fantasy Football)
“This is like taking a beautiful glass statue and carefully placing it down in the middle of a daycare. And you hope it lasts through the end of the day.”
— Andy Holloway, on D’Andre Swift
Willkommen, Footclan! Welcome to Week 10 of the Start/Sit series, where we’ll identify and discuss your most commonly asked “Who should I start?” questions for the week.
The projections between any two players on your roster may appear similar, but this “simple” choice could be the difference between your team’s victory or defeat. Luckily, the Fantasy Footballers have created an amazing Start/Sit tool to easily compare any two (or more) players with insight from the Ballers themselves, and trust me — it’s an extremely valuable asset that will help you make these crucial lineup decisions that could ultimately lead you to your #FootClanTitle. Please note that the Footballers’ rankings are constantly being updated as news breaks, so make sure you check out the tool for yourself to catch any last-second changes.
So, without further ado, let’s kick things off with the most popular Start/Sit questions for Week 10:
Featured Matchup
TE:
Gerald Everett (LAC) or Greg Dulcich (DEN)?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 8 | 8.5 |
| Andy Rank | TE #7 | TE #8 |
| Mike Rank | TE #10 | TE #6 |
| Jason Rank | TE #9 | TE #5 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 8 | 23 |
| Home/Away | Away | Away |
| Over/Under | 45.5 | 37.5 |
| Line | +7 | +3 |
In this battle of TEs in the AFC West, it’s hard not to side with Gerald Everett although we can’t ignore his recent slump. He’s averaged only 5.3 fantasy points since Week 5 despite injuries to Keenan Allen and Mike Williams. He should continue seeing a healthy number of targets (24 targets in the past three games), but the matchup isn’t great against a stingy 49ers defense.
On the other hand, rookie Greg Dulcich and his fabulous hair have made quite an impression. Since his *first* NFL game in Week 6, he’s averaged nearly six targets and over 60 yards per game and is the TE11 in that timespan. His matchup is much more favorable than Everett’s, but this could easily turn into an ugly, run-heavy slugfest that might limit his opportunities. And who knows how the targets will be redistributed after they had time to reconsider things during their bye.
The Verdict
Gerald Everett
RB:
Jeff Wilson Jr. (MIA) or Raheem Mostert (MIA)?
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| Andy Rank | RB #26 | RB #23 |
| Mike Rank | RB #21 | RB #23 |
| Jason Rank | RB #29 | RB #24 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 29 | 29 |
| Home/Away | Home | Home |
| Over/Under | 49 | 49 |
| Line | -3.5 | -3.5 |
Is there a new king in Miami? In last week’s surprising barnburner at Soldier Field, Raheem Mostert and newly traded Jeff Wilson Jr. saw near equal work, sharing nine carries each with Wilson having an extra target (three to two) and more snaps (49% to 47%). Both found the endzone (Mostert on the ground and Wilson through the air), but Wilson (51 rushing yards and 21 receiving yards) vastly outproduced his counterpart (26 rushing yards).
More importantly, it was Wilson that saw the red zone work, seeing five total RZ looks (three carries & two targets) while Mostert only had two RZ carries. The matchup is as juicy as it gets, so both guys are in play. The Ballers unanimously prefer Mostert, but if Wilson continues to be favored near the goal line, then he should have the edge.
The Verdict
Jeff Wilson Jr.
WR:
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) or Courtland Sutton (DEN)?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| Andy Rank | WR #30 | WR #31 |
| Mike Rank | WR #30 | WR #31 |
| Jason Rank | WR #31 | WR #30 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 20 | 30 |
| Home/Away | Away | Away |
| Over/Under | 41 | 37.5 |
| Line | +4.5 | +3 |
Things haven’t gone well for both of these guys lately. Michael Pittman Jr. has to deal with a team that is fully committed to tank, has to catch passes from rookie Sam Ehlinger, and now has a new coach fresh off the couch in Jeff Saturday. Pittman’s been a WR40 or worse five times already, and that’s not even counting the game he missed from injury or a middling 8-72-0 performance where he finished as that week’s WR36. With Ehlinger at the helm, Pittman’s averaged only 6.3 fantasy points despite seeing 15 targets in that timespan. Pity Pitty City.
Michael Pittman's last 17 games played:
134 Targets
92 Receptions
974 Yards
2 Touchdowns— Andy Holloway (@andyholloway) November 10, 2022
Somehow, Courtland Sutton‘s been doing even worse. In the last three weeks, he’s averaged an abominable 2.7 fantasy points and 5.3 targets per game. He also hasn’t had a single red zone target since. His connection with Russell Wilson has gone dangerussly bad, and though he has a mouth-watering matchup against the Titans on deck, it’s extremely hard to trust him going forward now that Wilson has seemingly moved on to Jerry Jeudy and Greg Dulcich instead. With the better matchup, QB, and head coach (barely), Sutton squeaks by with the win, but this is essentially a coin flip.
The Verdict
Courtland Sutton
QB:
Dak Prescott (DAL) or Geno Smith (SEA)?
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | 18.9 | 17.9 |
| Andy Rank | QB #7 | QB #9 |
| Mike Rank | QB #5 | QB #8 |
| Jason Rank | QB #6 | QB #10 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 5 | 14 |
| Home/Away | Away | Away |
| Over/Under | 43 | 44.5 |
| Line | -4.5 | +2.5 |
You can’t really go wrong with either of these two. Both Dak Prescott and Geno Smith are coming off of top-5 fantasy performances (although Prescott just had his bye week) and are top-10 options this week. Prescott seems to be fully healed from his thumb injury, plus he’s always a threat on the ground. His matchup isn’t ideal, but he’s typically been able to surpass that. Not to mention, it’s a revenge game for his coach, Mike McCarthy. He may not have Ezekiel Elliott back, but Prescott did just fine without him in their last game, even running one in for a score himself. Smith is also a good option, but it’s hard not to side with a healthy Dak instead.
The Verdict
Dak Prescott
D/ST:
Tennessee Titans or New York Giants?
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|---|---|---|
| EXPERT PROJECTIONS | ||
| Proj. Points | – | – |
| Andy Rank | D #4 | D #3 |
| Mike Rank | D #9 | D #6 |
| Jason Rank | D #4 | D #7 |
| MATCHUP DETAILS | ||
| Opp. Rank | 24 | 21 |
| Home/Away | Home | Home |
| Over/Under | 37 | 40.5 |
| Line | -2.5 | -4.5 |
Both these teams have been surprisingly good in real-life football, but in fantasy terms, the Titans’ D/ST has been outperforming the Giants’ D/ST by a decent margin (averaging 7.8 vs 5.6 fantasy points per game). Tennessee’s run-heavy approach will help grind the clock down and their suffocating defense has enabled them to finish in the top 12 all season, aside from two early games against the Bills and Raiders. All that plus their matchup against a disheveled Broncos’ offense makes them a recommended streaming candidate.
However, the Giants just might be the better bet this week as they get to face a laughable Texans team. Since their Week 6 bye, Houston has allowed the sixth MOST fantasy points to opposing defenses, and this trend will likely continue as they’re dealing with numerous injuries to their already-depleted offense. Davis Mills‘ subpar decision-making could create turnover opportunities, so the upside is certainly there.
The Verdict
New York Giants
Comments
This is Sam Elingher’s second year*