When researching for an edge in DFS, there are so many rabbit trails one could go down searching for the lost statistic that will solve all problems. WR/CB matchups are a great place to start when simply analyzing the slate. The information that is most pertinent is not just raw fantasy points allowed but also what does the cornerback allow per route and per target. PFF provides great data highlighting mismatches based on coverage grades as well as efficiency metrics.
Other than Cooper Kupp‘s inexplicable goose egg, it was a great first week as I’ll take over this article for the rest of the season.
I’ve broken up this week’s article into three categories: Alpha WRs, Slot Mavens, Discount Target Specials, and Fill-On Fades. The goal is to go from the top-tier stars to move down to bargain WRs with excellent matchups. As always, make sure you use the tools found in the DFS Pass such as the Value Comparison and Buzz Report to discern which WR would be best in cash and tournament lineup builds.
It may not feel like D.J. Moore is an “alpha”, but the targets sure have been there as he’s averaged ten targets a game over the last month. He matches up with Atlanta’s Isaiah Oliver, who was roasted last week by Michael Thomas. Oliver is being targeted on 23% of his routes covered, the 4th highest mark according to PFF and allowing the second-most yards after catch in the league. Atlanta ranks 31st in pass DVOA according to Football Outsiders. On FanDuel, Moore will be among the most-owned players at $6,000, which prices him way down as the WR30 on the week.