Hot Fire Fantasy Football Questions: Week 11
Our “Hot Fire Fantasy Questions” series examines Week 11 following up recent news, fantasy performances, and implications for owners moving forward. Our Hot Fire contributors from our Fantasy Footballers writing staff includes Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF), Ryan Weisse (@TheFantasyFive) and Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg). Give them a follow on Twitter along with all of our Footballers accounts to get goodness like this:
When you started Wentz against Brees in a very important game that you were projected to win by 30. pic.twitter.com/bNbFWt1m2O
— Jason Moore (@jasonffl) November 19, 2018
The classic studs at it again. Tight ends are the best. pic.twitter.com/LF2kHeoR7Q
— Andy Holloway (@andyholloway) November 19, 2018
1. Which Week 11 performance surprised you the most?
Gus Edwards. 17 carries for 115 yards and a TD for the Baltimore Ravens. Who is this guy? Before this game he totaled 64 rushing yards on 15 carries all season! This was also the first game Lamar Jackson started. Maybe the Ravens are looking to the future and Edwards could be a big part of their backfield moving forward. It’s worth noting that Alex Collins only received 7 carries on the day. –Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)
Without a doubt, Tre’Quan Smith. I was lucky enough to land him in almost every league I play in (work that waiver wire, kids) but benched him everywhere after that no-show against the Bengals. Of course, he was going to blow up, my fantasy luck is terrible, but I did not expect 10-157-1. It will be interesting to see how the season unfolds for him because Drew Brees is the best there is right now and that could make Smith very dangerous to end the season…like league-winner dangerous. –Ryan Weisse (@TheFantasyFive)
Fantasy owners have to be shocked and surprised seeing Carson Wentz finish the game with less than 1 fantasy point! The entire Eagles offense came out flat and Wentz contributed with 3 INTs and only 156 passing yards. Zach Ertz only had 2 catches after last week’s explosion. This was supposed to be a back-and-forth affair and an apparent “green” matchup against the Saints secondary. However, a deeper dive in the numbers suggested that New Orleans defense had been improving and wasn’t that bad over last 6 weeks. Looking only at season-long numbers can be deceiving. Plus, the Saints have lots of teams put up garbage time numbers because they get ahead by so much each game. –Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg)
2. Which Week 11 breakout WR would you rather flex ROS: Tre’Quan Smith or D.J. Moore?
It’s Tre’Quan Smith for me. Any time you can own a piece of the high scoring Saints offense, especially one of Drew Brees’ targets, you do it. Smith has the higher upside than Moore because of the offense he’s in and the QB he has throwing to him. –Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)
I clearly like Smith but let me make a case for Moore. Devin Funchess is not a true #1 WR and the Panthers took Moore in the 1st round for a reason. Games like Week 11 are that reason. While Detroit is terrible, this was still the 2nd most points they’ve given up to a WR this season. And his schedule is why I was telling people to scoop him up on waivers 4 weeks ago. He finishes the fantasy season with 5 games against teams in the worst 12 against the WRs, including 3 against the worst 4 teams. He is going to eat. –Ryan Weisse (@TheFantasyFive)
D.J. Moore was more than just his highlight reel 82-yard reception on the day. He was the most dependable passing option for Cam Newton en route to 7 catches for 157 yards and a TD. This is the role we envisioned for Moore and what we hoped he could grow into during the season. As Ryan mentioned, his schedule is a dream and I think he has more consistency built into his role than Tre’Quan. We’ve seen him boom and then be completely irrelevant for 2 or 3 games at a time. Moore is a low-end WR2 in a good offense with a 4-5 target floor in PPR leagues. –Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg)
3. Tight-ends were a complete wasteland in Week 11. Any advice for owners streaming the position moving forward?
You have to change your expectations for the position. Especially if you find yourself streaming. Which, let’s face it, we all are unless you have a top 4 option. Just accept the fact that 4 catches for 48 yards is just about as good as it gets and something you should be content with should your streaming option provide that “production”. Just remind yourself that most everyone else in your league is dealing with the same thing which evens the playing field. Finally, consider a “TE premium” format next year to give more value to a position that is desperate for it. –Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)
With all due respect, TE has been a wasteland in 2018. I’m streaming the TE position in a few leagues and my advice is very basic. Work the waiver wire: Jordan Reed was cut in a few my leagues last week, people are desperate. Play the matchups: Use tools like “Fantasy Points Against” on whatever site you use and look for guys playing the bad team. C.J. Uzomah is a great candidate with 2 games against the Browns to end the year. –Ryan Weisse (@TheFantasyFive)
Honestly, just be happy for small victories. I played Evan Engram in a league and ended with 7.6 points in a 0.5 PPR league. Normally that would be super tilting but that was actually the TE9 on the week. In fact, 3 of the top 7 TEs in Week 11 (Antonio Gates, Robert Tonyan, and Ed Dickson) were not started in 99% of leagues. Don’t chase last week’s touchdowns. Don’t be quick to move on if you started someone like Jack Doyle. Follow the snaps, the red zone opportunities, and good offenses. And then hold your nose. –Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg)
4. Give us one stat line owners need to pay attention to.
3 TD passes for Andrew Luck. So what, right? Wrong. Week 11 marked the 7th time Andrew Luck has thrown 3 or more TD passes in each of his last 7 games! An incredible pace for a guy I had lowered expectations on this year due to his off-season injury question marks. –Nate Hamilton (@DomiNateFF)
Not really a stat line, but with most leagues trade deadline having past, please pay attention to your waiver wire. I’m in a competitive 14-team league and DJ Moore & Tre’Quan Smith are both available. Both of their ownership % is fewer than 40%. Josh Adams may be the lead back for the Eagles moving forward and is owned in fewer than 33% of leagues. There are still good players out there, never assume that your leaguemates already picked them up…they’re not as smart as you think! –Ryan Weisse (@TheFantasyFive)
Keke Coutee‘s 9 targets engulfed Demaryius Thomas and his measly 1 target. Coutee had been out with a hamstring injury for over a month so this should be encouraging moving forward that he’s the WR2 for Deshaun Watson. He’s only owned in 30% of Yahoo leagues so expect him to be a popular add this week in PPR leagues. The Texans have some juicy matchups moving forward including TEN, CLE, @IND, @NYJ, and @PHI. –Kyle Borgognoni (@kyle_borg)