Favorite Stacks + ADP Risers, Megalashow!

Summary:

Players Rising in ADP 00:00

• Jonathan Brooks, a rookie running back for the Carolina Panthers, currently drafted in the ninth round, is expected to see a significant increase in average draft position as the offseason progresses due to his potential and favorable situation within the team.
• The fact that rookie running backs have historically performed well adds to the optimism surrounding Brooks.
• Brooks fits well into the offensive scheme planned by the team’s coaching staff, making him a promising prospect for fantasy football.

He fits the mold of what Dave Canales wants to do with a pass catcher, somebody who’s versatile like Rashad White.

Speculation on Rookies’ ADP Rise 07:08

• The rise in ADP for rookies like Jonathan Brooks is not limited to him alone but includes other first-year players who might showcase their potential during the preseason games and training camp.
• Factors such as depth chart battles, opportunities for playing time, and positive reports from training camp can significantly impact rookies’ ADP.

ADP Riser: Zack Moss 07:45

• The speaker expresses strong belief in Zach Moss’s abilities and anticipates an increase in Moss’s average draft position throughout the offseason.
• Referring to Moss as a “superstar running back for the Cincinnati Bengals,” the speaker shows confidence in Moss’s potential to perform well in fantasy football leagues.

Zach Moss, superstar running back for the Cincinnati Bengals.

Running Back Analysis and ADP Risers 07:50

• The debate centers around whether Zach Moss or Chase Brown will dominate touches in the upcoming season, with speculation favoring Moss due to his fit in the team’s system and likely primary role in the backfield.
• Despite Chase Brown‘s promising performance, many believe Moss will eventually secure the starting role, predominantly handling the workload with Brown mixing in occasionally.

Chase Brown showed a lot of juice in very few plays last year. I just cannot believe that it’s going to be Chase Brown. He was, I mean, he had an opportunity to get use. They go out and they sign a guy that fits their system perfectly in Zach Moss. So I think as we get closer and it becomes more established, I think beat reporters will start saying this is Zach Moss’s backfield.

Fun Jaws Fact and Discussion on Illegal Activities 09:06

• The team transitions into a light-hearted discussion on the original Jaws animatronic shark exhibit at the Academy Museum of Motion Pictures in Los Angeles and the logistics of moving it.
• Banter ensues about the legality of parading “Bruce the shark” down the street and borrowing the exhibit, with the conclusion that such actions are illegal, albeit humorously contemplated.

So it’s a 25-foot, 1200-pound shark. When they made Jaws, they made him 1200 pounds. Animatronics in the 70s. You kidding me? That’s pure stealing… Whenever you have to announce it’s nothing illegal at the top.

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Importance of Judging ADP Risers and Injury Statistics 10:43

• Analysis delves into the significance of assessing ADP risers impacted by injuries, emphasizing that historical data shows a notable percentage failing to meet expectations post-injury.
• The team emphasizes making calculated decisions in fantasy football drafts by considering players recovering from injuries carefully due to their lower success rate in meeting pre-injury expectations.

And keep in mind that ADP is the bargain. It’s already a depressed ADP… If you can be up at 71% of the time being correct on a take, then don’t draft guys, you know, they’re coming off the training camp hamstring injury that’s kept them out all summer, but they’re back.

Insight on Jerome Ford‘s Potential and Impact 10:57

• Jerome Ford emerges as an ADP riser, currently positioned favorably in draft boards due to the uncertain return of Nick Chubb post-injury.
• With Jerome Ford projected to lead the rushing attack for his team and displaying versatility in both running and receiving aspects, he presents a valuable fantasy football draft option that could see increased stock.

So I believe we’ve kind of mentioned him recently in passing, but it’s Jerome Ford… And as with the information we have right now, Ford would project to be the guy who gets the most work… If you think it’s going to be one that moves up potentially because two videos of Nick Chubb running and he’s going to shoot up draft board, which we will see before.

Kyren Williams‘ Injury Situation 15:53

• Kyren Williams‘ potential has been hindered by concerns over his injury history, particularly a foot injury.
• Despite the worries, there is a strong belief in his abilities due to his performance when healthy and improvements in his team’s offensive line.

“When he’s on the field, but he has a smaller back and has an extreme workload.”

Anthony Richardson‘s Left-Handed Throws 16:13

• Anthony Richardson‘s soreness and left-handed throwing in practice have caused some concern.
• While he aims to be ready by training camp, the current setback indicates challenges in his recovery process.

“He’s ramping up, but you just don’t want to hear about it at all.”

Darren Waller‘s Retirement Announcement 17:30

• The show addresses Darren Waller‘s official retirement from the NFL, marking the end of an impactful career.
• Despite a relatively short tenure, Waller made significant contributions to the sport.

“Darren Waller has finally officially retired from the NFL.”

Sterling Shepard‘s Contract Updates 18:44

• Sterling Shepard‘s one-year deal with the Buccaneers and the Chiefs re-signing McCall Hartman are highlighted.
• The teams’ strategic player movements, including using Shepard in a slot role, raise questions about their future plans and player utilization.

“The Bucks are doing weird things because we had the announcements.”

Rule Changes in Kick Returns 20:24

• Excitement surrounds the modified kickoff rules and the potential impact on fantasy football.
• Coaches’ focus on optimizing kick return strategies indicates an evolving approach to game dynamics and player involvement.

“I’m so excited for the opportunity for skill position players and other players to produce plays that matter for fantasy.”

Favorite Stacks and ADP Risers: Strategies for the 2024 Fantasy Football Season 22:36

• Consider leveraging players in special teams for fantasy points, especially those with return opportunities like Devon Achan.
• Some leagues reward special teams touchdowns, so check your league’s scoring settings.
• Players like Trey Benson may offer value with kick return opportunities similar to David Johnson‘s past performances.

A couple of touchdowns in the return game, that’s the potential if you have the right player.

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Mailbag: Listener Questions and Draft Strategies 23:27

• Listeners can submit questions through the website or voicemail.
• Strategies for draft stacking involve considering player ADP, like targeting specific player combos for synergy.
• Stacking QB and WR from the same team can be advantageous if both players outperform their ADP.

“This is Bradley from up in Canada. Super curious to know your guys favorite stack going into the 2024 season.”

Player Stacking Strategies and Considerations 25:09

• Optimal stacks could involve players like Mahomes and Kelce or Jalen Hurts and DeVonta Smith for high value.
• Strategic stacking with late-round QB options like Burrow along with top-tier wide receivers can be beneficial.
• Stacking QBs like Jared Goff and receivers can provide a safety net and potential value.

“It’s an actual easy stack to pull off that could be very valuable down the road.”

Player Selection Caution and Avoiding Over-Exposure 27:30

• Over-exposure to a single team can be risky, especially banking heavily on players from teams with uncertain performance records.
• Drafting two high-value players from the same team like Bijon and Drake London can limit upside due to potential conflicting scoring opportunities.
• It’s important to balance player selections across different teams to minimize risk and ensure diversified scoring potential.

“You can’t do this. Drake’s a second round pick. You can’t do this.”

Draft Strategy Adjustment and Flexibility 29:21

• Flexibility in draft strategy allows for adapting based on player availability and value.
• Avoid overcommitting to a single team to mitigate the risk of losing out on fantasy points if team performance falters.
• Consider late-round pick stacking as a calculated flyer rather than a primary strategy, balancing potential rewards with risk mitigation.

“If you’re like, Oh, I’m looking at ADP and it’s like, Oh, Justin Herbert and Jared Goff are going near each other. Well, complete that stack.”

Analysis of Tight End Pat Freiermuth‘s Potential 29:38

• There is a debate about whether Pat Fryemuth will have a career year due to Arthur Smith’s coaching. Some believe he can excel due to potential increased targets and offensive changes.
• Fryemuth could see a substantial target share increase, giving him the opportunity for a breakout fantasy season.
• Concerns exist regarding his ceiling, as even a career year in terms of statistics may not translate to significant fantasy impact.
• Fryemuth’s success might rely heavily on how the Steelers utilize him within their offensive schemes.

Fryemuth could see a 20 plus percent target share, potentially leading to a career year and enhanced fantasy performance.

Impact of Running Quarterbacks on Running Back Fantasy Production 33:41

• Running quarterbacks can impact running back production by reducing the overall volume of touches for the running backs.
• While running back efficiency might improve with running quarterbacks, their presence can limit the running back’s fantasy ceiling due to reduced touchdown opportunities.
• The data suggests that only a few running backs historically have maintained high fantasy production alongside rushing quarterbacks.
• The relationship between running quarterbacks and running backs highlights a trade-off between volume and efficiency in fantasy football.

Running quarterbacks can lower the fantasy ceiling for running backs, despite potentially boosting their efficiency.

Evaluating Running Backs with Rushing Quarterbacks 33:50

• Running quarterbacks might create challenges for certain running backs in terms of fantasy production.
• Factors like the running quarterback vulturing touchdowns and reduced passing to running backs can affect fantasy outlook.
• Analyzing running backs paired with mobile quarterbacks is crucial for understanding potential limitations in fantasy performance.
• The dilemma lies in balancing the efficiency benefits with the potential reduction in scoring opportunities for running backs.

The impact of running quarterbacks on running back fantasy production involves a trade-off between volume and efficiency.

Jonathan Taylor‘s Fantasy Potential 37:02

• Jonathan Taylor might not reach the number one running back status but could still excel as a top-five or six fantasy running back.
• Analyzing last year’s quarterback rushing leaders sheds light on potential fantasy insights.

Can Jonathan Taylor be the number one running back? Probably not. Can he still be outstanding for fantasy football and the running back five or six? Yeah, I think he can.

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Quarterback Rushing Yardage Comparison 37:20

• Reviewing quarterbacks’ rushing yardage from the past season shows Lamar, Fields, Hertz, Allen, Dobbs, Hill, Mahomes, and Wilson among the leaders.
• The analysis hints at the evolving dynamics and potential impact on this season’s fantasy outcomes.

I, for the fun of it, wanted to look back at last year’s stats and see the rushing leaders at the quarterback position.

Evaluating Josh Jacobs vs. Stefan Diggs 38:30

• Considering ADP rankings, Josh Jacobs and Stefan Diggs are close in draft position but present different risk profiles.
• The discussion leans towards Josh Jacobs due to perceived potential for a stronger fantasy season.

Right now they’re going back to back in ADP on sleeper. I would much rather, like if I had to take the gamble, I’m taking the gamble with Josh Jacobs.

Factors in Player Tiering for Drafting Decisions 42:09

• When creating player tiers, factors such as range of outcomes, risk assessment, and grouping with similar projections are essential.
• Tiers aid in making strategic drafting decisions by maximizing value based on players’ potential outcomes and positions.

We’re trying to group players together with the most likely range of outcomes. It helps you take the right position every round because you can look and say, I’m maximizing my value.

Troy Franklin Enthusiasm Query 43:15

• Growing enthusiasm for Troy Franklin in fantasy football prompts the question of over-enthusiasm and potential player analysis biases.
• Balanced perspectives are necessary in evaluating player potential to make informed fantasy decisions.

Am I crazy for being all in on Troy Franklin? Hey, it’s Franklin.

Risks of Being “All In” on Troy Franklin 43:32

• Being completely invested in Troy Franklin could be risky, especially considering the historical odds of late-round wide receivers succeeding in their first year.
• Drafting him on all your teams may not be wise due to the low probability of such players hitting a significant fantasy point threshold early on.

If you’re all in, that’s crazy.

Evaluating Troy Franklin’s Potential 43:52

• Only 4% of wide receivers drafted on day three over the last decade have achieved 10 or more fantasy points in their first year.
• Given these statistics, there’s a high 96% likelihood against Troy Franklin’s success this season, especially with a rookie quarterback and the challenge of sustaining a WR1 status.

That’s 4% of the 165 wide receivers drafted on day three over the last decade have hit 10 plus fantasy points in year one.

Differing Opinions on Troy Franklin 44:33

• Despite initial enthusiasm for Troy Franklin, there is now a clear shift in sentiment, with doubts about his potential this year.
• Personal preference and optimism about his traits are overshadowed by the pragmatic assessment of the situation that leans towards skepticism.

I was pre-NFL draft. Absolutely, yes. I was an absolutely yes on Troy Franklin. I still love his traits. I hope that he works out. I’m 100% betting against Troy Franklin working out this year.

Assessing Brian Thomas‘s Potential Value 47:00

• Brian Thomas offers appealing value in the draft due to his lower ADP compared to other rookies like Malik Neighbors.
• His athleticism, coupled with the opportunity he has in his team, positions him as a promising late-round pick who could capitalize on his early chances and emerge as a solid fantasy asset.

So to me, that is a good bet. Now, if you told me Brian Thomas was being priced at the ceiling, you know, we’re not having many conversations about Brian Thomas anymore.

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The Potential Impact of Trevor Lawrence on Brian Thomas‘s Performance 49:05

• Investing in Brian Thomas in the later rounds hinges not only on Thomas’s abilities but also on Trevor Lawrence‘s progression and their on-field chemistry for scoring touchdowns.
• The belief is that a connection and increased touchdown production between Lawrence and Thomas could elevate Thomas to a standout performer, making him a desirable fantasy option.

This is like the bet to me on Brian Thomas, ninth round for, he was the first round, right? He’s not the only one. That’s when we talk about targeting rookie wide receivers in your fantasy draft, that’s what we’re talking about.

Drafting Risers and Potential Red Flags 50:09

• Tyler Boyd dropped into the third round, likely due to off-the-field concerns, which can be a troubling sign for a player whose talent should warrant a higher pick. Overcoming such red flags is possible through personal growth and maturity, but in the context of redraft leagues, the uncertainties surrounding Boyd’s situation may lower his appeal, especially considering the likelihood of him playing out the full season.

But you can overcome those. People evolve, they mature. But in terms of redrafts, I put the odds lower cause I think that T plays out the year.

• Jermaine Burton could be an intriguing late-round pick in best ball leagues, offering the potential to make impactful catches deep downfield, showcasing his ability to produce explosive plays as seen by his impressive average yards per catch at Alabama.

If you want to take some shots in a best ball league on Jermaine Burton, I love that. I love that you’re late in your draft because he’s someone that could catch a few over the top, behind the defense balls from Burrow.

Fantasy Football League Dynamics and Banter 51:22

• Sharing the passion for fantasy football with a partner who defeated you in the league can strengthen your relationship, fostering a shared interest and providing opportunities for playful banter and discussion about the game. Despite the competitive loss, the mutual enjoyment of the sport can enhance your connection and create enjoyable moments together.

She brings it up every time we talk about football. That’s awesome. Congratulations.

• Playfully acknowledging the defeat and embracing the banter can add a lighthearted element to the relationship, where both partners can engage in friendly teasing and humor, appreciating the fun and camaraderie that fantasy football brings to their dynamic.

Yeah, but also you can’t come back. You can’t come back. I mean, I agree with Mike, like this is really cool, but now you’re just a loser.

Conclusion and Show Promotion 52:43

• The episode concludes with an announcement about an upcoming live show in Los Angeles, inviting listeners to join the hosts for a special event celebrating the podcast’s 10th anniversary, emphasizing the excitement surrounding the occasion and encouraging fans to secure their tickets for the show.

We are excited. It’s gonna be fun. Celebrate our 10th anniversary. My goodness.

• The hosts express anticipation for the live event, highlighting the importance of their community and the milestone of reaching a decade of producing the Fantasy Footballers podcast, alluding to a sense of gratitude and achievement within the podcasting realm.

It’s gonna be fun. Celebrate our 10th anniversary. My goodness.