Week 12 GPP Picks on FanDuel
All of the cash game options at QB are certainly useable in tournaments. These are quarterbacks you may want to stay away from in cash, however.
Carson Wentz vs CHI $8,900
This Bears defense has held some big time QBs to some mediocre games, which is why I would fade Wentz in cash as this is a team that is at home and are heavy favorites. There’s a chance the Eagles lean on their four running backs in this game, but Wentz is worth the play in a tournament. He’s first in the league with 25 passing touchdowns, and sixth in rushing yards. Wentz has hit at least 18 FanDuel points in six straight games and he’s second behind Wilson in FanDuel points per game.
Cam Newton @ NYJ $8,000
Newton has 55 FanDuel points in his last two games, and he’s coming off a four touchdown game where he had 95 rushing yards. He looks like the old Cam with at least 44 yards on the ground in five straight games now, and six of his last seven. Cam is likely to get Greg Olsen back as well which should help his passing numbers.
Marcus Mariota @ IND $7,800
Mariota has been pretty disappointing this season as he only has five passing touchdowns in his last six games. It’s all about what have you done for me lately in Fantasy and because of that, he may come with a low ownership percentage. Most of all, this is a really good matchup. Mariota is coming off his second 300 yard game, and his other came earlier in the year against the Colts. Indy has the sixth worst pass DVOA defense in the league, they’ve allowed the third most yards per game, the third most passing yards per game, the most points per game, and the sixth most points per game to QBs. I like a Titans stack this week with all of Mariota’s weapons.
Philip Rivers @ DAL $7,600
If you want to spend down at the position, Rivers is a worthy candidate. This game features the highest total on Thanksgiving, and Rivers has at least two passing touchdowns in three of his last four games. The yards may not be there, but he has enough weapons to throw three or four touchdowns against a Dallas team that looks like they’ve given up. Dallas has allowed QBs to throw at least two passing touchdowns on them in seven of their 10 games. Eli Manning failed to do so without Odell Beckham in Week 1 and C.J. Beathard was quiet against them, although, he had a rushing touchdown. This Dallas defense is not the same without Sean Lee.
Matt Moore @ NE $6,000
Moore has at least 14 FanDuel points in two of his three outings this season. It sounds like Jay Cutler is likely going to sit this one out with a concussion. The Patriots defense has been improving each week, but they are still allowing the most yards per game, and the most passing yards per game. Miami will have no choice but to throw in this game, and Football Outsiders has the Patriots as the fourth worst pass DVOA defense in the league. I was going to suggest Paxton Lynch in this article because you know I like to get nuts, but Moore is cheaper and has a higher ceiling, so there is no need to roster anyone else at this price, but Moore. Over on DraftKings, Lynch is worth one play if you roll out a few lineups. Below are a few surprising numbers his wideouts produced with Lynch at QB.
Mark Ingram $8,200 & Alvin Kamara $8,100 @ LAR
These two have combined for 13 touchdowns in their last six games. Kamara is RB1 over the last four weeks, and Ingram is RB2. Ingram is safer as he has 66 carries and 77 touches compared to only 58 touches from Kamara over that time frame. They each have four touchdowns over that span, and are both heavily involved in the offense as they have 35 targets and 30 catches between them. The Rams have allowed the fourth most Fantasy points to running backs this season. The duo of Latavius Murray and Jerick McKinnon combined for 33 Fantasy points on them last week.
Kareem Hunt vs BUF $7,700
Hunt has had three straight games with fewer than nine Fantasy points, but this is a plus matchup. The Bills have allowed over 600 rushing yards in their last three games, and the second most points per game to running backs. There’s definitely some risk in this play, but Hunt is dropping in price, and he’s coming off an 18 carry game with 73 yards. That’s not awful, and Buffalo has allowed 101 points in their last two games, and 135 in their last three. The Bills defense now ranks second to last in rush DVOA.
LeSean McCoy @ KC $8,300
The Chiefs have allowed the fifth most yards per game, and the fourth most rushing yards per game. Shady proved last week that it didn’t matter who was starting at QB and this is the best matchup of the week according to Football Outsiders as the Chiefs rank dead last in rush DVOA. With Kelvin Benjamin likely sidelined with a knee injury, the Bills have no choice but to lean on their best weapon in a must win game. Expect a few more targets in the passing game as well.
Todd Gurley vs NO $8,500
Gurley leads the league in rushing touchdowns, he’s fourth in carries, fifth in rushing yards, fourth in receiving yards, and he’s third in receiving touchdowns. The offense goes through him, and he may be headed for a few more catches with Robert Woods sidelined. The back has 22 targets and 15 catches in his last four games. The Saints have the seventh worst rush DVOA defense in the league. They allowed Samaje Perine to rack up 117 on them last week, and that was the fourth running back to hit the century mark on them this season.
Jay Ajayi $7,000 & Corey Clement $5,300
Ajayi only has 15 carries in his two games with the Eagles, but he has 168 yards and double-digit points in both games. Philadelphia will continue to rotate through backs, which is why you can’t play Ajayi in cash at the moment, but at any moment he could explode for a couple scores. I think Clement is worth a GPP play if you are putting together a few different lineups in the same contest. He only has 31 touches in his last four games, but he has five touchdowns and he had more snaps than Ajayi last week. The Eagles are heavy home favorites, and they may lean on Clement late.
DeMarco Murray @ IND $6,500
Murray has been one of the most disappointing backs in football, as he only has one game with over 14 carries (18), and he has one game with over 59 yards (115). One of his better games, however, came against the same Colts team he’s about to play. Murray had 12 carries, for 40 yards and a touchdown. He also caught four balls for 47 yards. He has nine catches in his last two games, and 22 in his last six games. Murray is cheap and has the potential to give you another 27 point effort like we saw from him two weeks ago.
Carlos Hyde vs SEA $6,600
Hyde is fourth among backs with 60 targets, and sixth with 42 catches. With Pierre Garcon sidelined, the targets are not going anywhere. Hyde has 37 targets in his last five games, and is not far removed from an 11 target, nine catch game in which he racked up 84 yards. The rushing yards may not be there, despite racking up 98 last time he played, but the involvement in the passing game will be.
J.D. McKissic @ SF $5,500
McKissic had a season-high seven carries and 30 yards last week. He also caught five balls on six targets, and it seems like he is the guy in the backfield for the Seahawks. Eddie Lacy continues to struggle, Mike Davis will likely be sidelined, and Thomas Rawls has failed to produce with every opportunity. Seattle may be up in this game, and they could lean on McKissic who is trending up.
Leonard Fournette @ ARI $8,100
Fournette shouldn’t be a cash game play for the rest of the year due to the injuries he’s battling, but last week you would have had him at low ownership, and despite no touchdowns, he had a pretty good day. Against one of the better run defenses in the league, Fournette had 28 carries and 111 yards. He’s topped the 100 yard mark in four games this season, and he has seven touchdowns in eight games. He’s much more affordable this week than last, and I wouldn’t have a lot of exposure to him, but worth a shot in a couple due to the low ownership and high ceiling.
Devontae Booker @ OAK $5,500
Booker had a season-high 18 carries and 44 rushing yards last week, and he also had a season-high five catches. The Broncos have made a QB change and fired their OC, so this could be the beginning for Booker. He also had a season-high 98 yards from scrimmage last week, and had 18 more snaps than C.J. Anderson. Who knows what this offense will do, they could go back to C.J. which is why you can only play Booker in tournaments. He’s a much better play on DraftKings.
Dion Lewis vs MIA $6,200
Lewis has had at least 10 carries in five straight games now and it seems Mike Gillislee may sit out the remainder of the season. Lewis has scored a touchdown in back-to-back games, and four of his last seven games. James White has also been quiet of late as well, so it feels like you can play Lewis with confidence against Miami. The Pats may run in the fourth if they do in fact follow suggested game script.
Danny Woodhead vs HOU $5,400
Woodhead is a better play on DraftKings because you get that full point for a catch. In just under five full quarters of play this season, Woodhead has nine targets, eight catches and 54 yards. He won’t rack up a lot of carries, but he may lead the team in targets and catches in this game. He had six last week including a red zone look.
Tarik Cohen $5,300
If the Bears are down in this game, Cohen will most likely be involved in the passing game. It’s a play that works better on DraftKings, because of the flex and the extra half point for a catch. The Eagles have allowed 58 catches to running backs this season, and Cohen had four last game and he has 33 on the season.
A.J. Green vs CLE $8,300
It’s been a disappointing season for A.J. and this Bengals team, that’s for sure. With that said, Green still has six touchdowns on the season, two in his last two games, and six in his last eight. We all know he didn’t last long in one of those games as he was ejected for getting into it with Jalen Ramsey. The Browns have the ninth worst pass DVOA defense in the league, and they’ve allowed 20 passing touchdowns this season.
Devin Funchess @ NYJ $7,300
The likely return of Greg Olsen may cut in to Funchess a little bit, that’s why he’s more of a tournament play. Nonetheless, Funchess is coming off a two touchdown game, and has 86 plus yards in two straight games with five catches in both. The Jets are allowing the 10th most Fantasy points to wideouts. They’ve also allowed 20 passing touchdowns which is tied for the fourth most in the league.
Mohamed Sanu vs TB $5,800
Sanu is cheap and he’s producing. The ATL wideout has three touchdowns in his last four games and this is a phenomenal matchup for him. TB has allowed the fourth most yards per game, the second most passing yards per game, and they are allowing the most Fantasy points to wide receivers.
Alshon Jeffery vs CHI $7,100
Jeffery and Wentz are 100 percent on the same page now as the duo have connected for four touchdowns in their last three games. I don’t need to tell you this is a revenge spot, and you don’t have to believe in that narrative, but Wentz is going to try and hook up with Jeffery for a touchdown against his former team. Jeffery is underpriced on DraftKings.
T.Y Hilton vs TEN $7,500
Still to hard to trust in cash, but we know the ceiling for T.Y., especially in a good matchup. The Titans have allowed the fifth most Fantasy points to WRs and they’ve allowed nine wideouts to reach at least 76 receiving yards on them. Antonio Brown went off last week against the Titans, Brandon LaFell and A.J. Green combined for over 200 receiving yards the week before, and the week before that, Jeremy Maclin had 98 yards. Hilton has at least 150 receiving yards in three games this season. Make sure Jacobby Brissett is playing.
Rishard Matthews $6,300 & Corey Davis $5,400 @ IND
I’m all about Davis. I think he’s the most talented wideout on the team, and he has three games with at least seven targets. Not bad considering he’s only played four full games. The catches haven’t been there, but the volume has, and if you’ve watched him play, you see the talent he has. He can blow up at any minute and it may just be against the Colts who are allowing the most points per game and the third most yards per game. They’ve also allowed the second most receiving yards per game. It’s safe to dial up a few Titans in his game, and both Davis and Matthews are affordable. Matthews has 14 catches, 233 yards and two touchdowns in the last three weeks with Davis in the lineup.
Demaryius Thomas $6,800 & Emmanuel Sanders $6,300 @ OAK
People may shy away from these two because Paxton Lynch is the QB. Ask yourself this, though… can it really get any worse? In three games with Lynch at QB, Thomas has 24 targets, 17 catches, 204 yards and two touchdowns. Sanders has 31 targets, 18 catches, 196 yards and one touchdown. Oakland has the worst pass DVOA defense in the league. Sanders is safer and Thomas has a higher ceiling.
Cooper Kupp vs NO $5,400
This game between the Rams and Saints features the highest total of the week, and Kupp should be heavily involved with Robert Woods out. Kupp is extremely affordable and has seven targets and six catches in two straight games. He’s also fourth in the league with 16 red zone targets. If Marshawn Latimore plays, expect him to be on Sammy Watkins which should free up Kupp. If Latimore doesn’t play. Watkins becomes a pretty good play with some upside.
Kenny Stills @ NE $5,600
Miami has no run game in sight, and Matt Moore will have to throw the ball in this game. If it is indeed him at QB, roll out Stills, because these two have a connection going back to last season. Stills had seven grabs for 180 yards and a touchdown last week with most of that production coming with Moore in the second half. Stills has 27 targets, 18 catches, 330 yards and three touchdowns in three games where Moore has appeared as the QB. Last season in five games together, Stills had 30 targets, 19 receptions, 307 yards and three touchdowns.
JuJu Smith-Schuster vs GB @6,800
How can you not like JuJu? First of all the name is awesome, his involvement on social media is next to none, and he’s celebrating his 21st birthday this week. That aside, his play on the football field has been tremendous. He has five touchdowns on the season and three in his last four games. JuJu has 25 targets, 16 catches and 337 yards in his last three games. The Packers have allowed the sixth most Fantasy points to WRs. If he doesn’t play due to a hamstring strain, Martavis Bryant would be worth a shot in a tournament.
Marquise Goodwin vs SEA $5,300
Goodwin has five games with at least 60 yards this season, and at least eight targets in three of his last six. There’s no question he’s inconsistent, but he ranks seventh in air yards with a 15.8 mark. That tells us the 49ers usually take shots with him down the field. The Seattle secondary is banged up right now, and all Goodwin needs to do is catch one of those bombs to return value and he did that last time we saw him. Expect SF to take a couple shots to Goodwin in a game they’ll most likely be behind in.
Travis Kelce vs BUF $7,500
Kelce was the first TE to not score a touchdown against the Giants (go figure), but he still had 14 targets, eight catches and 109 yards. He has at least seven grabs in three straight games with 33 targets over that span.
Jimmy Graham @ SF $7,000
Graham has been the main beneficiary of Wilson throwing the ball so much as the TE has 28 targets and 18 catches in his last three games. He also has seven touchdowns in his last six games. Graham leads the league with 22 red zone targets and 13 red zone catches. He also leads all tight ends in Fantasy points and touchdowns in the last four weeks.
Delanie Walker @ IND $5,900
Walker has 60 plus yards and five plus catches in four straight games. He has zero touchdowns on the season, and still has the seventh most FanDuel points per game among TEs. Walker’s 17 catches over the last four weeks are the fifth most at the position. The Colts are allowing the most points per game in the NFL, the third most passing yards per game, and third most total yards per game.
Tyler Kroft vs. CLE $5,700
If you are looking to be different and save some cash, you could plug in Kroft. He scored his fourth touchdown of the season last week, and he had six grabs, 68 yards and two touchdowns the last time he played the Browns. Cleveland has allowed the second most points to TEs. Keep an eye on his status as he was limited this week with a hand injury, but reportedly should play.
Jacksonville Jaguars @ ARI $5,500
Antonio Brown and DeAndre Hopkins are the only wide receivers averaging more FanDuel points per game than the Jacksonville Jaguars. No tight end has more points per game, and only seven running backs have topped Jacksonville’s 15 FD points per game. Brown and Hopkins are averaging two more points per game than the Jags. When you put that into perspective, the Jags seem like a must play as they are much cheaper than Brown and Hopkins. They are first in points allowed, sacks, fumbles recovered, second in return touchdowns with six, and they have 13 picks which ranks third. Blaine Gabbert is going to have his hands full against this number one defense.
Philadelphia Eagles vs CHI $4,900
The Eagles dial up more pressure than any other team, and it’s resulted in 14 interceptions which is the second most in the league. Philly ranks fourth in sacks with 29, and they are sixth in points allowed. This is a really bad spot for Mitchell Trubisky who is on the road playing for a team that ranks second last in passing yards per game, and their only weapon is Jordan Howard. It’ll be tough for him as the Eagles have allowed the fewest rushing yards per game.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs GB $4,800
The Steelers have five interceptions in their last two games and Brett Hundley is coming off a three interception game. The Packers have had problems moving the ball, and will have no choice but to throw which will likely result in a few scoring chance opportunities for this defense. The Steelers rank fourth in interceptions, second in sacks and points allowed. Green Bay has allowed 36 sacks which is the second highest total in the league, and Hundley has two touchdowns and seven picks this season.
Ryan Succop @ IND$4,800
Succop is averaging 10 FanDuel points per game which ranks sixth, and he’s under that 5K mark which is nice. This is a game where the Titans should be able to move the ball and score some points, which was the case earlier in the year when they put up 36 on the Colts, and Succup ended up with five field goals and 21 points.
Chris Boswell vs GB $4,800
Hard to imagine the Steelers not scoring three or four times in this game. Boswell has at least seven FanDuel points in four straight games and six of his last eight games. Boswell also has two 19 point games in two of his last four including his last one.
Matt Bryant vs TB $4,900
Bryant is another kicker who is playing on a team that should be able to score some points. TB is one of the worst teams defensively and Bryant has at least seven points in four straight games. He has double digit points in three of four.
Stephen Gostkowski vs MIA $5,200
If you have the money to upgrade then go for it. Don’t sacrifice your lineup elsewhere for him, but if you can get him in there you should. Gostkowski has at least 11 FanDuel points in eight of his 10 games.