Thursday Night DraftKings Showdown: Week 4
Week 3 is in the books and it’s time to look forward to Week 4, which kicks off on Thursday night in a riveting matchup between the 0-3 Denver Broncos and the 0-3 New York Jets. This game features an uninspiring 40 point over/under, and the Broncos are favored by 2.5 points. Look, there’s no kind way to say this – it’s probably going to be an ugly game between two struggling offenses. BUT, if you’re reading this article then you love fantasy football and you love DFS, and that my friends, will make this an exciting game for us. If you’re playing in the Thursday night showdown slate on DraftKings, keep reading for my favorite picks.
Before we get to the captain and flex picks, it’s important to formulate a likely game script, as this will help us choose the optimal captain spot, which is crucial to winning in showdown. The Broncos might be 0-3 in the standings, but they’re 2-1 against the spread. Meanwhile, the Jets are 0-3 against the spread and rank dead last in yards per game and scoring, and they rank 29th in plays per game. The Broncos are better, but not by much. In the same categories, the Broncos rank 30th in points per game, 29th in yards per game, and they rank 20th plays per game. With these stats in mind and the fact that the Jets are 0-3 against the spread, I’m going to write up my favorite plays based on a game script where the Broncos are winning.
Captain Spot Choices
Melvin Gordon $16,500
Melvin Gordon is easily the best play on the slate given the Jets’ porous run defense. If we assume the Broncos are winning this game, Melvin Gordon should have a big role and is the projected top scorer on the slate. The Jets have allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing running backs and have allowed more than 25 fantasy points to opposing RBs in back-to-back weeks. The Jets have also allowed at least one TD to opposing RBs in each of their three games in 2020. Philip Lindsay has been limited in practice all week as he attempts to return from a Week 1 turf toe injury. Even if Lindsay plays, he’ll be at less than 100% and is likely to play a complementary role behind Melvin Gordon, who’s seen an average of 17 touches per game through three weeks.