NFL DFS Pace of Play for Week 6 (Fantasy Football)
Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. Even slight differentiations of team trends matter in a world where volume is king. In 2020, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five game environments factoring in their pace metrics, stacks to consider for tournaments, and five dart throws to shoot for the moon with.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Washington Football Team (+6.5)- O/U: 55.5
Whew, that total is as good as they get and before we discuss the offenses, both of these defenses need to press reset on 2021. I’ll spit out some stats for both that are eye-popping. Kansas City has the lowest pressure rate in the league (33%) and the most points per drive (3.54) in the NFL. Heck, they rank dead last in rush and pass success rate. Pick your poison! Almost every Washington player is in view and some of their salaries are so dang cheap that double-stacking with Terry McLaurin or Antonio Gibson makes sense. On the other hand, the once-vaunted Washington defense is allowing the 2nd highest expected points added per pass attempt and the 2nd most total plays per game. Teams are converted 1st downs and extending drives at such a drastically different rate from 2020. Everything in the metrics tells us 55.5 points isn’t enough.