Monday Night Football DFS Slate Breakdown for Week 6

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With all of the craziness going on around the NFL, we get a rare doubleheader on Monday Night Football, and that means an additional DFS slate┬áto build that bankroll! This article is unique for the DFS pass in that our structure generally provides cash and GPP picks for the main slate. However, a 2-game DFS slate is a whole different animal. Let’s start with some basic strategy before we break down my favorite plays.

In general, roster percentages are going to spike on a two-game slate given that the player pool shrinks with only four teams in action. As a result, we’re likely not going to be able to identify many players who are rostered on just 3-5% of teams the way we are in large-field tournaments on the main slate.

Because of this lack of variation in player pool selection, we need to be unique when building our GPP lineups from a roster construction standpoint. For example, it’s generally not recommended to play two TEs (one in the flex) in a DFS lineup as that has been shown to produce lower scores in most weeks and on most slates. However, in a two-game slate those types of contrarian roster builds are okay.

One final thing to consider when playing GPPs with a two-game slate is that our expectation of player production needs to be reduced relative to cost. A general rule of thumb that Kyle and I discuss on the DFS podcast when analyzing the main slate is that we’re looking for players who can 3x their salary in order to provide a spike week that’s needed to take down a GPP. Given that we’re forced to play thinner options, we can’t necessarily expect to have as many options to choose from for this type of scenario.

Week 6 MNF Schedule:
5 PM ET: Kansas City Chiefs @ Buffalo Bills, O/U: 57.0, KC -5
Implied Team Totals: KC: 30.75, BUF: 26.75
Injuries to monitor: John Brown (Questionable, knee), Dawson Knox (Out, calf), Sammy Watkins (Out, hamstring)
8:15 PM ET: Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys, O/U: 55.0, ARI -2
Implied Team Totals: ARI: 28.25 , DAL: 26.75
Injuries to monitor: Chandler Jones (IR, Biceps)
Top Plays

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes $7,500
As the best QB in football, there isn’t too much needed to justify Mahomes in cash games on a 2-game slate, but he finds himself in a smash spot against an underachieving Bills defense. They’ve conceded four straight top-14 fantasy finishes to opposing QBs, and from Weeks 2-5, the Bills have allowed a 9:1 TD-to-INT ratio. We can expect the Bills to also put up points in this one, which should help push this game into a shootout.

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