DFS Pace of Play for Week 6 (Fantasy Football)
It’s Week 6! Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. For every 5 seconds difference in terms of per play, a team runs 15 more plays per game. In DFS world, that’s a massive considering volume is king. In 2019, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five statistics that will affect matchups this week, five games worth stacking, and five dart throws for tournaments.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Five Stats to Know
1. After two touchdowns on Tuesday night, Derrick Henry projects as one of the top points per dollar plays this week on DraftKings, where the lack of passing down skill set is often overlooked. As mentioned in the First Look article, Henry, A.J. Brown, and Ryan Tannehill all had success against the Texans last year. This is a game that needs to be stacked IF you think there is a back-and-forth momentum. Tennessee isn’t just a slow plodding bunch. They rank 3rd in plays per game with the highest rush success rate and 3rd highest early down success rate. In other words, they are converting first downs and Tannehill is still operating absurdly efficient in the red zone. The Titans will be popular given what we saw them do to the Bills on Tuesday night.