Week 11 Underperformers & Overachievers
Welcome back, FootClan, to Week 11 of Underperformers & Overachievers!
In Week 2, we discussed the “Bizarro World” weeks of fantasy football, and it appears we were overdue for another.
With a myriad of injuries and top-tier (even record-setting) performances from backups like Jacoby Brissett, Sean Tucker, Kenneth Gainwell, and Michael Wilson, we were once again reminded how unpredictable this game can be.
With the trade deadline looming, now is the last chance to set yourself apart, take that bye week by storm, and become the dominant force your friends are all afraid of.
To assist you in your preparation, here is a glossary of fantastic trade articles written by our staff over the past few years:
- Tricks of the Trade by Nick Beaudoin
- The Psychology Behind Trading in Dynasty Fantasy Football by Nick Beaudoin
- 10 Tips of Trading Etiquette & Strategy by Michael Wenrich
- Advanced Trade Strategies by Jeff Greenwood
- The Evolution of Trade Evaluation by Nate Henry
- 10 Tips for Successful Dynasty Negotiations by Ryan DeVaney
- Negotiation Strategy: Five Tips for Your Fantasy Football Trades by Matt DiSorbo
- 5 Tricks to the [Perfect] Trade by Kyle Borgognoni
Today, we will highlight a few of the Underperformers & Overachievers from Week 11 of the NFL season. We will use predictive and advanced metrics such as Targets Per Route Run (TPRR), the Bell Cow Report, and Expected Fantasy Points (xFP) to parse through the weeds and decide what was random and what is here to stay.
If you haven’t already, check out the Advanced Metrics Glossary here!
Targets Per Route Run (TPPR)
Targets Per Route Run is the number of targets a player receives divided by the number of routes they run. This metric highlights a player’s involvement in the passing game, displaying which receivers are favored targets when they are on the field running routes.
Overachiever: George Pickens (Dallas Cowboys)
TPRR: 41%
Stat Line: nine receptions (11 targets), 144 yards receiving, TD
Fantasy Points: 24.9 (WR3)
The Cowboys have made some.. let’s just say “interesting” trades the past few years, but this year’s push for George Pickens has already paid dividends.
For fantasy football. Not for real football, of course.
Pickens looked elite against the Raiders, and this wasn’t the “only nines” route tree we grew used to seeing with Arthur Smith. He displayed sure hands all over the field, made almost everyone miss, and looked electric after the catch. Pickens finished as the WR3 on the week, and arguably, his best reception didn’t even count, as he was inches away from yet another highlight reel TD.
Pickens entered the year in a unique situation. The Cowboys coughed up third and fifth-round picks to bring him in, but both parties agreed not to sign an extension. He was willing to bet on himself in a contract year, and so far, he’s made the right decision.
In what is (by far) the best offense he’s played with, he is second in receiving yards, seventh in TDs, and well on his way to earning a big contract this offseason.
Not with the Cowboys, of course, as they are projected to be $35 million over the cap next year.
it might not have counted, but George Pickens made another ridiculous catch 🤏 pic.twitter.com/bFcJJqwydP
— NFL Fantasy Football (@NFLFantasy) November 18, 2025
Underperformer: DJ Moore (Chicago Bears)
TPRR: 10%
Stat Line: one reception (three targets), 18 yards receiving | one rush, three yards
Fantasy Points: 2.6 (WR72)
As a DJ Moore fan for many years, this one stings a bit.
Since his blow-up game (against the Bengals), DJ Moore has fallen back in the team’s pecking order, serving as the second, third, or, in this week’s case, fifth target earner against Minnesota.
As the WR49 in PPG, DJ has become impossible to trust and borderline droppable in standard leagues. I am always willing to bet on talent, but with an upcoming gauntlet of the Steelers, Eagles, Packers, Browns, and Packers again, I fear the division-leading Bears (what a crazy sentence) may be exposed sooner than later.
DJ Moore drops a WIDE OPEN ball pic.twitter.com/nUL7bn2mbX
— Depressed Bears Fan (@DepBearsFan) November 16, 2025
Bell Cow Report
The Bell Cow is a rare, mythical beast in the world of fantasy football. He is one who dominates his backfield in touches as both a rusher and receiver, displaying an elite skill set and putting the team on his back, à la Greg Jennings.
Overachiever: Kareem Hunt (Kansas City Chiefs)
% of Team Carries: 92.9%
% Target Share: 4.4%
% Team Yards: 19.9%
Stat Line: 13 carries, 59 rushing yards | one reception (two targets), three yards receiving
Fantasy Points: 12.7 (RB19)
When Isiah Pacheco went down in Week 8, the entire world expected more Brashard Smith. As the trade deadline neared, the community rooted for Breece Hall to be set free. But neither came to fruition, and Kareem Hunt has a clear stranglehold on this backfield.
While this isn’t the elite performance we would typically discuss, it is evident that this coaching staff trusts Hunt and only Hunt when the game is actually competitive. And against the Broncos, that was certainly the case.
He is not flashy or sexy, but we’ve seen this script before. Pacheco goes down, and it’s Hunt’s backfield to lose. It is unclear what Pacheco’s status is for the next week (or two), but if you need RB depth before your trade deadline, Hunt may be the cheapest one out there.
I feel bad for Travis Kelce & Kareem Hunt. Those two played lights out yesterday and it went all for naught because almost every other player & all the coaches couldn't come through…😔
Please get it together, Chiefs! These two aren't getting younger! 🙏 pic.twitter.com/35VV6fvdMP
— Eddie Resurreccion (@EdmarResurrecc1) November 17, 2025
Underperformer: Nick Chubb (Houston Texans)
% of Team Carries: 13%
% Target Share: 4.9%
% Team Yards: 5.4%
Stat Line: three carries, 17 yards rushing | zero receptions (two targets)
Fantasy Points: 1.7 (RB62)
With just eight touches over the past two weeks, the Texans are quietly sending Nick Chubb off to pasture.
Chubb has been one of the most dominant and pure RBs over the past decade, but likely will never be the same after his brutal knee injury in 2023. He does still have some juice and could provide quality depth for years to come, but the Texans are already looking to the future with rookie Woody Marks, who has seen 10+ touches in six of the last seven games.
With the Bills, Colts, and Chiefs upcoming, there is little reason to believe in Chubb’s fantasy value for the rest of the season. But, with that said, if any of you youngins’ aren’t familiar with Chubb’s game, I recommend throwing on a highlight tape right now.
Nick Chubb highlights just because I’m hyped!? 🔥 #Htownmade pic.twitter.com/mD4eOm1az5
— Mr.Optimistic (@MrOptimisticHou) June 8, 2025
Expected Fantasy Points (xFP)
Expected fantasy points (xFP) strips away player talent and efficiency and focuses solely on opportunity. It uses stats to project a player’s would-be fantasy points based on actual in-game metrics.
Overachiever: Jameson Williams (Detroit Lions)
xFP: 11.8
Fantasy Points: 17.7 (WR6)
The Lions were shut down by the Eagles in prime time this week, but things are finally looking up for Jameson Williams.
Since the Week 8 bye (and Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties), Jameson has been the WR2 overall. He is averaging 6.7 targets, 91 yards, and has scored in each of the past three games. Dan Campbell has announced he will remain the play caller for the rest of the season, which is promising for anyone who held out hope.
With Sam LaPorta officially on IR, Jameson should see an immediate uptick of targets in one of the highest-scoring offenses in the league. He will always have a boom/bust aspect to his play, but could be a league-winning FLEX play given the Lions’ favorable schedule.
Jameson Williams has now finished as a Top-16 WR or better in 4 of his last 5 games 🔥 pic.twitter.com/KIZB7LjhSO
— Fantasy Footballers (@TheFFBallers) November 18, 2025
Underperformer: AJ Brown (Philadelphia Eagles)
xFP: 22.4
Fantasy Points: 8.4 (WR28)
The Eagles are simultaneously the most successful and miserable franchise in all of football.
Each year, they find themselves at the top of the league, with a bunch of publicly unhappy players, and coaches being called for their heads. But at least the fanbase is normal.
Eagles fans have no chill 😂
In the middle of an eyewitness describing how people were saving babies out of a burning building, this fan brings up Eagles drops on @NBCPhiladelphia pic.twitter.com/RCLG5ZdNzw
— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) September 23, 2019
On the other side of the field, it was an underwhelming game in an underwhelming season for AJ Brown.
Drafted at an ADP of WR10, he has arguably been fantasy’s biggest letdown this season. Unfortunately, his talent and opportunity make him impossible to bench, but you know things aren’t good when even he wouldn’t start him.
"If you got me on fantasy get rid of me."
AJ Brown doesn't even think he's worth a flex spot 😂 pic.twitter.com/YJoqUuFykb
— Crossing Broad (@CrossingBroad) November 12, 2025
For the record, they very well might win the Super Bowl again.