The Fantasy Footballers’ Starts of the Week for Week 11
The pressure of the fantasy football season is intensifying. As Thanksgiving turkey begins to thaw and dinner butter spreads out, preparations for the final journeys begin for fantasy football managers. For many leagues, the trade deadline is either this week or next. So, your rosters are about to be locked in outside of waiver pickups, so the time to make those last significant changes to win a championship is here. Andy, Mike, and Jason are all wrestling through the same situation, and it is intense at Footballers HQ. Despite that tension, Andy and Jason brought their signature Starts of the Week during Thursday’s episode because they care about everyone who listens and wants to help you get the crucial wins you need at this part of the season. To check out Thursday’s full episode, see the link below:
Of course, if you want even more help with the final playoff push, you need to jump over to jointhefoot.com and become a member of the #FootClan. Also, get involved with our Discord server, where you can find a community of people just like yourself who are passionate about winning championships. For now, though, let’s dive into The Fantasy Footballers’ Starts of the Week for Week 11.
Andy’s Starts of the Week
QB – Jared Goff vs. CHI
Is Jared Goff at home? Then you put him in your lineup. Since the beginning of 2022, when Goff has been at home, he has averaged 273 passing yards and 2.4 passing touchdowns. Chicago has been stopping the run effectively. They are ranked first in expected points per rush attempt. Throwing against the Bears is much easier as they rank 26th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points to QBs. They allow a 67% completion rate. With Justin Fields returning in the game, the ceiling rises for the overall scoring, which could force Goff to continue throwing the ball, which is always good for fantasy players.
RB – Brian Robinson vs. NYG
Robinson will not go away. He is the RB4 on the year, and we are in Week 11. He gets a ton of opportunities, averaging 15 per game. The Commanders are 9.5-point home favorites against the Giants. Last week, Robinson was the go-to pass catcher for the team, something he had never showcased at that level before. The lowly Giants currently allow the second most rushing yards and rushing TDs in the NFL. Andy expects Robinson to keep the Giants at the bottom of the barrel with a big game.
WR – Brandon Aiyuk vs. TB
Andy regrets this choice because he is facing Aiyuk in their league of record and knows what will happen this week. Through Week 10, it is clear that Aiyuk is the number one read in the San Fran offense. He has a 26% target share, which leads the team, and 46% of the team’s air yards, which is top-five in the NFL. He hasn’t just been good when Deebo is out like in the past. Even last week, he had three targets for 55 yards and a touchdown. Tampa Bay has allowed 39 completions of 20+ yards. That ranks fourth in the NFL. Aiyuk thrives in the downfield game, and this matchup is perfect for that.
TE – Dalton Kincaid vs. NYJ
The rookie TE is on fire right now. Over the last month, he has been great for fantasy football. In that time, he averaged seven receptions and 68 yards and has been the most consistent threat to the Buffalo offense. He is a fundamental part of the offense, which you love to see regarding the TE position. He is the TE3 since Dawson Knox was injured, partially due to his 24% target share. The Jets’ defense has been great this year, except against TEs. The Jets have given up the most touchdowns allowed to the TE position this season. It is a weak point for New York, which Josh Allen and Kincaid should take advantage of this week.
Jason’s Starts of the Week
QB – Brock Purdy vs. TB
Purdy has already been highlighted this week in the playoff primer. He currently leads the league in passer rating, yards per attempt, and expected points per dropback. He has been good, especially when he has all his weapons. The wheels are falling for Tampa Bay. Since Week 6, they rank 31st in schedule-adjusted fantasy points given up to the QB and 28th in expected points per pass attempt. San Francisco is a heavy home favorite, and with a 26-point team-implied total, Purdy should have plenty of opportunities to put up some points.
RB – James Conner @ HOU
If there was any doubt about Conner getting a reasonable size workload coming off IR, it was put to bed last week. He saw a 63% snap share and 16 opportunities. Surprisingly, this game has the highest over/under of the week at 48.5 points. Side note: imagine in preseason thinking this game would have a higher total than Philadelphia and Kansas City; what a weird world. The Texans rank 31st in PFF’s team tackling grade and have given up the fourth most rushing touchdowns in the NFL. James Conner will get his fantasy points when the Cardinals get around the goal line.
WR – Tank Dell vs. ARI
He is the alpha among the Texans’ pass-catchers. If you take out Week 1, when he had limited snaps in his first career game, and Week 5, when he got a concussion, Dell has been dominant. He averages 15.6 fantasy points, 8.3 targets, and 77 receiving yards per game. For a rookie, that per-game average would be in the top five behind only OBJ, Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua, and Ja’Marr Chase. He continually earns targets in games, and the Cardinals are fodder for passing attacks. Arizona’s opponents get a first down on 37% of their passing attempts. That ranks 31st in the NFL currently. Part of the reason this game is the highest over/under is because of how bad these defenses are, so the points should flow in this game.
TE – Sam LaPorta vs. CHI
Rookie TEs are all over the Starts of the Week in Week 11. LaPorta gets to stack with Andy’s QB Jared Goff at home. The Lions have the second-highest team implied total with 27.8 points. At home, LaPorta is averaging 15.3 fantasy points on the back of eight targets, six receptions, 63 yards, and a touchdown per game. LaPorta faces a Bears team that ranks 25th in schedule-adjusted fantasy points allowed to TEs. The Lions at home are always good options to play; this week is no exception.