Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 12 (Fantasy Football)

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Welcome back to the TPRR report. As a refresher, Targets Per Route Run, or TPRR, is a metric that quantifies a player’s efficiency in earning targets. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn these targets at a high rate is key. Historically, a 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.

Week 11 Reactions

The good news is that we were spot on about Jauan Jennings being the right call over Ricky Pearsall. Jennings earned another 10 targets at a 29.4% TPRR, while Pearsall was only targeted once (4% TPRR). George Kittle‘s probable return in Week 12 lowers Jennings’ floor, but he’s still a solid play with six teams on bye.

The bad news is that I gave up on Josh Downs because of Anthony Richardson‘s return. Downs’ 20% TPRR in the Week 11 win is respectable, but it’s not the top-tier 30%+ we’ve seen all season. The logic was sound, but Downs made the most of fewer opportunities.

Nico Collins (33%) is back. Despite the Texans leaning heavily on Joe Mixon and the run game and Collins only playing 13% of the offensive snaps, he drew the same number of targets as Tank Dell and Dalton Schultz.

Week 11 targets per route run wide receivers leaders stat table

Data: pff.com

The Season So Far

Late-Season Rookies

It happens every year. Rookies become who they are in the back half of the season. Rome Odunze has seen six or more targets per game the last four weeks, Ladd McConkey just broke out as a favorite target of Justin Herbert, and the trio of Malik Nabers, Brian Thomas Jr., and Marvin Harrison Jr. all flashed their potential early.

What If Running Backs and Tight Ends Were on the List?

Let’s bring this back for a second week. Given eligibility parameters similar to those of wide receivers (reduced to 100 min. route run), here are the top 20 backs and tight ends in TPRR:

Player POS Team Routes Targets TPRR
Alvin Kamara HB NO 242 71 29.34%
Evan Engram TE JAX 174 49 28.16%
Brock Bowers TE LV 317 86 27.13%
Will Dissly TE LAC 176 46 26.14%
Dalton Kincaid TE BUF 223 55 24.66%
Trey McBride TE ARZ 250 61 24.40%
De’Von Achane HB MIA 206 49 23.79%
Miles Sanders HB CAR 108 25 23.15%
Javonte Williams HB DEN 182 42 23.08%
Travis Kelce TE KC 344 79 22.97%
George Kittle TE SF 233 52 22.32%
Jonnu Smith TE MIA 225 50 22.22%
Chase Brown HB CIN 189 42 22.22%
Rico Dowdle HB DAL 153 34 22.22%
David Montgomery HB DET 100 22 22.00%
Breece Hall HB NYJ 274 59 21.53%
Travis Etienne Jr. HB JAX 142 30 21.13%
Rachaad White HB TB 190 40 21.05%
David Njoku TE CLV 231 48 20.78%
Jake Ferguson TE DAL 267 55 20.60%

Tyreek Hill is getting back into form despite a torn wrist ligament, but the presence on this list of both De’Von Achane and Jonnu Smith gives an idea of why Hill and Jaylen Waddle (16% TPRR) have had lackluster seasons.

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If you’ve been waiting all season for the Jonathon Brooks debut, this list does provide a faint glimmer of hope that your patience wasn’t in vain. If the Chiefs blitz Bryce Young (and why wouldn’t they?), then OC Brad Idzik may not give pass-blocking duties to an unproven rookie coming off a major knee injury. But here’s the case for it: Miles Sanders has been targeted when running routes, and Chuba Hubbard doesn’t make the list with a 17% TPRR but has been targeted 3.5 times per game. Brooks was an above-average blocker in college, Miles Sanders isn’t your future, and the Panthers aren’t gunning for a playoff spot. If the Panthers, as expected, are playing catch-up, it’s a perfect opportunity to give Brooks some serious run. Hey, a boy can dream.

The Full List – Season TPRR Rankings

Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 11 (Min 150 routes)
Rank Player Team Routes Targets TPRR +/-
1 Cooper Kupp LA 203 67 33.0% 0
2 Malik Nabers NYG 299 91 30.4% 1
3 Josh Downs IND 230 68 29.6% -1
4 Nico Collins HST 183 51 27.9% 1
5 CeeDee Lamb DAL 377 102 27.1% -1
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET 285 77 27.0% 3
7 Diontae Johnson BLT 227 61 26.9% -1
8 Dontayvion Wicks GB 165 43 26.1% 0
9 Tee Higgins CIN 215 56 26.0% 1
10 George Pickens PIT 288 75 26.0% 2
11 Justin Jefferson MIN 332 86 25.9% -4
12 Jauan Jennings SF 221 57 25.8% 3
13 Garrett Wilson NYJ 418 106 25.4% 0
14 Tutu Atwell LA 163 41 25.2% 4
15 A.J. Brown PHI 191 48 25.1% -1
16 Drake London ATL 351 88 25.1% -5
17 Khalil Shakir BUF 256 64 25.0% 2
18 Chris Godwin TB 244 60 24.6% -1
19 Davante Adams NYJ 292 70 24.0% -3
20 Wan’Dale Robinson NYG 331 79 23.9% 0
21 Rashid Shaheed NO 171 40 23.4% 0
22 Stefon Diggs HST 270 62 23.0% 0
23 Chris Olave NO 188 43 22.9% 1
24 Ladd McConkey LAC 274 62 22.6% 6
25 Courtland Sutton DEN 368 83 22.6% 3
26 Zay Flowers BLT 333 75 22.5% -3
27 Tyreek Hill MIA 298 67 22.5% 2
28 Marvin Harrison Jr. ARZ 263 59 22.4% -1
29 Olamide Zaccheaus WAS 150 33 22.0% #N/A
30 Ja’Marr Chase CIN 441 97 22.0% 1
31 Calvin Ridley TEN 320 70 21.9% -6
32 D.K. Metcalf SEA 323 70 21.7% 2
33 Mike Evans TB 196 42 21.4% -1
34 Christian Kirk JAX 220 47 21.4% -1
35 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA 395 84 21.3% 7
36 Terry McLaurin WAS 323 68 21.1% -10
36 Deebo Samuel SF 247 52 21.1% 2
38 Brandon Aiyuk SF 215 45 20.9% 0
39 Darnell Mooney ATL 368 76 20.7% 1
40 Demario Douglas NE 281 58 20.6% 4
41 DeAndre Hopkins KC 205 42 20.5% 0
42 Amari Cooper BUF 293 60 20.5% -7
43 Michael Pittman Jr. IND 298 61 20.5% 3
44 Brian Thomas Jr. JAX 303 62 20.5% 1
45 DeVonta Smith PHI 275 55 20.0% -2
46 Curtis Samuel BUF 156 31 19.9% #N/A
47 Jakobi Meyers LV 298 59 19.8% -11
48 Jayden Reed GB 248 49 19.8% -1
49 Quentin Johnston LAC 191 37 19.4% 2
50 Keenan Allen CHI 269 52 19.3% 0
51 Tank Dell HST 330 63 19.1% 1
52 Christian Watson GB 166 31 18.7% 4
53 Noah Brown WAS 223 41 18.4% -4
54 Troy Franklin DEN 158 29 18.4% -6
55 Devaughn Vele DEN 169 31 18.3% -2
56 DJ Moore CHI 386 70 18.1% -2
57 Xavier Legette CAR 238 43 18.1% -2
58 Lil’Jordan Humphrey DEN 209 37 17.7% 2
59 Jameson Williams DET 230 40 17.4% 3
60 Jalen Coker CAR 150 26 17.3% -2
61 Romeo Doubs GB 266 46 17.3% -4
62 Allen Lazard NYJ 255 43 16.9% -1
63 Michael Wilson ARZ 264 44 16.7% 0
63 Gabe Davis JAX 252 42 16.7% 1
65 Calvin Austin III PIT 202 33 16.3% -6
66 Keon Coleman BUF 221 36 16.3% 0
67 Rome Odunze CHI 357 58 16.2% 9
68 Jerry Jeudy CLV 427 69 16.2% 3
69 Elijah Moore CLV 353 57 16.1% 1
70 Greg Dortch ARZ 187 30 16.0% -2
71 Jordan Addison MIN 237 38 16.0% 9
72 Cedric Tillman CLV 263 42 16.0% -3
73 Jaylen Waddle MIA 299 47 15.7% -8
74 Darius Slayton NYG 324 50 15.4% -1
75 Nelson Agholor BLT 163 25 15.3% -8
76 Rashod Bateman BLT 319 48 15.0% -4
77 Xavier Worthy KC 301 45 15.0% 1
78 Jonathan Mingo DAL 204 30 14.7% -1
79 Tyler Lockett SEA 357 52 14.6% -5
80 Ray-Ray McCloud III ATL 368 52 14.1% 3
81 Alec Pierce IND 315 43 13.7% #N/A
82 Joshua Palmer LAC 222 30 13.5% -3
83 Demarcus Robinson LA 326 44 13.5% 2
84 Jalen Brooks DAL 182 24 13.2% 4
85 Tyler Boyd TEN 260 34 13.1% 1
86 Jalen McMillan TB 169 22 13.0% 3
87 Ja’Lynn Polk NE 209 27 12.9% -5
88 Jalen Tolbert DAL 395 50 12.7% -1
89 Kendrick Bourne NE 151 19 12.6% #N/A
90 DJ Turner LV 191 24 12.6% 1
90 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN 191 24 12.6% 4
92 Tre Tucker LV 362 45 12.4% -2
93 Kayshon Boutte NE 269 33 12.3% 0
94 Jalen Nailor MIN 212 26 12.3% -2
95 Sterling Shepard TB 206 23 11.2% 1
96 Mack Hollins BUF 272 30 11.0% -1
97 Mason Tipton NO 218 24 11.0% 1
98 Parker Washington JAX 164 18 11.0% 2
99 Van Jefferson PIT 230 23 10.0% 0
100 Andrei Iosivas CIN 363 36 9.9% 1
101 Luke McCaffrey WAS 183 18 9.8% 1
102 Mike Williams PIT 237 22 9.3% 1
103 Xavier Hutchinson HST 181 15 8.3% 1
104 Justin Watson KC 250 20 8.0% 2
105 Jahan Dotson PHI 237 16 6.8% 2

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