Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 11 (Fantasy Football)

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Welcome back to the TPRR report. As a refresher, Targets Per Route Run, or TPRR, is a metric that quantifies a player’s efficiency in earning targets. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn these targets at a high rate is key. Historically, a 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.

Let’s take a look at the past week’s leaders, noting again that TPRR is only part of the story.

Week 10 TPRR leaders stat table

*Data: pff.com

Week 10 Reactions

Courtland Sutton (28% TPRR) comes through again in Week 10, as Bo Nix continues to get Denver fans excited for the future, if not the present. Over the last three games, Sutton is fantasy’s WR2, behind only Ja’Marr Chase. His goose egg in Week 7 is firmly in the rearview mirror.

Josh Downs (36%) lives at the top of the TPRR rankings this season and would have had a better fantasy week had he held onto a touchdown pass from Joe Flacco. Unfortunately for Downs and the Colts’ offense, OC Shane Steichen announced Wednesday that Anthony Richardson has been given the starter role for the remainder of the season. They’ve backtracked before, but it will be hard to trust an Indy receiver.

Puka Nacua (31%) locked back in as the top receiving option for Matthew Stafford. With Nacua at full strength, Cooper Kupp (18% TPRR) falls more to the WR2 range, but with obvious upside.

Season’s Greetings

Team Focus: San Francisco 49ers

Christian McCaffrey is back, so what will the offense look like for the home stretch? CMC saw an 88% snap share, relegating Jordan Mason and Isaac Guerendo to the memory dump.

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Ricky Pearsall will get all the attention, but his 20% TPRR tells us not to invest in the timeshare yet. Jauan Jennings leads 49er receivers in earning targets, and his 25% TPRR places him in the top 15 among eligible receivers (full list below.) In practical terms, that means Jennings is being targeted every four routes he’s run thus far. There are a lot of offensive weapons in San Fran, but Jennings will continue to produce if he can keep that earned target rate at that level.

What If Running Backs and Tight Ends Were on the List?

I’m glad you asked. Given the same eligibility parameters as wide receivers, here’s a list of running backs and tight ends who would crack the top 30 in TPRR.

Running back and tight end TPRR leaders stat table

Alvin Kamara leads the group and would come in at number three overall, with De’Von Achane (25% TPRR) as the only other back to make the list. It should come as no surprise that running backs run fewer routes than receivers; for example, compare Ja’Marr Chase (386 routes) to Kamara (220 routes).  Tight ends land somewhere in the middle, but their ability to earn targets not only gives you an idea of their hidden upside in a given week but also the consistency and ceiling of receivers on the same team. Of the top-12 receivers in 2024, only Brian Thomas Jr. (WR11) has a teammate on the chart above, and Thomas Jr. has only posted one top-24 week since Engram returned to the lineup in Week 6.

Trades and Byes

The Arizona Cardinals, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Carolina Panthers, and New York Giants are on bye in Week 11. In most leagues, the fantasy regular season has only four weeks left. Players become available as managers scramble for wins. If you are on the playoff bubble, Weeks 12 and 14 are six-teamers and will have a major impact on your chances. Week 11 is the default trade deadline in Sleeper leagues, so managers should be making moves this week.

The Full List – Season TPRR Rankings

Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 10 (Min 135 routes)
Rank Player Team Routes Targets TPRR + /-
1 Cooper Kupp LA 182 57 31.3% 0
2 Josh Downs IND 205 63 30.7% 1
3 Malik Nabers NYG 299 91 30.4% -1
4 CeeDee Lamb DAL 327 90 27.5% 2
5 Nico Collins HST 162 44 27.2% 0
6 Diontae Johnson BLT 221 59 26.7% 4
7 Justin Jefferson MIN 295 78 26.4% -3
8 Dontayvion Wicks GB 159 42 26.4% 1
9 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET 253 66 26.1% -1
10 Tee Higgins CIN 165 43 26.1% 1
11 Drake London ATL 321 82 25.5% 4
12 George Pickens PIT 247 63 25.5% 0
13 Garrett Wilson NYJ 385 98 25.5% -6
14 A.J. Brown PHI 158 40 25.3% 0
15 Jauan Jennings SF 187 47 25.1% 2
16 Davante Adams NYJ 260 64 24.6% 8
17 Chris Godwin TB 244 60 24.6% -1
18 Tutu Atwell LA 159 39 24.5% #N/A
19 Khalil Shakir BUF 220 53 24.1% 0
20 Wan’Dale Robinson NYG 331 79 23.9% -2
21 Rashid Shaheed NO 171 40 23.4% 0
22 Stefon Diggs HST 270 62 23.0% 3
23 Zay Flowers BLT 301 69 22.9% -3
24 Chris Olave NO 188 43 22.9% 3
25 Calvin Ridley TEN 284 64 22.5% 7
26 Terry McLaurin WAS 294 66 22.4% -3
27 Marvin Harrison Jr. ARZ 263 59 22.4% 2
28 Courtland Sutton DEN 335 75 22.4% 2
29 Tyreek Hill MIA 268 59 22.0% -3
30 Ladd McConkey LAC 241 53 22.0% -8
31 Ja’Marr Chase CIN 386 84 21.8% 12
32 Mike Evans TB 196 42 21.4% 2
33 Christian Kirk JAX 220 47 21.4% 2
34 D.K. Metcalf SEA 287 61 21.3% 2
35 Amari Cooper BUF 269 57 21.2% 2
36 Jakobi Meyers LV 255 54 21.2% 2
37 Tyler Johnson LA 143 30 21.0% 15
38 Deebo Samuel SF 215 45 20.9% -7
38 Brandon Aiyuk SF 215 45 20.9% 3
40 Darnell Mooney ATL 347 72 20.7% 2
41 DeAndre Hopkins KC 186 38 20.4% -2
42 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA 360 73 20.3% 4
43 DeVonta Smith PHI 242 49 20.2% -10
44 Demario Douglas NE 252 51 20.2% 6
45 Brian Thomas Jr. JAX 273 55 20.1% -5
46 Michael Pittman Jr. IND 269 54 20.1% 1
47 Jayden Reed GB 236 47 19.9% 1
48 Troy Franklin DEN 139 27 19.4% -3
49 Noah Brown WAS 193 37 19.2% 0
50 Keenan Allen CHI 232 44 19.0% 1
51 Quentin Johnston LAC 154 29 18.8% -7
52 Tank Dell HST 300 56 18.7% 5
53 Devaughn Vele DEN 143 26 18.2% #N/A
54 DJ Moore CHI 347 63 18.2% -1
55 Xavier Legette CAR 238 43 18.1% -1
56 Christian Watson GB 151 27 17.9% -1
57 Romeo Doubs GB 248 44 17.7% -1
58 Jalen Coker CAR 150 26 17.3% 22
59 Calvin Austin III PIT 180 31 17.2% 12
60 Lil’Jordan Humphrey DEN 195 33 16.9% 0
61 Allen Lazard NYJ 255 43 16.9% -2
62 Jameson Williams DET 203 34 16.7% 2
63 Michael Wilson ARZ 264 44 16.7% -1
64 Gabe Davis JAX 235 39 16.6% -3
65 Jaylen Waddle MIA 268 44 16.4% 1
66 Keon Coleman BUF 221 36 16.3% -1
67 Nelson Agholor BLT 148 24 16.2% -9
68 Greg Dortch ARZ 187 30 16.0% -5
69 Cedric Tillman CLV 214 34 15.9% -2
70 Elijah Moore CLV 311 49 15.8% -2
71 Jerry Jeudy CLV 377 59 15.6% -2
72 Rashod Bateman BLT 288 45 15.6% 10
73 Darius Slayton NYG 324 50 15.4% -1
74 Tyler Lockett SEA 320 49 15.3% -1
75 David Moore CAR 138 21 15.2% #N/A
76 Rome Odunze CHI 322 48 14.9% 1
77 Jonathan Mingo DAL 185 27 14.6% 1
78 Xavier Worthy KC 275 40 14.5% -8
79 Joshua Palmer LAC 187 27 14.4% 0
80 Jordan Addison MIN 212 30 14.2% -6
81 Brandin Cooks DAL 135 19 14.1% 3
82 Ja’Lynn Polk NE 194 27 13.9% 1
83 Ray-Ray McCloud III ATL 333 46 13.8% -2
84 Alec Pierce IND 288 39 13.5% 5
85 Demarcus Robinson LA 306 41 13.4% 0
86 Tyler Boyd TEN 232 31 13.4% -10
87 Jalen Tolbert DAL 345 46 13.3% -1
88 Jalen Brooks DAL 182 24 13.2% 6
89 Jalen McMillan TB 169 22 13.0% -2
90 Tre Tucker LV 317 41 12.9% -2
91 DJ Turner LV 169 21 12.4% 1
92 Jalen Nailor MIN 194 24 12.4% 1
93 Kayshon Boutte NE 224 27 12.1% 9
94 Nick Westbrook-Ikhine TEN 160 19 11.9% -3
95 Mack Hollins BUF 245 28 11.4% 3
96 Sterling Shepard TB 206 23 11.2% 3
97 Trey Palmer TB 136 15 11.0% 0
98 Mason Tipton NO 218 24 11.0% -3
99 Van Jefferson PIT 208 22 10.6% 2
100 Parker Washington JAX 144 15 10.4% -4
101 Andrei Iosivas CIN 331 33 10.0% 2
102 Luke McCaffrey WAS 171 17 9.9% 3
103 Mike Williams PIT 222 22 9.9% 1
104 Xavier Hutchinson HST 166 15 9.0% 3
105 Jalin Hyatt NYG 135 12 8.9% #N/A
106 Justin Watson KC 231 18 7.8% 0
107 Jahan Dotson PHI 218 14 6.4% 1

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