Ride or Die: The Fantasy Footballers Predictions for Week 15
New name, same great segment. “Ride or Die” pits The Ballers against each other with three players to meet a certain number each week. Each Baller will pick the player to “Ride” or “Die” with the stat, similar to a “prop” bet.
Each week I will be here to recap where each of the Ballers took the wheel or gave a nice tuck and roll out of the vehicle for each one. Of course, I’ll weigh in as well and we’ll keep score throughout the season so you can see how smart I really am.
As always, let me know if you’re jumping in the passenger’s seat with me or think I’m driving the crazy train here or on Twitter: @KurtKnowsBest.
“Ride or Die” Scoreboard
Andy and Jason took back the leading spots in Week 14, getting two of three correct. Mike and I both managed to get just one prediction right. What matters most is with just a few weeks left in the season, Jason still holds a strong lead on the season-long total.
To hear the full “Ride or Die” segment, listen to the December 14 episode of the podcast: “Trust Your Studs? + Ride or Die, TNF Preview”
Alvin Kamara (NO) vs Atlanta: Top-15 RB
It’s been a turbulent season for Alvin Kamara. From Week 5 to Week 11, Kamara finished inside the top 24 RBs all but one week, yet he’s posted fantasy finishes outside the top 45 RBs in his last two games. The Saints are coming off their bye week, so there’s a chance they may be able to get things back in order to ignite an offense that has averaged just 11 points over their last five games.
All three Ballers are a “Ride” on this prediction and I’ll join them. Jason and Mike laid out the argument for betting on Kamara as a combination of a good matchup plus Mark Ingram being done for the year helping create a great recipe for a big Kamara week. When Kamara sees 20 or more opportunities this season, he’s averaging a fantasy finish of RB9, so if the Saints go back to Kamara being heavily involved, a top-15 finish should be in the books.
Jerry Jeudy (DEN) vs Arizona: 10+ Fantasy Points
Believe it or not, Jerry Jeudy finished as the overall WR1 in Week 14 behind a three-TD performance against Kansas City. Jeudy caught as many TDs last week as he had in the entire season to that point. Week 14 was also the second-highest target total for Jeudy with nine passes thrown in his direction.
Andy is going to let his Week 14 love for Jeudy carry over and “Ride” with this prediction. The Fantasy Hitman is joining Andy, thinking the matchup against the Cardinals’ defense is worth betting on.
Jason is a “Die” on this line, thinking that Jeudy has to get a TD to hit the 10 fantasy points. I’ll join Jason on this prediction. Jeudy has only scored 10+ fantasy points without getting into the end zone just once this season, and I’m not willing to bet on a backup QB.
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) at Buffalo: 2+ Passing TDs
Tua Tagovailoa has cooled off for fantasy purposes since the Dolphins’ bye in Week 11. Miami’s QB has thrown multiple TDs in five games this season but has only done it once in his last three games.
Andy completes the triple “Ride” rolling with this prediction. The Show Dad believes that the Miami offense is a tough one to bet against, sputtering two weeks in a row despite the tough matchup against the Bills.
Jason and Mike are both a “Die” on this and I’ll join along. Buffalo’s defense has given up just 22 points in the last two weeks and has allowed the sixth-fewest passing TDs on the season. Not to mention, any injury that may slow down Jaylen Waddle will put a damper on Tua’s ability to get into the end zone twice.
Kurt’s Bonus Picks
Miles Sanders (PHI) at Chicago: 15+ Fantasy Points (Half-Point PPR)
In five of his last seven games, Miles Sanders has been a top-24 RB for fantasy managers, averaging 15.4 fantasy points in half-point PPR scoring during that stretch. The consistency of Philadelphia’s offense on the ground comes with plenty of TD upside. Sanders is averaging a rushing TD per game in his last 10 contests.
Chicago presents a great opportunity for Sanders to continue his success on the ground. The Bears’ defense allows the sixth most rushing yards per game in the league and have allowed the most rushing TDs on the season.
I’ll “Ride” with Sanders this week.
Isiah Pacheco (KC) at Houston: Top-15 RB
The Chiefs seem to have fully committed to Isiah Pacheco being their go-to ball carrier. Over the last five games, Pacheco has averaged 16 rushing attempts and 78 yards per contest. The biggest worry for fantasy managers betting on Pacheco has to be the fact that Jerick McKinnon has still been very involved in the passing game.
It’s been well-documented how terrible the Texans’ defense is against the run. In Week 14, this article correctly predicted Houston giving up two top-24 RBs to Dallas, so the opportunity for Pacheco to hit the top-15 mark is definitely there. This prediction will be banking on Pacheco getting into the end zone, and I’m not as sure about that happening.
Love Pacheco as a fantasy option, but I’ll “Die” on this prediction.
Mike Williams (LAC) vs Tennessee: 75+ Receiving Yards
It was great to see Mike Williams get back onto the field in vintage form last week. It was even better seeing him put up top-five WR production against the Dolphins. In every game this season that Williams has been targeted at least nine times, he’s finished at the WR13 or higher and averaged 18 fantasy points.
The Titans’ defense has been scorched in recent weeks, giving up three passing TDs in each of their last two games. Tennessee’s defense has also allowed a 100-yard receiver every week since Week 12. I’d expect Williams to lead the way for the Chargers again this week in the passing game.
I’ll “Ride” with this prediction.