Second Chance Players + Ranks Alive, Burning Questions!

Summary:

Analyzing Initial Statistical Projections 01:38

• Completing the initial run-through of 2024 STAT projections for all NFL offensive players was a laborious but rewarding task, with plans for continuous updates to reflect player movements and changes.
• The unique processes followed by each team member, distinct in approach and speed, contributed to a more comprehensive evaluation of player projections.
• The effort invested in this initial draft serves as the foundation for rankings and projections that shape the fantasy football landscape.

“We’ve just completed our initial run through of the 2024 STAT projections for every single offensive player in the National Football League.”

Surprise Rankings and Insights 04:26

• Despite his undeniable talent, ranking Patrick Mahomes as the top quarterback in six-point scoring formats came as a genuine shock, considering his previous year’s QB8 ranking.
• Factors such as team dynamics and player additions led to unexpected rankings, like Dak Prescott at four and Evan Ingram at three in their respective positions.
• Evaluating upside potential and statistical trends becomes crucial, as demonstrated by the analysis of rookie quarterbacks like Jaden Daniels and Caleb Williams.

“It’s rare when a touchdown-dependent type of quarterback ends up that high in the rankings.”

Examining Rookie Quarterbacks 07:09

• Jaden Daniels, positioned just outside the top 12 quarterbacks, showcases notable rushing capabilities that could elevate his fantasy value significantly.
• Assessing upside potential through an eight out of 10 rating for Jaden Daniels underscores the forecasting dynamic in rookie evaluations.
• Comparing rookie quarterbacks like Daniels and Caleb Williams highlights the significance of talent, situation, and potential impact on fantasy outcomes.

“You can see not just what should happen, but also who’s got the chance to just go nuclear.”

Quentin Johnston Evaluation 12:37

• When evaluating Quentin Johnston, it’s essential to consider both the positives and the challenges he faced during his rookie season.
• Despite headlines about drops, Johnston displayed moments of strong performance, including crucial receptions and establishing rapport with Justin Herbert.
• While facing drops and low targeting rates, his potential shines through in the opportunities where he showcased his skills and chemistry with the quarterback.
• The analysis of every play reveals a more nuanced perspective beyond the notorious drops, highlighting his capability to make impactful plays on the field.

“When he got them, there were more plays that he made than I thought he did.”

First Round Wide Receiver Expectations 15:49

• The expectations for a first-round wide receiver, like Quentin Johnston, encompass not just performance but also the volume of opportunities presented.
• A hypothetical scenario presents the standard set for a top-tier rookie wideout, emphasizing both statistical outcomes and on-field presence.
• Considering factors like snap percentages, targets, receptions, and yardage, the discussion centers on setting realistic benchmarks for rookie wide receivers to meet and exceed.
• The comparison to known examples like Jordan Addison aids in illustrating the typical expectations for a rookie wide receiver, highlighting the threshold for success in the league.

“The question should be how many opportunities are you getting to make them?”

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Ladd McConkey’s Potential 16:57

• Justin Herbert‘s absence during a critical stretch in the season highlighted Ladd McConkey’s potential to emerge as a top target.
• Despite not having stellar stats during that period, McConkey’s role as the second wide receiver sets him up nicely for future success.

“He was the wide receiver two for the team… setting up real nice.”

Target Earning Ability 18:45

• McConkey’s significant playing time but lack of targets contrasts with the need for him to become a more prominent target in the offense.
• Being among the lowest in targets per round run among first-round draft picks raises concerns about his productivity.

“He was on the field for 74% of snaps for that stretch and did not earn enough targets… 39th out of 42 first round draft picks of targets per round run.”

Optimism for McConkey 19:01

• McConkey’s potential to excel as a top target stems from his expected synergy with Herbert and his knack for getting open where the quarterback anticipates.
• Projections suggest McConkey could significantly impact the team’s passing game, potentially outshining other receivers.

“Ladd McConkey coming in here and being immediately the number one target.”

Quentin Johnston‘s Challenges 19:54

• Quentin Johnston faces scrutiny due to his struggle with separation on the field, resulting in a lack of opportunities to make plays and earn targets.
• While not ruling out his improvement, doubts linger about Johnston’s ability to emerge as a significant fantasy producer.

“Percentage chance he’s their number one fantasy producer at wide receiver… I have it like 20%, 25%.”

Analysis of Players’ Performances & Team Changes 23:45

• Players like Miles Sanders have shown inconsistency in their performance, excelling in the second half of seasons despite a rough start in previous years.
• The discussion also touches on new player signings, such as Odell Beckham Jr. to the Dolphins and DJ Chark to the Chargers, impacting team dynamics.

Sometimes you got to get out of the way. David Tepper seems very much in the way.

Evaluation of Coaching Impact on Teams 26:01

• Analysis of coaching changes and their impact on player performance, like Frank Reich’s departure and its subsequent influence on the team.
• The conversation expands to discuss the role of team management in creating favorable conditions for coaches to succeed.

From the top down, when organizations are run poorly, whoever the coach is, is set up for a harder time at succeeding.

Mailbag Questions & Discussion Format 27:22

• The hosts delve into listener questions regarding player rankings, indicating a commitment to engaging with their audience.
• The banter and camaraderie among the hosts add a lively and entertaining touch to the podcast episodes.

I’ve done that for years and years and years and years with the Browns and most of the time it’s worked out. Yeah.

Engagement with Audience through Voicemail Questions 28:19

• Highlighting the incorporation of voicemail questions and interaction with listeners, showcasing a personalized approach to engaging with the audience.
• Encouraging listeners to participate in the show by submitting questions, creating a sense of community around fantasy football discussions.

If you have one for the show, you go to the website, bfantasyfootballers.com.

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Hollywood Brown’s Performance and Projection 30:43

• Hollywood Brown’s catch rate was only 50% last year, indicating his struggles as a wide receiver.
• Despite past quality play, last season was notably poor for Hollywood Brown.
• Concerns about his heel problem impacted his performance on the field.
• The lack of demand for him during the offseason suggests a dip in his perceived value.

It’s just hard for me to look at that and say Hollywood’s going to be a monster.

Evaluation of Marquise Brown and Christian Watson 31:11

• The analysis compares Marquise Brown and Christian Watson based on their potential and previous performance.
• Despite uncertainties, Watson is favored for his explosive plays and potential upside.
• Watson’s limited game time due to soft tissue issues is a cause for concern but doesn’t negate his talent.
• Brown’s consistency in being targeted over seasons is noted, despite some reservations about his overall performance.

If you’re worried about the injury to Hollywood Brown, then you have to be worried about the injury history to Christian Watson.

Ranking of Wide Receivers and Target Projections 33:46

• The order of wide receivers, such as Watson, Reed, Dobbs, and Wicks, is discussed based on their potential.
• Target projections play a significant role in determining a player’s future performance.
• Jaden Reed’s targets are expected to decrease compared to the previous season due to changes in the team’s dynamics.

I have Jaden Reed significantly ahead.

Jahan Dotson‘s Role and Expectations 34:55

• Johan Dotson’s potential production is analyzed in light of the team’s changes and competitor departures.
• Despite a lackluster previous season, the departure of key players opens up opportunities for Dotson.
• An estimation of 90 targets for Dotson shows potential involvement in the upcoming season.

Last year he got his cardio in 635 routes run.

Keeper League Rules 37:48

• In this keeper league format, each team has one franchise player that is locked for the next season, alongside three additional players selected through a keeper lottery.
• The franchise player is chosen from the team’s roster at the end of the season and can’t match the position of the franchise player.
• The remaining three players from the roster, excluding the franchise player’s position, are entered into a keeper lottery where two return to the team and one goes back into the draft.
• This approach introduces an exciting annual event where teams gather to determine the lottery picks, presenting a strategic element to roster management.

“So you would consider that to be the king of the keeper, so to speak, the number one franchise player that player is locked on your team.”

Keeper Lottery Fun 39:28

• The keeper lottery, conducted each year, involves selecting one franchise player and entering three additional players into the lottery system, creating suspense and strategy for team rosters.
• The lottery process involves drawing names out of a hat, with two players returning to the team and one player returning to the draft pool, resulting in potential high-caliber players becoming available for other teams in the draft.

“And what we did is we have one franchise player… And he’s on your roster next year.”

Comparison of Running Backs 43:02

• Kendry Miller, a young and talented running back for the New Orleans Saints, is positioned as a day two back behind Alvin Kamara, categorizing him among players like Trey Benson and Marshawn Lloyd.
• Despite his talent, being behind an established player like Kamara places him in a tier below the top running backs in the league, yet ahead of certain other developing or backup running backs.
• Miller’s positioning in the rankings reflects his skill and potential impact, slotting him in a competitive field of running backs within the league.

“He’s a day two back behind Alvin Kamara. So he’s in that tier.”

Kendre Miller‘s Rankings 43:52

• Kendry Miller holds the 41st spot, followed by Benson at 44, and Corum at 45 in the rankings.
• “Kendry Miller is ahead of Benson and Corum,” emphasizing his position in the rankings.

“My rankings, Kendry Miller is ahead of Benson and Corum.”

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Comparing Alvin Kamara and Jamal Williams 44:10

• Alvin Kamara averaged 3.9 yards per carry, being notably more efficient than Jamaal Williams.
• Highlighting that Camara’s efficiency surpassed Williams as a runner.

“Alvin Camara ran for 3.9 yards per carry last year, so much better than Jamal Williams.”

Kendre Miller‘s Versatility and Potential 44:47

• Kendry Miller’s ability to catch passes and avoid negative plays showcases his versatility.
• Underscoring Miller’s potential and impact on the field.

“If Alvin Camara went down, like Kendry Miller can catch the football… He was disrupted by injury but had explosive plays.”

Dynasty League Rookie Draft Timing 46:06

• It is advisable to conduct your rookie draft in dynasty leagues post the NFL draft to have better player insights.
• Emphasizing the importance of waiting until after the NFL draft to conduct rookie drafts in dynasty leagues.

“Most of the leagues that I’m in, our rookie drafts are over… It’s over. You should breathe during your sleep though.”

Evaluating Ravens’ Running Backs 49:02

• J.K. Dobbins‘ low guaranteed money and potential cut raise questions about his future impact.
• Discussing the financial implications and uncertainty surrounding J.K. Dobbins‘ role in the team.

“They paid him nothing… Guaranteed money was reported as $50,000.”

Isaiah Spiller‘s Struggles 49:56

• Isaiah Spiller‘s poor yards per carry average indicates a lack of efficiency and potential challenges.
• Noting Spiller’s struggles and low averages despite being in his third year.

“Isaiah Spiller is going into year three, he’s averaged 2.3 and 2.6 yards of carry in his opportunities. He is toast.”

Evaluating Highly Touted Running Backs 50:05

• Highly touted running backs who fall in the draft often do not perform well historically, making it a risky bet to rely on them.
• Choosing to focus on the 90% success rate rather than the 10% outliers when drafting players could lead to a more successful fantasy football team.

“But they are the outliers and they are the 10% as if you’re making the bet you want to be on the 90% side.”

Value of Late Draft Picks in Fantasy Football 50:36

• Players like Kyren Williams, who fall late in the draft, can sometimes be undervalued assets.
• Utilizing waivers to acquire overlooked players like Kyren Williams can be a savvy move that pays off in fantasy football leagues.

“But the people that have Kyren on their teams now, they’re not even the people that drafted him in the rookie drafts. He hit waivers.”

Rookie Draft Formats in Dynasty Football 51:08

• In dynasty leagues, rookie drafts typically follow the NFL draft format, allowing teams to select players in the order they were drafted in the real NFL draft.
• For dynasty startups, a snake draft format might be used initially to establish rosters evenly before transitioning to the NFL draft format for subsequent years.

“Rookie drafts are all NFL draft style because it’s a dynasty and you’ve got the entire roster together.”

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Andy’s Role on the Dynasty Show 51:41

• Andy’s absence from the Dynasty show is due to his preference for the snake draft format over the NFL draft style used in rookie drafts.
• While Andy may not appear frequently on the show, he is available as a backup or substitute when needed.

“Once these rosters are established and you’ve got to build it year after year after year, the worst team gets the best pick in each round, you know, in reverse order all the way through the 12th pick.”