NFL DFS WR vs. CB Matchups to Monitor for Week 10 (Fantasy Football)
Integrating specific WR/CB matchups into your DFS process adds another layer of analysis into the mix. While this is only a piece of the puzzle, this tool allows you to better value ceiling-type plays for elite WRs who can run circles around their opponent.
I break up this WR/CB article into several categories: Alpha WRs, Slot Mavens, Discount Target Specials, and Full-On Fades. The goal is to go from the top-tier stars to move down to bargain WRs with excellent matchups. As always, make sure you use the tools found in the DFS Pass such as the Value Comparison and Roster Percentage Report to discern which WR would be best in cash and tournament lineup builds.
It’s rough in the DFS streets for alpha wideouts this week. Cooper Kupp and Stefon Diggs could be catching passes from backup quarterbacks and Tyreek Hill, Davante Adams, and Justin Jefferson are all facing defenses allowing negative fantasy points above expectation (PAE) against wideouts over the last three weeks. This doesn’t make them automatic fades, but we lack the juicy matchups you dream of for your alphas this week. We also miss out on A.J. Brown, Mike Evans, and Deebo Samuel on the main slate. It’s looking like it might be another good week for a three-running back build in your lineups, but let’s do our due diligence and check out the best WR/DB matchups for Week 10.
I just mentioned that the Browns have allowed negative PAE over the last three weeks, so maybe this is a bit hypocritical, but Hill and Waddle have been simply too good to fade. Hill leads the league with 3.82 yards/route run, while Waddle ranks third at 2.79. Miami has the second-highest implied team total on the slate at 26.5 points, and it’s tough to imagine a Cleveland defense that’s been middle of the pack over the season against wideouts slowing them down.
Most rec yards by duo in their team’s first 9 games of season (in Super Bowl era):
Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle – 1,916 pic.twitter.com/CX9ktOXBvt
— CBS Sports (@CBSSports) November 8, 2022
The Browns are getting Pro Bowl cornerback Denzel Ward back from a concussion for the first time since Week 5, but that may not be as big of a deal as it seems. Ward has allowed 18.3 yards/reception this season, the second most among quarterbacks with at least 150 coverage snaps. We know Hill is always a big play waiting to happen, but Waddle’s 17.3 yards/rec are almost three more than Hill’s. Both wideouts are squarely in play against the Browns on this slate.