NFL DFS Tournament Takes: Week 14 (Fantasy Football)
Footclan, it is an absolute honor and privilege to be able to share my tournament thoughts with you on a weekly basis this season. My goal is to give you an extra resource to use when creating your lineups. I usually play one or two hand-built lineups every week and I’ve had much success in my career playing that way. Each week I’ll discuss my favorite stacks to utilize in large-field tournaments, ways to gain leverage on the field, and any other slate-specific thoughts.
In Week 3 of the 2021 NFL season, I won the Milly Maker and several other six-figure contests on DraftKings. I’ve also been to five live finals where I have competed against some of the best players in the industry. I’m so excited to be able to help you gain an advantage and win some big money this year!
Last Sunday we had some stellar performances across the league with the Dolphins and 49ers both putting up over 40 points. On the other hand, we had a 70% owned Zack Moss bust and that propelled the minority that faded him. It looks like Moss will be the chalk again this week, however, DraftKings has adjusted his price to $5,900 which makes it much easier to fade him this week. I don’t think there is any player on this slate that is a must-have, but I do like some of the games we have accessible to us this week, so let’s dive right into it.
Slate Specific Thoughts
There are a ton of high-end plays I have on my radar this Sunday. Starting with Christian McCaffrey at $9,200 who I consider to be the top play on the board. I don’t see much value in the $3,000-$5,000 range this week, which will make it tough for those of you who would like to spend up at the Quarterback position, but I don’t think it’s impossible to get there. Justin Jefferson will be returning to action for the first time since week 5, and his price tag at $8,500 is lower than usual, but his range of outcomes is too all over the place for me.
Last week there were at least a few games that I was considering for the Game of the Week, but in this upcoming slate, there is one clear game that pops.
Game of the Week Bills @ Chiefs (O/U 48.5)
Any time these two teams clash, we’re in for a great game. Everyone remembers the instant classic divisional round shootout in Arrowhead just a couple of years ago. While these two teams are a tad different now than they were before, both Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen are still the Quarterbacks, and that has us all excited.
Let’s start with Allen’s Bills. Since firing offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, the Bills have put up 32 points on the Jets and 34 on the Eagles. Josh Allen is the most expensive Quarterback on the board at $8,300, and it will certainly be tough to pair him with Stefon Diggs, who is the most expensive receiver on the board at $8,800. Do we even really want Stefon Diggs though? Diggs is averaging just 7.75 targets per game in the last four games, and while he’s got as much upside as anyone else, that upside looks like it’s already priced in.
The problem with the Bills’ offense from a DFS perspective is that if it’s not Diggs, who is it? My second favorite option on this team is usually Dalton Kincaid, but his tag is up to $5,500 and the Bills will be getting back Dawson Knox this week. Gabe Davis is the type of guy who can make or break any DFS team, and his $5,800 tag is just too much for a boom-or-bust type of player. In my opinion, James Cook at $6,000 is the best play on the Bills offense this week. Cook is averaging close to 19 opportunities in the last three games, and in a potential shootout, we could see him used in a variety of ways. While he’s not usually used as the goal line back for Buffalo, he is electric and has been involved as a pass catcher for this offense all season. He’s also a nice pivot off a chalky Zack Moss!