First Look DFS Pricing for Week 1 (Fantasy Football)
Before diving into Week 1 pricing, I wanted to offer a few general thoughts (my favorite general btw) on selecting players for DFS.
Because FanDuel is so much more TD-dependent, it’s hard to get too cute when selecting pass-catchers compared to DraftKings. For example, a 6-for-60 line doesn’t look too bad for a tight-end in DK at 12 points. But on FanDuel you are falling significantly behind the pack if that tight-end fails to get a TD. In tournaments, stacking is obviously a must so consider the type of WRs and TEs that have higher TD equity, although we know predicting where the TD falls in a given week is practically impossible. Also ,keep in mind that running backs are that much more valuable in 0.5-point formats such as FanDuel so the FLEX is almost always a high-volume RB, especially in cash lineups.
Now that I’ve gotten that out of the way, each week I’ll offer an initial “sneak-peek” look at pricing to give a lay of the land. Player pricing on the major DFS platforms is available to us well before we even start our process of building lineups and allows us to identify the inefficiencies, a tool within the toolbelt of someone who wants to win consistently in DFS.
DraftKings: DK pricing gives you a chance to spend up to play Lamar Jackson ($8,100) if you think his ceiling is as big as it was in Week 1 last year when he went for five passing touchdowns… Matt Ryan ($6,700) is a 300-yard DK bonus waiting to happen… Jimmy Garoppolo ($5,800) and the 49ers have the 2nd highest team implied total on the slate and all the points won’t be scored only on the ground. Take a swing with handsome Jimmy in GPPs… Among the elite options, Tyrod Taylor has the rushing equity ($5,600) and pricetag to be a viable cash game option…. Dwayne Haskins is buried ($5,000) as the cheapest starting QB. As mentioned on the podcast, Betz doesn’t mind punting with Haskins, stacking with Terry McLaurin, and hoping that game with the Eagles hits the over.