DFS Pace of Play for Week 9 (Fantasy Football)
Last week’s games were bombarded with a number of weather-related ruinings but the forecast looks a bit more even-keeled this week.
It’s Week 9! Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. For every 5 seconds difference in terms of per play, a team runs 15 more plays per game. In DFS world, that’s a massive considering volume is king. In 2019, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five statistics that will affect matchups this week, five games worth stacking, and five dart throws for tournaments.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Five Stats to Know
1. The Titans and Bears at first projects as a fairly sluggish matchup. But Tennessee ranks 3rd in pace of play and Chicago has the highest percentage of TDs via the pass in the league. Allen Robinson II is second in the league in targets and is as dependable as they come even with Nick Foles. David Montgomery is a plodder but he also ranks 3rd among RBs in routes run. He’s on my radar at $5,900 on FanDuel due to sheer volume. The matchup versus the Chicago line is concerning for Derrick Henry but if there is anyone who can buck up to trends its the “Big Dog”. Speaking of trends, the Bears haven’t allowed a QB1 (not named Patrick Mahomes) since Week 11 of the 2018 season. I’ll be fading Ryan Tannehill and his pass-catchers.