DFS Pace of Play for Week 14
Last week’s article pointed to Corey Davis as a flag plant player as well as hitting on some absolute dart throws with Henry Ruggs III and Rashard Higgins who was under two percent rostered in many tournaments.
Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. For every 5 seconds difference in terms of per play, a team runs 15 more plays per game. In DFS world, that’s a massive difference considering volume is king. In 2019, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five statistics that will affect matchups this week, five games worth stacking, and five dart throws for tournaments.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Five Stats to Know
1. It’s wild to think that DeAndre Hopkins willed his way to a 8/52/1 week on 13 targets versus Jalen Ramsey last week. He simply hasn’t been utilized downfield in a way we want. He has as many 20+ yard targets downfield this season as Hayden Hurst. As recently attested by Graham Barfield, the route tree is not inspiring…
DeAndre Hopkins route tree over his last three games has been… limited pic.twitter.com/dQzK9ZQtbV
— Graham Barfield (@GrahamBarfield) December 8, 2020
For DFS purposes, Hopkins has routinely been five to seven percent rostered as his name keeps him on people’s radar but his lack of true boom games mixed with his salary has kept him down. This week, he’ll face off against James Bradberry, who is more of a physical corner than an elite tactician. He gave D.K. Metcalf some trouble last week but Nuk is a different kind of receiver. I do not mind mixing in Hopkins this week in my player pool and stacking with Kyler at likely a combined total of 15 percent rostered.