Borg’s DFS Cash Lineup Review for Week 2 (Fantasy Football)
Every week I want to unpack part of the process in assembling my cash game lineup. The goal is neither to boast or wallow in “shoulda, woulda, couldas” but rather give a transparent look at my thought process for the week. Hopefully, this will help DFS Podcast listeners and DFS Pass subscribers get a deeper window into the ups and downs of playing DFS and help you in your selections each week.
For cash, I specifically play 50/50s, Double-Ups, and H2Hs on DraftKings. I’ll share my unfiltered gut reaction, my thought process behind this lineup construction, and at the bottom, I will post my weekly results including ROI and H2H record to stay accountable with you.
If you’re wanting to go back to the drawing board, we did an overview podcast before the season on Cash Game Strategy. I also published an article on How to Approach Each Position in DFS & Gain an Edge.
Week 2 DraftKings Cash Lineup
Note: Roster percentages shown from NFL Massive $5 Double-Up [Single Entry] with 22,988 entrants. This contest gives one of the better sample sizes for cash in my opinion.
Unfiltered Gut Reaction
- It’s like someone specifically aimed at my groin region and repeatedly punched me there for six straight hours. Woof.
- This might’ve been the lowest cash game score I’ve ever put up in DK… and none of my guys even got hurt… [queue sad piano music]
- Alvin Kamara. What happened in that game? And at only 8% rostered, you were set up to be a differentiator this week.
- Jaylen Waddle sat at nine points for the entire second half. Nothing changed.
- Using a late swap was just another way of dying a slow, slow death in cash this week.
The Thought Process
Instead of working through every individual player, I want to highlight my thought process and why I made these selections.
- For most of the week, Najee Harris and Alvin Kamara were the clear-cut choices at RB. Najee was mispriced and although he was chalk, he did was he was supposed to do in this lineup with 19.10 DK points. My beef is with Kamara and the Saints’ stinker of a gameplan against the Panthers. He was a consensus pick across the industry and came in way lower in the roster percentage game than I would’ve thought. That set up for things to hit… and they just never did for the Saints in Week 2. It happens.
- Tyler Higbee‘s usage in Week 1 (100% of snaps) and his price made him one of the better points per dollar plays in my opinion. I avoided paying up for the more expensive and just as chalky Darren Waller and George Kittle who didn’t hit. Unfortunately, Higbee put up a stinker and at 18.9 percent, sunk a lot of other people.
- When the news came out that Will Fuller V would be out for personal reasons, Jaylen Waddle came into focus as a viable cash play against Buffalo. Unfortunately, after getting out to a hot start in the game, Tua Tagovailoa‘s injury completely destroyed the entire Dolphin outlook the rest of the day, and any upside he possessed to be a differentiator at only 6.6% was gone.
- Terrace Marshall Jr. was targeted on the highest percentage of routes among all Carolina WRs in Week 1 and I loved his matchup in the slot. His price tag made him a viable WR punt and basically the only true punt play in this lineup (I don’t count DST).
- I went back-and-forth between Ceedee Lamb, Keenan Allen, and Cooper Kupp all week. I ended up playing Kupp on FanDuel and making me peace that way. Unfortunately, as we entered the afternoon games, it was quite clear that my lineup was failing. I pivoted using the late swap to a Tom Brady + Antonio Brown stack with D.K. Metcalf to move off the LAC-DAL chalk in hopes it failed. While those two WRs performed fine, the game as a whole went under and both Dak Prescott & Justin Herbert were major busts.
- In hindsight, with my lineup lagging so far behind, I could’ve gotten even weirder based on our roster percentage report and what I knew would be coming in the afternoon slate. The Brady + AB stack could’ve done damage but going off the board with Derrick Henry in the FLEX would’ve been the only way to come back from Sheol in this instance.
- The construction of the lineup was buried by anyone that played Kupp, Henry, or CMC as those were all direct pivots at the salaries of the guys in my lineup.
2021 Results
Week | DK Pts | Weekly Cash ROI | H2H Win % |
1 | 129.66 | 85% | 90% |
2 | 88.04 | 0% | 0% |
That’s called taking a bath. Essentially after two weeks, I’m right back where I started heading into the season bankroll-wise. As I’ve mentioned, having a long-term mindset in cash is key and Check in the DFS First Look Pricing article that comes out Tuesday AM!
Comments
Kamara was rough in my lineup as well, but Brady, Kupp and M Williams bailed me out!
Love the reflection/ thought process part of this article. It gives the reader insight to the why and not “the who”
Really enjoying this weekly article. I have been reflecting on my process and I think it was good, but I also recognize that playing Cooper Kupp was the only reason I cashed.
Appreciate the review articles as a way to check in to reality. I had very similar lineups this week and got crushed across the board. This is a good reminder to stay the course since even the pros can have bad weeks.
Thanks for these review articles!
Looking to improve on my own process based on these reviews.