Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 8 (Fantasy Football)

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Welcome back to the TPRR report. As a refresher, Targets Per Route Run, or TPRR, is a metric that quantifies a player’s efficiency in earning targets. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn these targets at a high rate is key. Historically, a 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.

Let’s take a look at this week’s leaders. TPRR is only part of the story, and we’re gradually shifting toward focusing on season-long trends over one-off performances. As you may have noticed, everyone is hurt.

But we press on. Let’s take a look at last week’s TPRR leaders.

Week 7 TPRR leaders stat table

Route & Target Data from pff.com

Week 7 Reactions

A San Francisco Treat Trick

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Brandon Aiyuk is out for the season after tearing both his MCL and ACL in Week 7, and Deebo Samuel‘s Week 8 isn’t a sure thing after pneumonia-like symptoms landed him in the hospital. The last time the 49ers were missing two pass catchers, Jauan Jennings scored three touchdowns. Despite taking a back seat in recent weeks, Jennings’ TPRR for the season is a solid 24.5%, so he’s the best bet to pick up the slack alongside George Kittle (24% TPRR on 174 routes in 2024). Our editor-in-chief Kyle Borgognoni notes that the absence of Christian McCaffrey has correlated with the 49ers targeting WRs at a 66% rate. Coincidence? I think not.

Amari Cooper

You won’t find Amari Cooper on the list above because he ran only 12 routes in Week 7, however, he saw five targets a.k.a. 42% TPRR. As we noted last week, Cooper’s addition may limit the appeal of Keon Coleman and Khalil Shakir to flex status, but the offense gets an overall boost and is less likely to bottom out in a given week. Coleman, Shakir, and Dalton Kincaid all had TPRRs north of 20% on 20+ routes run against Tennessee.

Ups and Downs, Just Downs.

Retreading last week’s article, we can’t overlook Josh Downs‘ top-three TPRR ranking for the season (full list below), but Anthony Richardson‘s poor passing performances relegate him to a risky start. The best news for Josh Downs would be Joe Flacco under center.

Let’s Get Crazy, Cleveland Browns Edition

Deshaun Watson is out. Jameis Winston is in. While I’m hesitant to trust anyone on the Browns’ offense, the fact remains that they have to play in Week 8. That means there will be 11 players on the field, and I don’t expect Cleveland to be able to establish the run and keep up with Lamar Jackson. That means they’ll be throwing. David Njoku should be started anyway, and Cedric Tillman is worth a flyer for WR-needy teams.

“That’s Why I’m Well Compensated”

Mike Tomlin decided to move to Russell Wilson, despite Justin Fields overseeing a 4-2 record for the Steelers. And boy, did it work out in Week 7. Pickens (31% TPRR) benefitted from the switch and is a must-start in Week 8 before Pittsburgh hits their Week 9 bye.

The Full List – Season TPRR Rankings 

Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 7 (Min 85 routes)
Rank Player Team Routes Targets TPRR + /-
1 Rashee Rice KC 91 29 31.9% 2
2 Malik Nabers NYG 190 59 31.1% 0
3 Josh Downs IND 126 38 30.2% -2
4 Dontayvion Wicks GB 131 37 28.2% 3
5 Justin Jefferson MIN 185 52 28.1% 0
6 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET 182 50 27.5% 4
7 Nico Collins HST 162 44 27.2% 1
8 George Pickens PIT 189 51 27.0% 6
9 Diontae Johnson CAR 212 57 26.9% -3
10 A.J. Brown PHI 86 23 26.7% #N/A
11 Wan’Dale Robinson NYG 233 62 26.6% -2
12 Olamide Zaccheaus WAS 98 26 26.5% 6
13 Tee Higgins CIN 165 43 26.1% 3
14 Garrett Wilson NYJ 285 74 26.0% -1
15 Drake London ATL 244 62 25.4% 0
16 Tutu Atwell LA 131 33 25.2% 14
17 Chris Godwin TB 244 60 24.6% 0
18 Jauan Jennings SF 147 36 24.5% 1
19 Jordan Whittington LA 95 23 24.2% 1
20 Ladd McConkey LAC 157 38 24.2% -9
21 Terry McLaurin WAS 205 49 23.9% 5
22 CeeDee Lamb DAL 220 52 23.6% 0
23 Troy Franklin DEN 85 20 23.5% #N/A
24 Tyreek Hill MIA 175 41 23.4% -12
25 Rashid Shaheed NO 171 40 23.4% -1
26 Brian Thomas Jr. JAX 197 45 22.8% 2
27 Marvin Harrison Jr. ARZ 184 42 22.8% 0
28 Amari Cooper BUF 244 55 22.5% 7
29 Stefon Diggs HST 242 54 22.3% 5
30 Mike Evans TB 196 42 21.4% 8
31 Michael Pittman Jr. IND 206 44 21.4% 1
32 D.K. Metcalf SEA 286 61 21.3% 5
33 Zay Flowers BLT 211 45 21.3% -10
34 Christian Kirk JAX 198 42 21.2% 2
35 Khalil Shakir BUF 133 28 21.1% 10
36 Brandon Aiyuk SF 215 45 20.9% 13
37 DeVonta Smith PHI 158 33 20.9% -12
38 Chris Olave NO 139 29 20.9% 2
39 Deebo Samuel SF 155 32 20.6% 0
40 Quentin Johnston LAC 107 22 20.6% 3
41 Jayden Reed GB 186 38 20.4% -10
42 Jakobi Meyers LV 182 37 20.3% 2
43 DJ Moore CHI 224 45 20.1% 4
44 Darnell Mooney ATL 250 50 20.0% 2
44 Demario Douglas NE 170 34 20.0% 6
44 Davante Adams NYJ 165 33 20.0% -2
47 Keenan Allen CHI 112 22 19.6% 1
48 DeAndre Hopkins TEN 107 21 19.6% -27
49 Courtland Sutton DEN 232 45 19.4% -20
50 Ja’Marr Chase CIN 247 47 19.0% 3
51 Noah Brown WAS 100 19 19.0% -18
52 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA 288 54 18.8% 2
53 Tyler Johnson LA 107 20 18.7% 4
54 Calvin Ridley TEN 179 33 18.4% 9
55 Greg Dortch ARZ 148 27 18.2% 0
56 Romeo Doubs GB 186 33 17.7% 17
57 Tank Dell HST 198 34 17.2% 1
58 Gabe Davis JAX 204 35 17.2% 1
59 Tyler Lockett SEA 246 42 17.1% 6
60 Jaylen Waddle MIA 176 30 17.0% -9
61 Allen Lazard NYJ 255 43 16.9% 1
62 Jordan Addison MIN 113 19 16.8% -10
63 Michael Wilson ARZ 197 33 16.8% -3
64 Keon Coleman BUF 163 27 16.6% 10
65 Xavier Legette CAR 158 26 16.5% -1
66 Jameson Williams DET 178 29 16.3% -10
67 Xavier Worthy KC 167 27 16.2% 19
68 Nelson Agholor BLT 100 16 16.0% -2
69 Darius Slayton NYG 256 40 15.6% -8
70 Calvin Austin III PIT 136 21 15.4% 6
71 Tyler Boyd TEN 163 25 15.3% 0
72 Rashod Bateman BLT 198 30 15.2% 0
73 Ray-Ray McCloud III ATL 238 36 15.1% -5
74 Josh Reynolds DEN 128 19 14.8% 1
75 Jonathan Mingo CAR 155 23 14.8% -5
76 Mason Tipton NO 129 19 14.7% 18
77 Jalen Tolbert DAL 221 32 14.5% 0
78 Jerry Jeudy CLV 278 40 14.4% -9
79 Joshua Palmer LAC 119 17 14.3% 3
79 Jalen Brooks DAL 98 14 14.3% -1
79 Simi Fehoko LAC 91 13 14.3% #N/A
82 K.J. Osborn NE 106 15 14.2% 0
83 Brandin Cooks DAL 135 19 14.1% -2
84 Ja’Lynn Polk NE 178 25 14.0% -4
85 Lil’Jordan Humphrey DEN 138 19 13.8% 4
86 Rome Odunze CHI 212 29 13.7% -1
87 Christian Watson GB 104 14 13.5% -8
88 Alec Pierce IND 196 26 13.3% 0
89 Tre Tucker LV 248 32 12.9% 2
89 JuJu Smith-Schuster KC 93 12 12.9% -7
91 DJ Turner LV 132 17 12.9% 6
92 Elijah Moore CLV 235 30 12.8% 0
93 Cedric Tillman CLV 119 15 12.6% #N/A
94 Cedrick Wilson Jr. NO 88 11 12.5% #N/A
95 Demarcus Robinson LA 201 25 12.4% -5
96 Dyami Brown WAS 98 12 12.2% 3
97 Jalen McMillan TB 123 15 12.2% 7
98 Mack Hollins BUF 162 19 11.7% -11
99 Jalen Nailor MIN 138 16 11.6% 1
100 Mike Williams NYJ 167 19 11.4% -5
101 Andrei Iosivas CIN 206 23 11.2% -8
102 Van Jefferson PIT 155 15 9.7% 1
103 Luke McCaffrey WAS 128 12 9.4% -6
104 Sterling Shepard TB 121 11 9.1% #N/A
105 Jalin Hyatt NYG 99 8 8.1% 2
106 Kayshon Boutte NE 112 9 8.0% -4
107 Jahan Dotson PHI 163 12 7.4% -2
108 Justin Watson KC 132 9 6.8% -2

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