Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 16 (Fantasy Football)

The first round of the fantasy playoffs provided plenty of points and drama, and a lot of mid-round picks came through in Week 15 after inconsistent seasons. Jordan Addison, Jaylen Waddle, Terry McLaurin, and more propelled a lot of teams into the semifinals. Week 15 also came with its fair share of injuries and surprises, opening up some opportunities for players in Week 16 to earn targets and turn the tide of your matchup.

This weekly series gives actionable insights for the week ahead based on Targets Per Route Run (TPRR). TPRR is calculated by dividing a player’s targets by their routes run and expressing it as a percentage. We use this statistic to evaluate a player’s efficiency and production related to their opportunities. To learn more about TPRR and why it’s a useful tool, check out the 2023 season preview.

Week 15 Recap

Here’s a look at Week 15’s top 20 in Targets Per Route Run (minimum 15 routes run):

*Route and Target Data via PFF.com

Takeaways

• Jayden Reed exited with a toe injury in a Week 15 loss to Tampa Bay, but he made the most of his time on the field. Reed was on the field for only 42% of Green Bay’s offensive snaps, but he earned eight targets on only 17 routes. Reed’s practice reports will be crucial to watch, but he presents a startable option with plenty of upside if he plays.
• Noah Brown (32% TPRR) finally took advantage of the available targets in Houston. Or maybe he just needed Case Keenum instead of CJ Stroud. Insert shrug emoji. Brown has plenty of upside, but the Texans will struggle to move the ball in Week 16 if Stroud can’t clear the league’s concussion protocol. If Nico Collins is cleared to play, Noah Brown‘s path gets even tougher.
• Zay Jones and Calvin Ridley‘s TPRR numbers look good at first glance, but neither did much with the opportunities in Week 15. Trevor Lawrence is in danger of missing Week 16, which puts a damper on a game with massive playoff implications. Jones is dealing with an injury of his own, further muddying the waters in Jacksonville. If everyone plays, it’s a game that should provide plenty of offense.
• We saw the signs last week, so I hope you believed the stats and put Chris Godwin (37% TPRR) into your starting lineup. He saw 11 targets for the second week in a row, and the Bucs should continue to roll against a ho-hum Jacksonville defense in Week 16. Fire up Evans and Godwin against the Jaguars, who rank 23rd against fantasy wide receivers this season.
• Michael Pittman was eating up targets before taking the hit that lit the internet on fire. Josh Downs has faded in recent weeks and didn’t take advantage of the opportunity. Enter D.J. Montgomery, who didn’t have a target coming into Week 15. Montgomery was the direct fill-in for Pitty City, and he would be worth a dart throw or DFS play should Pittman miss Week 16.  For what it’s worth, Montgomery is an actual city, so…

Season Leaders

Here are the season leaders in TPRR among qualified receivers through Week 15, with the minimum routes run set at 200. The right-hand column (+/-) shows a player’s movement in the rankings from week to week.

*Route and Target Data via PFF.com

Full TPRR List

This list includes all 105 eligible WRs with at least 200 total routes run this season.

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Targets Per Route Run – Season Leaders (Min. 200 Routes)
Rk	Player	Team	Routes	Targets	TPRR	+ /-
1	Tyreek Hill	MIA	372	128	34.41%	0
2	Davante Adams	LV	477	135	28.30%	0
3	Keenan Allen	LAC	527	144	27.32%	0
4	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	368	100	27.17%	3
5	DeAndre Hopkins	TEN	414	112	27.05%	6
6	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	516	139	26.94%	-2
7	Stefon Diggs	BUF	506	136	26.88%	1
8	A.J. Brown	PHI	508	136	26.77%	-2
9	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	476	127	26.68%	0
10	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	515	137	26.60%	2
11	Justin Jefferson	MIN	245	65	26.53%	-1
12	Puka Nacua	LA	484	128	26.45%	-7
13	Rashee Rice	KC	320	83	25.94%	0
14	Chris Olave	NO	448	116	25.89%	1
15	Demario Douglas	NE	229	58	25.33%	-1
16	Mike Evans	TB	437	110	25.17%	0
17	Nico Collins	HST	344	86	25.00%	0
18	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	559	133	23.79%	0
19	Diontae Johnson	PIT	304	72	23.68%	1
20	Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	542	128	23.62%	-1
21	Kendrick Bourne	NE	235	55	23.40%	0
22	Tank Dell	HST	320	74	23.13%	1
23	Cooper Kupp	LA	324	74	22.84%	1
24	Odell Beckham Jr.	BLT	256	58	22.66%	-2
25	Brandon Aiyuk	SF	363	82	22.59%	0
26	Jayden Reed	GB	346	78	22.54%	13
27	Deebo Samuel	SF	302	68	22.52%	1
28	Chris Godwin	TB	460	103	22.39%	3
29	Drake London	ATL	387	85	21.96%	-3
30	Adam Thielen	CAR	542	119	21.96%	0
31	DJ Moore	CHI	503	108	21.47%	-4
32	Curtis Samuel	WAS	343	73	21.28%	4
33	Amari Cooper	CLV	503	107	21.27%	-4
34	Tyler Lockett	SEA	464	98	21.12%	1
35	Christian Kirk	JAX	380	80	21.05%	-2
36	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	447	94	21.03%	-4
37	Marquise Brown	ARZ	460	94	20.43%	-3
38	Zay Jones	JAX	264	53	20.08%	10
39	Calvin Ridley	JAX	531	106	19.96%	8
40	Jakobi Meyers	LV	433	86	19.86%	-3
41	Terry McLaurin	WAS	551	109	19.78%	10
42	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	245	48	19.59%	7
43	Christian Watson	GB	271	53	19.56%	1
44	Josh Downs	IND	411	80	19.46%	-3
45	Michael Thomas	NO	324	63	19.44%	0
45	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	396	77	19.44%	-5
47	Tee Higgins	CIN	335	64	19.10%	-4
48	George Pickens	PIT	466	89	19.10%	4
49	DeVonta Smith	PHI	539	102	18.92%	-3
50	JuJu Smith-Schuster	NE	246	46	18.70%	3
51	Zay Flowers	BLT	472	88	18.64%	-9
52	Noah Brown	HST	243	45	18.52%	11
53	Courtland Sutton	DEN	447	82	18.34%	2
54	Jerry Jeudy	DEN	369	67	18.16%	3
55	Romeo Doubs	GB	448	81	18.08%	-5
56	Wan’Dale Robinson	NYG	307	55	17.92%	0
57	Robert Woods	HST	347	61	17.58%	1
58	Elijah Moore	CLV	502	88	17.53%	-4
59	Jordan Addison	MIN	511	89	17.42%	0
60	Jonathan Mingo	CAR	467	79	16.92%	1
61	Tyler Boyd	CIN	488	81	16.60%	-1
62	Tutu Atwell	LA	374	62	16.58%	0
63	Rashod Bateman	BLT	278	46	16.55%	4
64	Rashid Shaheed	NO	343	56	16.33%	0
65	Joshua Palmer	LAC	267	42	15.73%	0
66	DeVante Parker	NE	288	44	15.28%	2
67	Michael Gallup	DAL	342	52	15.20%	-1
68	Brandin Cooks	DAL	423	63	14.89%	3
69	Hunter Renfrow	LV	242	36	14.88%	0
70	Justin Watson	KC	305	43	14.10%	3
71	K.J. Osborn	MIN	458	63	13.76%	3
72	Michael Wilson	ARZ	316	43	13.61%	0
73	Gabe Davis	BUF	496	67	13.51%	6
74	Brandon Powell	MIN	252	34	13.49%	7
75	Calvin Austin III	PIT	208	28	13.46%	3
76	Darius Slayton	NYG	446	60	13.45%	7
77	Quentin Johnston	LAC	372	50	13.44%	0
78	Marvin Mims Jr.	DEN	201	27	13.43%	-3
79	Trey Palmer	TB	376	49	13.03%	5
80	Jauan Jennings	SF	231	30	12.99%	6
81	Jahan Dotson	WAS	551	71	12.89%	-1
82	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	TEN	328	42	12.80%	0
83	Nelson Agholor	BLT	268	34	12.69%	2
84	Khalil Shakir	BUF	253	32	12.65%	3
85	Jalen Tolbert	DAL	230	29	12.61%	-9
86	Josh Reynolds	DET	390	49	12.56%	4
87	Skyy Moore	KC	289	36	12.46%	1
88	Rondale Moore	ARZ	395	49	12.41%	1
89	Isaiah Hodgins	NYG	221	27	12.22%	3
90	Allen Robinson II	PIT	353	42	11.90%	4
91	Darnell Mooney	CHI	437	51	11.67%	5
92	Tyler Scott	CHI	206	24	11.65%	#N/A
93	Braxton Berrios	MIA	264	30	11.36%	-2
94	Cedric Tillman	CLV	275	31	11.27%	9
95	Trenton Irwin	CIN	216	24	11.11%	0
95	DJ Chark Jr.	CAR	396	44	11.11%	-2
97	Chris Moore	TEN	237	26	10.97%	2
98	Jalin Hyatt	NYG	317	34	10.73%	-1
99	Allen Lazard	NYJ	443	47	10.61%	-1
100	Alec Pierce	IND	509	52	10.22%	0
101	Van Jefferson	ATL	318	32	10.06%	0
102	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	KC	376	36	9.57%	0
103	Xavier Gipson	NYJ	252	24	9.52%	2
104	Donovan Peoples-Jones	DET	241	21	8.71%	0
105	Olamide Zaccheaus	PHI	255	14	5.49%	1