Snap Count Observations: Transactions to Make for Week 10 (Fantasy Football)
We have reached the halfway mark for most NFL teams (and surpassed it for others…an odd number of games in an NFL season is weird). Trends are definitely set by now, but things do pop up due to injuries or other changes. Let’s get into it!
Skyy Moore Falling Down Depth Chart
Skyy Moore has done a whole lot of nothing in 2023 despite high hopes from many. Moore’s snap share was one of his lowest of the season and his route participation was a mere 29%. He’s being phased out of the offense in favor of Justin Watson. Watson saw a season-high 74% of routes, but he didn’t do a ton with it (two for 15 on five targets). Five targets did lead the team, even surpassing Travis Kelce. The problem with any receiver on this offense still remains how much Mahomes is sharing the love. He threw the ball 30 times and nine players saw a target. There is no concentration in this offense whatsoever, which is not a fantasy delight. Rashee Rice needs to convert touchdowns to remain relevant because without that touchdown he only catches one ball for six yards.
Conclusion: You can add Justin Watson in the hope that his team lead in targets continues, but you’ll probably be disappointed.
Jeff Wilson Droppable
Jeff Wilson 17%
If you are like me, you have been holding Jeff Wilson hoping that he earns a bigger role based on his history with the team and the coaching staff. It’s been a few weeks since he returned from IR, and he still isn’t involved. He’s clearly behind Salvon Ahmed on the depth chart, even for most goal line work. Perhaps an injury to Mostert would launch him into a huge role, but Achane is on track to return very soon. I don’t see the path for Wilson to make a splash on this team in 2023.
Conclusion: You can drop Jeff Wilson if you’ve been holding.
Darrell Henderson Lead Back
Henderson 59%; Royce Freeman 41%
Henderson remains the preferred back in Los Angeles despite his terrible efficiency (10 rushes for 19 yards). Freeman actually ended up with more rushing attempts, but he was far less involved in the passing game.
Some of this inefficiency likely had to do with a poor backup quarterback leading the team, so perhaps things will improve if Matthew Stafford returns healthy after the Week 10 bye. But truthfully, neither of these Rams RBs is probably worth rostering. The word on the street is that Kyren Williams will return in Week 12, so Henderson will remain useful for, at most, two more games against the Seahawks and Cardinals. Starting RBs don’t grow on trees, but holding these guys through the bye week seems like a tough choice.
Conclusion: Cut the Rams RBs due to the bye if you need room.
Rachaad White Fully Has the Reins
Rachaad White continues to do Rachaad White things. Namely, he continues to be pretty forgettable running the football. 73 yards is decent, but not when you consider that it took 20 attempts to get there. (For comparison, Jahmyr Gibbs had 152 on 26 carries the week prior). But White made up for it in the passing game. And he scored two touchdowns in the game.
The point is that his role is so strong that he can blunder his way to a huge fantasy day. He’s a top-10 RB in terms of role, just not in terms of output. But we know that role is everything when it comes to the running back position in fantasy football.
Conclusion: Keep White in your lineup!
James Cook Continues to Lead Underused Bills Backfield
James Cook‘s usage is fine, and he plays in a good offense. But he just doesn’t get the ball much – only six carries in the whole game. He was used more in the passing game, with four targets. But still, 39 total yards and 10 opportunities are awful.
Latavius Murray is involved, but they don’t give him the ball much. He only had two carries and one target. He’s not a real competitor to Cook’s usage. Josh Allen is, to a certain extent, as he led the team in rushing attempts with eight, but of course, many of those were scrambles, including his rushing touchdown.
The point is that the team only rushed eight total times to running backs. The team is set to pass way more than run.
It’s clear that Murray is the preferred pass protector, which mitigates one of James Cook‘s best assets: the ability to pass catch. Murray was also in the game a lot in the fourth quarter. All these factors are really bad for James Cook becoming something exciting.
Conclusion: Consider whether you have better options to start than James Cook, including on the waiver wire.