Ride or Die: The Fantasy Footballers Predictions for Week 10
New name, same great segment. “Ride or Die” pits The Ballers against each other with three players to meet a certain number each week. Each Baller will pick the player to “Ride” or “Die” with the stat, similar to a “prop” bet.
Each week I will be here to recap where each of the Ballers took the wheel or gave a nice tuck and roll out of the vehicle for each one. Of course, I’ll weigh in as well and we’ll keep score throughout the season so you can see how smart I really am.
As always, let me know if you’re jumping in the passenger’s seat with me or think I’m driving the crazy train here or on Twitter: @KurtKnowsBest.
“Ride or Die” Scoreboard
We’re on the back end of the fantasy regular season and Jason has extended his lead on the season totals. Jason was also perfect on Week 9’s predictions, while Mike was the only other person to even get one right.
|Week 9 Ride or Die Outcome|
|Antonio Gibson||Top-20 RB||Die|
|Kyle Pitts||8 Fantasy Points (Half-PPR)||Die|
|Geno Smith||Top-12 Fantasy QB||Ride||Ride|
|2022 Overall||44% (12/27)||70% (19/27)||48% (13/27)||44% (12/27)|
Week 10 “Ride or Die” Predictions
For the full “Ride or Die” segment, listen to the November 9 episode of the podcast: “Let’s Talk Trades + Ride or Die, TNF Breakdown”
JuJu Smith-Schuster (KC) vs Jacksonville: Top-15 Fantasy WR
Fantasy managers have been blessed with three-straight weeks of top-15 finishes from JuJu Smith-Schuster, finishing as the WR7, WR4, and WR15 since Week 6. Those three solid weeks come after finishing outside the top 30 for the first five weeks of the season.
Andy is a “Ride” with his “Start of the Week” on this prediction, arguing that the Chiefs continued use of JuJu as a second Travis Kelce means he’ll have a great baseline. Smith-Schuster has seen a combined 20 targets in the last two weeks.
Jason is a “Die” on this prediction, thinking that the numerous teams being on bye in Week 9 helped inflate JuJu’s fantasy finish. Mike is also out on this prediction, arguing the bulk of his targets coming close to the line of scrimmage will limit his high-end ability. I’m with the Big Shimmy & Hitman on this one due to the potential for an increased role for Kadarius Toney in the Chiefs’ offense.
Devonta Smith (PHI) vs Washington: 70+ Receiving Yards
It’s been a very mixed bag of results when starting Devonta Smith this season. Smith has finished outside of the top 50 receivers in 50% of games played in 2022 and has only hit 70 receiving yards three times.
Jason was the first to “Ride” on this prediction due to the Commanders matchup being a great one for receivers so far this season. I’ll hop in the passenger’s seat with Jason on this prediction. Whenever Smith sees five targets he’s averaging 80 yards per game.
Andy and Mike are both a “Die” on this prediction. Mike argues that even though the last time Philadelphia played Washington, Smith was the WR1 on the week, Smith’s combined 55 yards over the last two games make him nervous to bet on this prediction.
Chris Godwin (TB) vs Seattle: 12 Fantasy Points (Half-PPR)
It’s shocking to learn that Chris Godwin hasn’t scored a TD this season and is currently sitting at WR44 on the year. Godwin’s largest fantasy week came in Week 6 against Pittsburgh when he finished with 12.5 points in half-PPR scoring.
All of the Ballers are a “Ride” on this prediction. Andy was the first one in, choosing to believe that the Tampa Bay offense has some momentum going into this week after their late comeback in Week 9. Jason is a “Ride” as well, arguing that the large number of targets is too good of a base to get to the 12 points needed. Mike thinks that the touchdown will come for Godwin to get him over the hump.
I’ll be the lone “Die” on this prediction. Godwin’s usage is helpful, but betting on this Bucs’ offense hasn’t been successful this season. Seattle’s defense has only given up 12 fantasy points to a single opposing WR once in the last four weeks.
|Week 10 Ride or Die|
|JuJu Smith-Schuster||Top-15 Fantasy WR||Ride||Die||Die||Die|
|Devonta Smith||70+ Receiving Yards||Die||Ride||Die||Ride|
|Chris Godwin||12 Fantasy Points (Half-PPR)||Ride||Ride||Ride||Die|
Kurt’s Bonus Picks
Kurt’s Bonus Picks Week 9 Outcome
|Leonard Fournette||Score a TD|
|Marcus Mariota||Top-12 QB Finish||Die|
|D.J. Moore||6+ Receptions|
|2022 Overall||48% (13/27)|
Cordarrelle Patterson (ATL) at Carolina: To Score a TD
The return for Cordarrelle Patterson was well worth the wait for fantasy managers after he posted an RB7 finish in Week 9. Patterson’s usage wasn’t the typical 60% of snaps we’ve become accustomed to seeing with the Falcons, but you can’t argue with the results he produced on the field.
Patterson is averaging a TD per game that he’s played in 2022 and fantasy managers should only expect him to see the field more as he’s worked back into the offense. Not to mention, Carolina is coming off an awful Week 9 where they allowed Joe Mixon to score five total TDs.
I like Patterson’s chances this week, so I’ll “Ride” with this prediction.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) at Chicago: Top-24 WR
After starting red hot with WR14 and WR3 finishes, the Sun God hasn’t produced for fantasy managers in five straight games. Since Week 3, St. Brown hasn’t cracked the top 24 on a given week and hasn’t gotten into the end zone either.
What should be encouraging for fantasy managers is the number of targets Amon-Ra is still seeing. If you exclude Week 7 where he practically didn’t play, St. Brown has averaged eight targets per week and 19 total targets since Week 8. As long as the Lions are going to be in high-scoring affairs, I’m willing to continue betting on Amon-Ra.
I’ll “Ride” with this prediction.
Miles Sanders (PHI) vs Washington: 15+ Fantasy Points (Half-PPR)
Miles Sanders has pretty quietly been the RB12 on the season averaging 14 points since Week 6 and getting into the end zone each of the last three games. While he is clearly the lead back for the Eagles, Philadelphia’s offense has also used Sanders consistently to grind games out in the second half.
The formula for Sanders to hit the 15-point mark this week will depend on him getting into the end zone. He’s seeing 70% of the RB snaps on the season and 26% of the Eagles’ rushing attempts inside the 10–yard line.
With another juicy matchup on the slate for Philadelphia, I’ll “Ride” with Sanders to hit the 15-point mark this week.
|Kurt Bonus Picks Week 10|
|Cordarrelle Patterson||To Score a TD||Ride|
|Amon-Ra St. Brown||Top-24 WR||Ride|
|Miles Sanders||15+ Fantasy Points (Half-Point PPR)||Ride|