Buy Low Opportunities Heading into Week 4 (Fantasy Football)
Week two was a bit of a weird week, with the running back production continuing to disappoint, and the overall landscape of fantasy teams continued to confuse. Players like Zay Jones and Greg Dortch are still fantasy relevant, while guys like Leonard Fournette and Austin Ekeler are killing lineups. The buy-low opportunities at this point in the year have the potential to win you a league, so it’s the most crucial time to jump on some of these guys before it’s too late.
Dalton Schultz – TE, Dallas Cowboys
The tight end position has been a bit of a train-wreck outside of Travis Kelce and Mark Andrews, but there may be some hope if you’re able to snag Dalton Schultz in the next couple of days. Schultz was a top-5 tight end in 2021, and he saw nine targets from Dak Prescott in Week one and seemed to be picking up right where he left off. Dak is now sidelined for at least two more weeks and Schultz missed the Cowboys Week 3 contest. All of this adds up to Schultz being a forgotten steady presence at an incredibly unpredictable position. If you are a team sitting at 2-1 or 3-0 but lack a clear-cut tight end anchor, then Schultz is the perfect target for the final eight to ten weeks of your fantasy season.
Breece Hall – RB, New York Jets
The enigma of Breece Hall in the offseason created a pretty significant hype train for the rookie back heading into redraft season. He has all the makings of a star running back, with the exception of the team he plays for. The Jets are still finding their identity and we had to wait at least an extra four weeks to sort out the Zach Wilson experience. Wilson should be back in Week five, and Hall has quietly been a massive part of the offense, and in the passing game in particular. He has seen the second most targets at the running back position through three weeks, and his starting quarterback has yet to play a down with him on the field. Hall was a decorated runner, but if the Jets believe in him this much in the passing game, he has the potential to be a workhorse back by the end of the year. Michael Carter is no slouch, but Hall’s pedigree and skillset belong on the field more often than not. Week three was the first time that Hall played on more than 50% of snaps, so the rise of the rookie could be happening right now. Combine that with the return of Zach Wilson, and he could be a league winner down the stretch similar to Jonathan Taylor in 2021.
Joe Mixon – RB, Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals offense as a whole has been off to a slow start this year, so it’s quite possible that the Superbowl (loss) hangover is in effect. I’m personally willing to bet that Joe Burrow and his boys come around soon and start to light up the box score once again. Joe Mixon was drafted in the second round, but he’s only had one Week inside the top 25 at his position thus far. The knock on him last year was the lack of receiving game work, but he’s seen the fourth most targets at the running back position so far this year. Zac Taylor and his staff clearly trust Mixon more this year as a receiver, he just hasn’t produced enough as a rusher. I’d be more concerned if the Bengals offense were moving the ball without Mixon, but it’s not just Mixon that’s the problem. Once things start to pick up as a whole, I’d expect the production from the starting running back in Cincinnati to follow right along with it. We call this buying low, after all.
Any time you can trade for a receiver catching passes from Patrick Mahomes, you should…. probably hesitate unless he’s named Tyreek Hill. The receiving corps in Kansas City has been a revolving door, just as Mahomes predicted. Travis Kelce is still Travis Kelce, but through three weeks JuJu is the next top option in the passing game. He was targeted eight times in two of three games, and he’s playing over 70% of snaps on one of the best offenses in the league. His Week three yards-per-target metric was the highest of the season so far, which means Mahomes is pushing it downfield more to Juju. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has scored touchdowns at a high rate, but Juju is yet to find the endzone. There is both touchdown and target regression coming to these pass catchers, and Juju is the top candidate to benefit from it. He’s a great WR3 target with weekly WR1 upside.
Gabriel Davis – WR, Buffalo Bills
Josh Allen is continuing his dominance of both the fantasy and NFL landscapes, and his receivers are balling out because of it. Stefon Diggs is pacing to be a top-three wide receiver, and Gabriel Davis has a lot of room to run in fantasy circles. He was arguably the most hyped-up player in the offseason, and his Week one output delivered on that hype. He missed Week two, and his Week three game left a lot to be desired. It’s very possible that fantasy managers who drafted him are feeling like they picked him too early, and they may be willing to dish him without really examining his situation. He’s the clearcut second option on a top-three NFL offense, and he plays on 99% of snaps with Josh Allen dropping back. He logged the highest snap count of any receiver in the league this past week, and that includes his alpha teammate Stefon Diggs. He still saw six targets, they just didn’t connect on enough of them to produce big numbers. Davis is going to have some massive games this year, and now may be the only chance to get him without the box score giving his fantasy owners pause.