WR vs. CB Matchups to Monitor for Week 12 (Fantasy Football)
Integrating specific WR/CB matchups into your DFS process adds another layer of analysis into the mix. While this is only a piece of the puzzle, this tool allows you to better value ceiling-type plays for elite WRs who can run circles around their opponent.
I break up this WR/CB article into several categories: Alpha WRs, Slot Mavens, Discount Target Specials, and Full-On Fades. The goal is to go from the top-tier stars to move down to bargain WRs with excellent matchups. As always, make sure you use the tools found in the DFS Pass such as the Value Comparison and Roster Percentage Report to discern which WR would be best in cash and tournament lineup builds.
Hill may have fallen behind Davante Adams in targets while on bye last week, but he continues to lead all players with 3.61 yards/route run. That’s an impressive .8 yards more than the next closest, Stefon Diggs. Hill also leads the league with 23 deep targets of 20+ yards and has converted 14 of them, also tops in the league.
Houston’s numbers against WRs can be misleading. They’ve allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to the position, largely because teams have been able to run all over their league-worst rush defense. They’ve been beatable through the air, especially on big plays, when teams do pass on them. They allow 12.3 yards/completion, the second-highest rate in the NFL. They also lead the league in the percentage of boom plays allowed through the air at 29%, according to Rotoviz. Those metrics set up perfectly for Hill’s big-play ability.
Since he lines up all over the field, Hill isn’t likely to see primary coverage from a single Houston corner, but none of them are able to hang with him anyway. Rookie Derek Stingly Jr., arguably their most talented defender, missed last week and is yet to practice this week with a hamstring injury. His absence bumps Desmond King II outside and puts Tavierre Thomas into the slot. King allows 2.7 yards of separation/target, 94th among qualified defenders. Thomas is even worse at 4.0 yards, though he hasn’t played enough snaps to officially qualify for ranking. The speedy Hill should be running away from Texan defenders all game long.