Week 1 DFS Vegas Report
Houston Texans @ New England Patriots -6.0 (50.5)
This lined has moved slightly down since the start of the week. New England opened up as 6.5 home favorites and it’s since moved to six. This game stack will be a popular one but I get it. The ceiling on both of these teams is through the roof, especially with Deshaun Watson back at quarterback. He’s a risky cash play, but he made everybody around him better, including DeAndre Hopkins. Will Fuller caught seven touchdowns in four games with Watson, and Lamar Miller‘s numbers improved across the board with Watson. Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski will be business as usual. You can also feel pretty safe about Chris Hogan. The backfield is anybody’s guess yet again. NE drafted Sony Michel in the first round, but he hasn’t had many reps due to an injury. Rex Burkhead is also not 100 percent, leaving James White as a sneaky GPP play.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints -9.5 (49.5)
These two teams combined for 95 points in two meetings last season and 82 the season before. It feels a tad high given the offensive woes Tampa Bay will likely have with Ryan Fitzpatrick at quarterback and their lack of running game. The line is not great, but Peyton Barber has managed to run away with the starting job over rookie Ronald Jones II. Drew Brees has always been dominant at home despite only having one three-touchdown game in New Orleans last season. It was actually his only game with more than two touchdown passes. Odd, but Mark Ingram took a lot of red zone throws away from Brees last season and the defense played much better. The defense is still good (maybe better), but Ingram is suspended. Dial-up all the Brees, Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara you can dream of.