Scenario Diversification: Conference Championship DFS

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Smaller slates make for great opportunities to win big in tournaments and that’s exactly what we have here with just two games on tap for Conference Championship Weekend. When building multiple lineups, it’s important to differentiate our exposure in order to cover our bases and give us a higher likelihood of finishing at the top of the standings.

Of course, this doesn’t just mean throwing different players in random lineups and hoping for the best. Our process-based approach can give us a better chance of identifying a great lineup than our competition by using top-down analysis to highlight the best scenarios. Let’s take a look:

Note: All statistics calculated through Week 16.

Scenario 1: Count Stacks With Your Mahomies
After the Chiefs scored 51 points last week, we’re going right back to the well with this stack. Kansas City gets to play at home in the more favorable fantasy game against a Titans defense that ranked 21st in Pass DVOA and 21st in yards per game allowed this season. Meanwhile, the Chiefs Offense ranked 5th in the league in points per game and sixth in yards per game while Patrick Mahomes, who ranked fourth in passing yards per game (296.69) and tied for sixth in Pass TDs per game (1.92), is by far and away the best QB option on the slate. Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill are the obvious stack candidates. Kelce ranked 15th in the league in targets per game (8.73) and sixth in receiving yards per game (80.33) while Hill ranked 30th in the league in targets per game (7.64) and 18th in receiving yards per game (72.64) this season.

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