DFS First Look Pricing for Week 2 (Fantasy Football)
Our Fantasy Footballers DFS team started out with a bang in Week 1. On the Footballers DFS Podcast, Matthew Betz and myself discussed the following for the main slate:
- LV/CAR- We loved the OVER & pounded the table for Josh Jacobs as the lock of the week
- SEA/ATL- We loved the OVER and talked up exactly how to stack on both sites.
- NO/TB- In an unpopular 1st week take, we said to FADE this game.
- PHI/WSH- We loved the Washington Defense as a tournament play.
- ARZ/SF- We talked up the Kyler/Nuk stack on DK and running it back with Mostert.
It doesn’t mean we got everything right but our team’s approach helped DFS Pass users and Pod listeners across the board.
— Wesley Evans (@bearsdad2008) September 14, 2020
Week 2 is where we begin to see movement and fluctuation in prices. Like any type of market, some changes are needed, some are overcorrections, and some salaries are just downright wrong. Player pricing on the major DFS platforms is available to us well before we even start our process of building lineups and allows us to identify the inefficiencies, a tool within the toolbelt of someone who wants to win consistently in DFS.
DraftKings: Aaron Rodgers receives the biggest boost in salary coming in at $6,900 after throwing four TDs. I’d rather pivot to Dak Prescott at that price point at $6,800 who plays the Falcons at home. He’s the QB5 in salary in a game with a 50.5 over/under… Josh Allen threw 45 times in Week 1 which just shows you the type of ceiling he has. On DK, he has the upside to go 300 through the air or 100 on the ground to get that three-point bonus. He’s just $6,700 this week against a Dolphins defense that was destroyed on the ground by Cam Newton. Oh and he’s thrown for multiple TDs in all four games against Miami in his career… After rushing for 100 yards (I don’t count the nine yards lost in kneel-downs), Kyler Murray feels mispriced as the QB12 at $6,100. He’s the QB5 on FanDuel so stay away there. The Cardinals face a formidable Washington front-seven but are easy favorites at home…Philip Rivers & Kirk Cousins are both $5,900 and they play against each other in Indianapolis. If you like that dome game to go over, there are passing yards that could happen in bunches. Jared Goff was rightfully punished after an underwhelming Week 1. At $5,800, he’s priced way down but he’s always a threat for the 300-yard DK bonus. I like his chances as a GPP play even on the road against Philadelphia…