DFS Vegas Report for Week 7

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Each week I’ll preview the five most important games from a Vegas total perspective and how to attack each game in DFS. I’ll highlight which players are the most stackable, who are recommended cash and GPP plays, and who looks like they should be faded. Listen and subscribe to the Fantasy Footballers’ DFS Podcast as we analyze these games for the main slate every Friday.

Week 6 Review
  • Lions @ Jaguars: Under, 50 total points – The Lions certainly held up their end of the bargain going over their implied team total, but one of our concerns on the podcast last week was that these offenses aren’t efficient and could stall on third down. We saw that a bit on Sunday with the Jaguars’ inability to push the ball down-field. It led to a run-heavy game script for AP and D’Andre Swift.
  • Texans @ Titans: Over, 78 total points – The game sailed over the total thanks in part to overtime and Derrick Henry breaking the slate. This was our favorite game stack on the week and certainly provided huge fantasy numbers for starters on both sides of the ball.
  • Falcons @ Vikings: Over, 63 total points – This game was ugly for the Vikings early, but the game environment provided fireworks as the Vikings were forced to play from behind after Matt Ryan and Julio Jones got the Falcons out to a big lead. The only player who really disappointed here was Alexander Mattison who fell victim to the negative game script.
  • Packers @ Buccaneers: Under, 48 total points – Tampa came out and absolutely smashed in this contest, but the Packers were really disappointing. As Kyle and I discussed on the pod, there weren’t any standout plays besides Ronald Jones, and because of that, this game was a full fade for me.
  • Browns @ Steelers: Under, 45 total points – The Browns were a team we faded on the podcast this week given the injury to Baker Mayfield and the fact that he has crumbled when under pressure this season. With the Steelers getting after Baker consistently, he was unable to move the Browns down the field. Steelers players were viable in cash formats.
Detroit Lions @ Atlanta Falcons, O/U: 56.5, ATL -3

The Lions travel to Atlanta as three-point road dogs in what projects to be a shootout between two potent offenses and two bad defenses. Collectively, these two offenses are 7-4 in terms of hitting the over, and that trend could continue this week. As discussed above, the Lions simply didn’t have to throw against Jacksonville given that they got up big early. I don’t expect that this week on the road against Atlanta.

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