DFS Vegas Report for Week 11

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Each week I’ll preview the five most important games from a Vegas total perspective and how to attack each game in DFS. I’ll highlight which players are the most stackable, who are recommended cash and GPP plays, and who looks like they should be faded. Listen and subscribe to the Fantasy Footballers’ DFS Podcast as we analyze these games for the main slate every Friday.

Week 10 Review
  • Bills @ Cardinals: Over, 62 total points – Man oh man what a game! This was arguably the most popular game on the entire main slate and for good reason. Both offenses were up in pace and throwing at an elevated rate, which led to amazing Josh Allen and Kyler Murray stacks, especially if you paired Murray with Nuk.
  • Seahawks @ Rams: Under, 39 total points – A game in which neither offense could really get it going, especially on the Seattle side of the ball. Over the past two weeks, Russell Wilson has been sacked a combined 10 times, which has obviously limited his ability to deliver the ball down field to his playmakers. This, combined with three rushing TDs in this game to unusable fantasy pieces really made this game underwhelming from a game stack perspective.
  • Texans @ Browns: Under, 17 total points – With the weather significantly limiting these offenses, there isn’t too much to take away from this game environment. One thing is for sure though, the Texans cannot stop anyone from running the football as both Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb easily topped 100 yards.
  • Jaguars @ Packers: Under, 44 total points – As Kyle and I discussed on the podcast, we weren’t sure how the Jags were going to be able to keep up with the Packers to help this game hit the over, making it a far less appealing game stack. Like most of you I’m sure, I played a ton of Aaron Jones, which in my head, was correct given the talent, usage, and matchup. However, the backfield split with Jamaal Williams really limited Jones in this one. A great learning lesson for all of us – sometimes the chalk fails.
  • Broncos @ Raiders: Under, 49 total points – Drew Lock played most of this game injured, but that may not be enough of an excuse. We’ve seen Lock fail before. He’s simply not a QB we can trust in games that don’t shootout, and with the Raiders preferring to dominate time of possession and use Derek Carr sparingly, this is a spot that was relatively easy to fade Drew Lock.
Atlanta Falcons @ New Orleans Saints, NO -4.5, O/U: 51.5

This NFC South divisional matchup is going to look a little different this week on both sides of the ball. For New Orleans, Drew Brees will be out with fractured ribs and a collapsed lung, leaving some sort of combination of Jameis Winston and Taysom Hill to quarterback the Saints. And for Atlanta, we still don’t have enough information regarding Calvin Ridley‘s availability as he should be considered questionable coming off his Week 8 midfoot sprain.

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