DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 15
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: KC -3
Total: 52.0
Team Totals: Chiefs (27.5), Chargers (24.5)
Game Outlook
Sporting the only total north of 50 points in Week 15, this AFC West divisional matchup between the Chiefs and Chargers looks mouthwatering on paper and one that could provide fantasy football fireworks on Thursday evening in SoFi Stadium. The 8-5 Chargers host the 9-4 Chiefs in a game that has massive playoff implications, giving us little concern over any motivation on either side of the ball. Both teams should come out ready to rock.
These two teams met in Kansas City back in Week 3, and the Chargers pulled off the 30-24 upset on the road. Both offenses accumulated more than 350 yards of total offense, and Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert combined for seven passing TD in that barnburner back in late September. If we can anything close to that type of game environment, this game sets up really well to look for ceiling performances from the skill position players at captain – more on that soon.
This Chiefs team has a new look to it over the last six weeks of the year. Back in September, their defense was one of the worst in football, but in this six-game winning streak, K.C. is playing stellar defense, holding opponents to an average of 13.3 points, 2nd best in the league. Excluding their two recent games against the Raiders in which they’ve scored 41 and 48 points, the Chiefs offense has put up an average of 15.7 points per game dating back to Week 7. While the most likely outcome here is that these offenses interact well with each other and this is a pace up spot, there may be an edge in a contrarian approach to building lineups where the under hits in this one. It’s worth noting that dating back to Week 6, in every game played that wasn’t against the Raiders’ Swiss cheese defense, the under hit in K.C. games.
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