DFS Pace of Play for Week 8 (Fantasy Football)
It’s Week 8! Pace of play gives the prospective DFS player an opportunity to consider not just Vegas totals but how the game will be played out in a given week. Game flow is a tricky rabbit hole to jump down when you consider the endless scenarios that can play out in a game. Stacking up-tempo offenses who can keep the ball moving is crucial to gaining an edge in DFS. For every 5 seconds difference in terms of per play, a team runs 15 more plays per game. In DFS world, that’s a massive considering volume is king. In 2019, on average, teams ran a play 0.8 seconds per play slower in positive game scripts than they did in neutral game script.
Each week I’ll highlight five statistics that will affect matchups this week, five games worth stacking, and five dart throws for tournaments.
Make sure to check out the DFS Podcast where Betz and I breakdown the main slate and highlight some of our favorite plays of the week.
Five Stats to Know
1. The Steelers/Ravens game sets up like a defensive slugfest between these two hated AFC North rivals. Last year Lamar Jackson totaled 161 passing yards, threw three picks but the Ravens won 26-23 in OT due to four Justin Tucker FGs. Both of these teams rank in the bottom-6 of pace of play and running the ball is going to be a challenge against the 3rd ranked run DVOA (Baltimore) and #1 (Pittsburgh). Peel back a layer deeper and we could find that there are some hidden DFS gems in this game. Despite the fact Pittsburgh ranks 2nd in defensive DVOA, they are actually 24th against fantasy WRs. For the Ravens, CB Marcus Peters is also a gambling man who has two INTs already but also given up three TDs and the 2nd most receiving yards in the division. I don’t recommend Marquise Brown or Diontae Johnson as more than “one-off” plays but they will likely come in under three percent rostered.