Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 6 (Fantasy Football)

Welcome back to the TPRR report. Let’s recap how things went for us in Week 5:

• Dontayvion Wicks (25% TPRR) continues to be targeted at a high clip, ol’ butterfingers is in boom/bust territory until he can do the receiving part of being a wide receiver.
• Andy Dalton killed everyone who bought in last week. Xavier Legette left early with a shoulder injury, and Diontae Johnson (18% TPRR) wasn’t helping anyone. The Panthers take on the Falcons in Week 6, so Johnson owners should cross their fingers that it’s another divisional barn-burner.
• Jakobi Meyers (22% TPRR) was fine as the WR1 for Las Vegas while Davante Adams is “hurt.”
• The Jaguars’ offense went bananas last week, thanks in large part to an 85-yard TD grab from Brian Thomas Jr. (30% TPRR). Looking at the rookie receivers, Thomas Jr. is up at the top with Malik Nabers and Marvin Harrison Jr.

As a refresher, Targets Per Route Run, or TPRR, is a metric that quantifies a player’s efficiency in earning targets. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn those targets at a high rate is key. Historically, a 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.

Let’s take a look at this week’s leaders. As always, TPRR is part of the story. The number of routes run for each player is an important indicator of game script and a team’s propensity to throw.

Week 5 Reactions

Kavontae Turpin cracks the top 10 in Week 5’s TPRR rankings, but Jalen Tolbert (25% TPRR) is the better pick. Turpin only ran 15 routes compared to Tolbert’s 40 routes on 89% of snaps, so the playing time puts Tolbert’s floor and ceiling higher than Turpin’s. Tolbert should have more opportunities running opposite CeeDee Lamb when Dallas takes on Detroit in Week 6, and he makes for a decent look as a bye-week filler.

His performance was overshadowed by Ja’Marr Chase, but Tee Higgins had a monster game in Week 5, hauling in nine receptions and earning the third-highest TPRR of the week. Keep throwing, Joe!

JuJu Smith-Schuster (28% TPRR) was the big winner of the Rashee Rice targets sweepstakes in Week 5. The challenge is that Patrick Mahomes might give the same attention to another receiver next week. Juju has never shown the consistency to be trusted every week, but he’s worth looking at for WR-needy teams.

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Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 5 (Min 60 routes)
Rank	Player	Team	Routes	Targets	TPRR	+/-
1	Cooper Kupp	LA	70	27	38.6%	0
2	Josh Downs	IND	74	26	35.1%	#N/A
3	Malik Nabers	NYG	152	51	33.6%	-1
4	Rashee Rice	KC	91	29	31.9%	-1
5	Adonai Mitchell	IND	66	20	30.3%	16
6	Justin Jefferson	MIN	150	44	29.3%	4
7	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	130	38	29.2%	-1
8	Wan’Dale Robinson	NYG	160	46	28.8%	-4
9	Ladd McConkey	LAC	84	24	28.6%	-2
10	Diontae Johnson	CAR	159	44	27.7%	-5
11	Nico Collins	HST	162	44	27.2%	-2
12	Tee Higgins	CIN	104	28	26.9%	16
13	Tyreek Hill	MIA	145	39	26.9%	1
14	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	207	55	26.6%	13
15	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	107	28	26.2%	#N/A
16	Rashid Shaheed	NO	130	34	26.2%	-1
17	George Pickens	PIT	132	34	25.8%	0
18	DeVonta Smith	PHI	110	28	25.5%	-2
19	Drake London	ATL	177	44	24.9%	-2
20	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	144	35	24.3%	-12
21	Jordan Whittington	LA	95	23	24.2%	0
22	Jauan Jennings	SF	130	31	23.8%	-9
23	Chris Godwin	TB	160	38	23.8%	0
24	Terry McLaurin	WAS	152	36	23.7%	1
25	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	144	34	23.6%	4
26	Courtland Sutton	DEN	167	39	23.4%	-7
27	Olamide Zaccheaus	WAS	61	14	23.0%	#N/A
28	DeAndre Hopkins	TEN	62	14	22.6%	-3
29	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARZ	151	34	22.5%	3
30	Christian Kirk	JAX	147	33	22.4%	-6
31	Tutu Atwell	LA	109	24	22.0%	6
32	Zay Flowers	BLT	159	35	22.0%	10
33	Deebo Samuel	SF	125	27	21.6%	-21
34	Khalil Shakir	BUF	89	19	21.3%	-1
34	Quentin Johnston	LAC	89	19	21.3%	-1
36	Stefon Diggs	HST	188	40	21.3%	-1
37	Keenan Allen	CHI	80	17	21.3%	#N/A
38	Jayden Reed	GB	132	28	21.2%	1
39	Darnell Mooney	ATL	185	39	21.1%	9
40	Amari Cooper	CLV	209	44	21.1%	6
41	DJ Moore	CHI	191	40	20.9%	0
42	Mike Evans	TB	158	33	20.9%	-4
43	Brandon Aiyuk	SF	168	35	20.8%	7
44	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	183	38	20.8%	-14
45	Davante Adams	LV	126	26	20.6%	-5
46	Chris Olave	NO	137	28	20.4%	-26
47	Jakobi Meyers	LV	182	37	20.3%	-3
48	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	209	42	20.1%	-17
49	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	146	28	19.2%	8
50	Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	185	35	18.9%	11
50	Greg Dortch	ARZ	111	21	18.9%	-14
52	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	207	39	18.8%	-9
53	Jordan Addison	MIN	80	15	18.8%	#N/A
54	Jameson Williams	DET	129	24	18.6%	-5
55	Curtis Samuel	BUF	65	12	18.5%	#N/A
56	Michael Wilson	ARZ	141	26	18.4%	-1
57	Tyler Johnson	LA	83	15	18.1%	-12
58	Xavier Legette	CAR	107	19	17.8%	-11
59	Allen Lazard	NYJ	194	33	17.0%	-3
60	Demario Douglas	NE	132	22	16.7%	16
61	Tyler Lockett	SEA	182	30	16.5%	-9
62	Jerry Jeudy	CLV	196	32	16.3%	-11
63	Jonathan Mingo	CAR	135	22	16.3%	-3
64	Ray-Ray McCloud III	ATL	173	28	16.2%	-12
65	Gabe Davis	JAX	155	25	16.1%	-6
66	DeAndre Carter	CHI	75	12	16.0%	-4
67	Jalen Tolbert	DAL	173	27	15.6%	17
68	Tank Dell	HST	141	22	15.6%	-10
69	Joshua Palmer	LAC	65	10	15.4%	-4
70	Romeo Doubs	GB	124	19	15.3%	-4
71	Tyler Boyd	TEN	112	17	15.2%	-4
72	Calvin Ridley	TEN	119	18	15.1%	-4
73	Rashod Bateman	BLT	146	22	15.1%	13
74	Ja’Lynn Polk	NE	127	19	15.0%	-2
75	Darius Slayton	NYG	174	26	14.9%	14
76	Adam Thielen	CAR	74	11	14.9%	-6
77	Josh Reynolds	DEN	128	19	14.8%	-13
78	Keon Coleman	BUF	109	16	14.7%	3
79	Nelson Agholor	BLT	75	11	14.7%	-8
80	Tre Tucker	LV	164	24	14.6%	-17
81	Rome Odunze	CHI	185	27	14.6%	-7
82	Brandin Cooks	DAL	135	19	14.1%	-9
83	Mason Tipton	NO	64	9	14.1%	#N/A
84	Mack Hollins	BUF	116	16	13.8%	7
84	JuJu Smith-Schuster	KC	87	12	13.8%	18
84	K.J. Osborn	NE	87	12	13.8%	-9
87	Xavier Worthy	KC	141	19	13.5%	-5
88	Alec Pierce	IND	140	18	12.9%	-19
89	Lil’Jordan Humphrey	DEN	117	15	12.8%	-11
90	Jalen Brooks	DAL	64	8	12.5%	#N/A
91	Demarcus Robinson	LA	177	22	12.4%	-8
92	Elijah Moore	CLV	179	22	12.3%	-5
93	Calvin Austin III	PIT	98	12	12.2%	-16
94	Van Jefferson	PIT	108	13	12.0%	0
95	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	163	19	11.7%	-15
96	Luke McCaffrey	WAS	98	11	11.2%	-4
97	Dyami Brown	WAS	74	8	10.8%	-8
98	Mike Williams	NYJ	132	14	10.6%	-10
99	Jalen Nailor	MIN	108	11	10.2%	-14
100	DJ Turner	LV	60	6	10.0%	#N/A
101	Treylon Burks	TEN	73	7	9.6%	-6
102	Parris Campbell	PHI	63	6	9.5%	-6
103	Robert Woods	HST	61	5	8.2%	-6
104	Brandon Powell	MIN	74	6	8.1%	-4
105	Justin Watson	KC	107	8	7.5%	-12
106	Jalen McMillan	TB	86	6	7.0%	-5
107	Jahan Dotson	PHI	129	8	6.2%	-4
108	Braxton Berrios	MIA	78	4	5.1%	-4