Dynasty Film Review: Week 9 (Fantasy Football)
Borg, Betz, and Mike open with a Dyno Sr. standings update, where Mike and Borg’s 14-2 squads share first place. Discussion shifted to Baltimore’s spiraling QB room. With Tyler Huntley sidelined by turf toe, the Ballers hoped for a veteran signing like Jacoby Brissett (which came to fruition) to rescue Zay Flowers‘ WR value. As for Lamar Jackson, despite approaching 30, Mike and Borg view him as an evolved pocket passer boasting a 71% completion rate and 10.1 YPA—making him a prime 2027 buy-low target for rebuilding rosters per Betz.
Borg previews the feature segment where the Ballers answer Dynasty trade questions. But before diving into the meat of the episode, Borg reminds us of the Ultimate Dashboard and Dynasty Rankings at jointhefoot.com.
Weekly Rewind
Adonai Mitchell & the Jets’ Passing Game
Mike watched AD Mitchell, who is commanding high-value deep routes/aDOT targets alongside rookie Omar Cooper. While he had two catchable deep balls drop, his usage indicates he is earning real target share. While an elite talent, Garrett Wilson’s weekly upside is getting capped because intermediate/deep targets are consistently funneling to Mitchell and Cooper. Mitchell has turned into a legitimate Flex2 option in dynasty/redraft lineups. The Jets offense currently ranks 10th in offensive success rate and 12th in EPA per play. This week’s Film Deep Dive elaborates on the complex situation here.
Mike hit the tape to witness AD Mitchell’s command of prime deep targets alongside Omar Cooper Jr. Two missed deep shots aside, Mitchell’s expanding role is earned. Unfortunately for Garrett Wilson, his weekly ceiling stays capped while New York funnels downfield targets away from him. Mitchell rises into a viable 2nd Flex starter across redraft and dynasty. Operating within a Jets offense that ranks 1oth in success rate and 12th in EPA per play, this week’s Film Deep Dive explores this passing attack development.
Antonio Williams
Capitalizing on Terry McLaurin’s Week 8 absence, Williams ran an 88% route rate with a 24% target share (5/7 for 54 yards). His alignment also evolved—shifting from 51% slot through Week 6 to 60% perimeter snaps post-bye. A third-round rookie WR commanding top-read targets at multiple spots points directly to a high career hit rate. As Borg points out, an early floor like this is a tremendous dynasty signal. Betz locks Williams in as a weekly WR3/Flex, anticipating heavy pass volume alongside a mediocre RB tandem of Rachaad White and Austin Ekeler.
Ollie Gordon
Borg asks Betz and Mike if they believe Gordon is good. Mike sees the success within the low-end infrastructure of the Dolphins and believes he is good. Betz is a bit more on the side of “good enough.” Borg’s film study reveals Gordon thrives strictly as a downhill gap/power runner who is tough to bring down. Out of 96 routes run this season, Gordon has only one reception for positive yardage. The rest have gone for zero or negative yards. While his workload volume is strong right now, his lack of pass-catching utility and Miami’s commitment to De’Von Achane make him a classic sell candidate for non-top-three contenders.
Trade Talk
Borg introduces the segment with a caveat: Borg, Betz, and Mike are all legitimate contenders in the Dyno Sr. league, making the discussion tricky.
Targeting RB2s
Targetable RB2s in the dynasty landscape include Javonte Williams, D’Andre Swift, Quinshon Judkins, and Bhayshul Tuten. A trade offer like Jalen Coker + a ’27 2nd is a solid baseline offer for an RB2 like Javonte Williams, though league-wide RB premiums may push the cost slightly higher.
Bhayshul Tuten & the Draft Capital Trap
Tuten has outperformed preseason expectations, putting distance between himself and Chris Rodriguez Jr. Unfortunately, this is also driving up the price to acquire him, or he is seen as a core rebuilding piece. The Ballers warn managers not to fall into the day-3 draft capital trap. Like Dameon Pierce or Tyler Allgeier in past years, fourth-round RBs are constantly at risk of being replaced in subsequent drafts regardless of rookie production.
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Nico Collins
Despite low 16%–18% target shares in recent games, Nico maintains a stellar 2.16 Yards Per Route Run (YPRR)—his fourth consecutive season over 2.10 YPRR. Houston features the seventh-easiest playoff schedule for WRs (Jaguars, Eagles, Packers). He is an ideal target for both contenders and retooling rosters. A late first-round + second-round pick is a realistic and recommended buying price.
Trade Questions
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Matthew Golden & Picks
- Trade Details: Amon-Ra St. Brown + 2nd + 3rd FOR Matthew Golden + 2027 1st (top-3 projected) + 2028 1st + 4th.
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Verdict: Very fair, though he prefers keeping the elite proven asset in St. Brown. Rebuilders do not need to trade away young elite receivers like St. Brown. Unless the first-round pick turns into a transcendent superstar, trading away top-5 fantasy receivers often backfires.
Should Rebuilders Trade Bijan Robinson?
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Verdict: NO. Top-2 dynasty RBs are nearly impossible to replace. Hold Bijan unless a “Godfather”-type offer (e.g., three first-rounders or two 1sts + an elite young WR)
What Does It Take to Upgrade to Elite TE Value?
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Discussion: Unfortunately, the gap between tier-1 TEs (Brock Bowers, Trey McBride) and the rest of the position is massive.
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Takeaway: Trading a mid-tier prospect (like Tyler Warren) will not get you close to Bowers. Elite TEs operate as their team’s WR1s and should be valued accordingly.
Contender Decisions: Ashton Jeanty, Omarion Hampton & De’Von Achane
A contending fantasy manager has these three RBs as his core and is looking to upgrade…
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Ashton Jeanty: Jeanty is operating in a heavily pass-skewed receiving role (comparable to RJ Harvey‘s archetype), deriving high fantasy output through the air rather than running dominant ground lanes.
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Omarion Hampton: Hampton is stuck in an inefficient Chargers offense. You cannot sell him for a second-round pick; Betz advises to HOLD and hope coaching/scheme changes occur in 2027.
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De’Von Achane (RB, MIA): If you are a contender needing traditional RB production, Achane is the asset to trade away for a player like Bucky Irving.
Justin Jefferson: Sell or Hold?
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Verdict: HOLD. Even for a middle-of-the-pack team fighting for a fifth or sixth playoff seed, selling Jefferson at a market discount is bad strategy.
Jonathan Taylor’s Trade Value
A listener asked, “If I’m competing, is Jonathan Taylor worth trading for and what is his value?”
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Status: Taylor’s market value is hovering in trade deadline limbo until his real-life fate is determined.
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Valuation: Acquiring Taylor right now requires a mid-to-late 1st + an ascending piece (e.g., Antonio Williams or Germie Bernard). A single first-round pick alone will not get a deal completed.
IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect
Parker Washington vs. Early 1st & 2027 Rookie Class
A listener asked, “What should a contender give up for Parker Washington? Is he worth an early first?”
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Parker Washington: Washington is currently producing at a level worth more than the 1.05 or 1.06 pick in rookie drafts.
- Jeremiah Smith remains the locked-in 1.01, but the rest of the 2027 class has taken hit value losses, and thus mid-first rookie picks in 2027 carry more risk than previously projected.
Rapid-Fire Trades
Trade 1: Makai Lemon vs. Antonio Williams + 3rd (or 2nd)
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Verdict: Keep Makai Lemon due to superior prospect profile and first-round NFL draft capital, despite concerns around Jalen Hurts‘ medical situation.
Trade 2: Ladd McConkey vs. Mid-2027 1st
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Verdict: Take the Mid-2027 1st. McConkey’s injury history and part-time usage profile make re-rolling for a 2027 first-round pick the higher-upside move.
Trade 3: Ladd McConkey + Rhamondre Stevenson + 3rd FOR Parker Washington
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Verdict: Take Parker Washington. Washington’s breakout role in Jacksonville outweighs the health and upside concerns of McConkey and Stevenson.
Week 8 Film Deep Dive
I never thought I would be talking about THREE relevant WRs on the J-E-T-S Jets! Jets! Jets! After Jason hyped Omar Cooper Jr., I hit the tape expecting him to steal Adonai Mitchell’s job. Then Week 8 arrived, and AD came back with a vengeance. Despite the Ballers’ stance on holding Garrett Wilson, what is this front office thinking? With three top-10 ’27 draft picks building a massive war chest, could New York move Wilson before the deadline? If so, buy low now before he lands in a true offensive powerhouse.
The Data
A Garrett Wilson trade sounds wild, but the Weeks 6–8 metrics paint a surprising picture. While Wilson leads the team in chain-moving first downs, Cooper and AD are outperforming him in efficiency YPRR, total yards, and ADOT.
| Player | YPRR (Rank) | ADOT (Rank) | 1st Downs | Rec Yards |
| AD Mitchell | 6th | 1st | 6 (T-28th) | 142 (29th) |
| Omar Cooper Jr. | 7th | 37th | 6 (T-28th) | 218 (8th) |
| Garrett Wilson | 35th | 23rd | 10 (9th) | 153 (23rd) |
With Cooper and AD both clearing 60 YPG with massive YPR efficiency, New York’s receiving dynamic is shifting fast.
Garrett Wilson is still clearly the team leader by way of total first downs, receptions, and receiving yards. However, we must consider that he has played all eight games to four each for Cooper and AD Mitchell.
The Tale of the Tape
The Raiders entered Week 8 surrendering 109 receiving YPG to WRs, prompting them to bracket Wilson and Cooper in heavy cloud coverage. That opened the door for New York to feature AD Mitchell on early reads. Matched 1v1 frequently, AD systematically exploited defensive backs with explosive acceleration and lethal vertical stem employment. We have always known AD possessed elite athleticism; paired with this level of route-running polish, he becomes an absolute nightmare against man coverage.
AD's explosiveness works well against Zone looks, whether it runs off a defender before the break or lets him split defenders deep. With reliable hands we are sure to see more of this in the coming weeks. pic.twitter.com/r0PNliAvkA
— Vernon Meighan (@FFB_Vern) November 4, 2026
Back to the confluence of game plans, this creates a reasonable explanation for Cooper’s carton-of-goose-eggs stat line. Many fantasy managers panic in these situations. Undisciplined film study can lead to irresponsible conclusions of an abrupt end to Cooper’s mini surge. If you sniff situations like this, pounce!
For some comfort, here are just a few plays (there are many more) where we can see why Cooper was not targeted. Putting the context together, you will see there is no reason to panic. It was simply the mesh of game plans. This could easily flip next week with Cooper going off and AD pulling a Houdini.
- Play 1: Wins quick out-breaking route to the pylon, but first read was to opposite end of the field
- Play 2: Well-timed delayed release into Drag route to tie up defender in traffic, but AD won his Go route early, earning the target
- Play 3: Wins secondary release in stem with swim move, but early pressure forces a quicker throw to Wilson
Wondering what happened to Omar Cooper Jr. in Wk8? AD Mitchell returned and went to work! AD's explosive release and aggressive stem threatened DBs all day. And with little to no tells in his route breaks, he ate up 1v1 matchups all day. pic.twitter.com/dwvBS06qvJ
— Vernon Meighan (@FFB_Vern) November 4, 2026
As a reminder of what Cooper can do, here is some of his Weeks 6 and 7 tape:
OCJ built on his Wk6 explosion w/ a 5-115-1 line on 5 targets in Wk7 against New England. Across this 2-game sample, we see his versatility and explosive playmaking ability. OCJ is a valuable real and fantasy asset. pic.twitter.com/3y4vim0mYJ
— Vernon Meighan (@FFB_Vern) November 4, 2026
Dynasty Thoughts
Wilson sits at WR17 this week; his value is clearly suppressed based on trades I have seen before and after Week 8. Test the waters before the deadline to see if there is a small discount. Buying him at a discount, with the obvious elements capping his upside, could pan out in these scenarios:
- He remains past the trade deadline, AD and Cooper continue building on their resume with big games, and then defenses have to defend Wilson more honestly, creating more room for ceiling performances.
- He is traded at the deadline to a legit offense, and now, you have a boost in production and value.
At worst, nothing changes. Honestly, managers should try to acquire one of these three pieces at the appropriate price points.
- Wilson – ’27 mid-first + ’28 mid-first
- Cooper – ’27 mid-first (a bit of an overpay, but you are trading unknown for known)
- Mitchell – ’27 3rd
Until next time, good luck with your trade efforts!