DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 3 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: BUF -12.5
Total: 49.5
Team Totals: Bills (31.0), Dolphins (18.5)
Game Outlook
Week 3 in the NFL kicks off on Thursday night with an AFC East Divisional matchup between the Bills and Dolphins with Bills Mafia favored by 12.5 points at home. Worth noting, this one opened 10.5 on the lookahead line and has quickly moved in favor of Buffalo. We’ve seen this matchup seven times since Mike McDaniel became Miami’s head coach, and it’s not been pretty if you’re from South Florida. The Dolphins are 1-6 versus Buffalo under McDaniel, and barring a crazy upset, it looks like that number will move to 1-7 given the double-digit spread from Vegas oddsmakers. We’ll talk about DFS game theory and how to approach this slate from a leverage standpoint, but given the team totals and spread, I suspect we’ll see a ton of Bills-heavy lineups on this slate.
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