Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 17 (Fantasy Football)
Greetings championship contenders! You’re one win away from immortality, proving to your league-mates that you were right all along about your squad, and joining the ranks of the other champions of the #footclan. Let’s get it.
Refresher: Targets Per Route Run (TPRR) remains one of the most insightful metrics for understanding player opportunity. It tells us who’s running routes and who’s earning looks when they’re out there. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn these targets at a high rate is key. 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.
Week 16 Leaders
The trend we saw in Week 16 highlights the strengths and weaknesses of Targets Per Route Run. Marquise Brown, Puka Nacua, and Dontayvion Wicks all grace the top 10 for the week, but none of them did much for the semifinals. Hollywood Brown only saw a 27% snap share, while Nacua and Wicks suffered from fewer route opportunities. With Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy rounding into form and the Chiefs on the verge of clinching the number-one seed, it may be too little too late for Brown to make much of an impact. But it’s a positive sign to see him involved on limited snaps.
Dontayvion Wicks has had no problem getting open when on the field, but the whole “catching targets” thing has been a disappointment. If Christian Watson misses the matchup with Minnesota, Wicks is worth a look in the flex.
Michael Penix Jr. is in, and Kirk Cousins is out. Drake London (35% TPRR) left the game with a hamstring injury but was the top target for the number-eight pick while on the field. London should be good to go against the Commanders.

Notes
Keenan Allen has been on a tear, finishing outside the top 15 wide receivers only once since Week 12. Allen and DJ Moore are running enough routes and seeing enough targets from Caleb Williams to be worth starting when Chicago takes on Seattle in Week 17.
No Hurts? No problem. No Pickett? We may have a problem. AJ Brown didn’t miss a beat when Kenny Pickett subbed in for Jalen Hurts after the latter suffered a concussion in Week 16. Pickett did exactly what he should and looked for his number-one receiver to the tune of 15 targets on 37 routes. The Eagles have a shot at the top seed in the NFC North if the Vikings and Lions stumble in the final two weeks of the season, but there’s a very good chance Hurts misses Week 17. As of this writing, it looks like Kenny Pickett will suit up against Dallas, so A.J. Brown should be fine to start. If Pickett and Hurts are both ruled out, however, fantasy managers should probably look elsewhere.
The Full List – Season TPRR Rankings
| Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 16 (Min 225 routes) | ||||||
| Rank | Player | Team | Routes | Targets | TPRR | + /- |
| 1 | Puka Nacua | LA | 247 | 90 | 36.4% | 0 |
| 2 | Malik Nabers | NYG | 510 | 149 | 29.2% | 1 |
| 3 | Cooper Kupp | LA | 328 | 94 | 28.7% | -1 |
| 4 | Josh Downs | IND | 301 | 86 | 28.6% | 0 |
| 5 | Nico Collins | HST | 313 | 88 | 28.1% | 0 |
| 6 | CeeDee Lamb | DAL | 526 | 146 | 27.8% | 0 |
| 7 | Diontae Johnson | BLT | 231 | 62 | 26.8% | 0 |
| 8 | A.J. Brown | PHI | 341 | 90 | 26.4% | 7 |
| 9 | Dontayvion Wicks | GB | 244 | 63 | 25.8% | 1 |
| 10 | Davante Adams | NYJ | 455 | 116 | 25.5% | 1 |
| 11 | Drake London | ATL | 471 | 120 | 25.5% | 1 |
| 12 | Khalil Shakir | BUF | 362 | 91 | 25.1% | -4 |
| 13 | Amon-Ra St. Brown | DET | 487 | 122 | 25.1% | -1 |
| 14 | Justin Jefferson | MIN | 523 | 131 | 25.0% | 2 |
| 15 | Chris Godwin | TB | 244 | 60 | 24.6% | 2 |
| 16 | George Pickens | PIT | 358 | 87 | 24.3% | 3 |
| 17 | Jauan Jennings | SF | 375 | 91 | 24.3% | -8 |
| 18 | Tee Higgins | CIN | 363 | 88 | 24.2% | 6 |
| 19 | Mike Evans | TB | 348 | 84 | 24.1% | -5 |
| 20 | Garrett Wilson | NYJ | 581 | 139 | 23.9% | -2 |
| 21 | Ja’Marr Chase | CIN | 601 | 143 | 23.8% | -1 |
| 22 | Zay Flowers | BLT | 450 | 106 | 23.6% | 4 |
| 23 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | 461 | 108 | 23.4% | 4 |
| 24 | Stefon Diggs | HST | 270 | 62 | 23.0% | 1 |
| 25 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | 413 | 93 | 22.5% | -2 |
| 26 | Keenan Allen | CHI | 476 | 107 | 22.5% | 5 |
| 27 | Courtland Sutton | DEN | 520 | 116 | 22.3% | -5 |
| 28 | Tyreek Hill | MIA | 492 | 109 | 22.2% | 2 |
| 29 | DeAndre Hopkins | KC | 338 | 74 | 21.9% | -1 |
| 30 | Amari Cooper | BUF | 364 | 79 | 21.7% | -1 |
| 31 | Michael Pittman Jr. | IND | 401 | 87 | 21.7% | 1 |
| 32 | Jaxon Smith-Njigba | SEA | 570 | 123 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 33 | Wan’Dale Robinson | NYG | 533 | 115 | 21.6% | 6 |
| 34 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARZ | 462 | 98 | 21.2% | 2 |
| 35 | Adam Thielen | CAR | 235 | 49 | 20.9% | #N/A |
| 36 | Calvin Ridley | TEN | 490 | 102 | 20.8% | -1 |
| 37 | Jakobi Meyers | LV | 515 | 107 | 20.8% | -4 |
| 38 | DeVonta Smith | PHI | 376 | 78 | 20.7% | 3 |
| 39 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WAS | 232 | 48 | 20.7% | #N/A |
| 40 | Deebo Samuel | SF | 383 | 79 | 20.6% | 5 |
| 41 | Terry McLaurin | WAS | 476 | 98 | 20.6% | -4 |
| 42 | D.K. Metcalf | SEA | 496 | 100 | 20.2% | 1 |
| 43 | Quentin Johnston | LAC | 330 | 66 | 20.0% | -1 |
| 44 | Jayden Reed | GB | 346 | 69 | 19.9% | 0 |
| 45 | DJ Moore | CHI | 598 | 119 | 19.9% | 1 |
| 46 | Darnell Mooney | ATL | 491 | 96 | 19.6% | 4 |
| 47 | Demario Douglas | NE | 384 | 75 | 19.5% | 1 |
| 48 | Noah Brown | WAS | 278 | 54 | 19.4% | 1 |
| 49 | Troy Franklin | DEN | 234 | 45 | 19.2% | -2 |
| 50 | Jordan Addison | MIN | 420 | 79 | 18.8% | 2 |
| 51 | Christian Watson | GB | 266 | 50 | 18.8% | 0 |
| 52 | Romeo Doubs | GB | 329 | 60 | 18.2% | 1 |
| 53 | Tank Dell | HST | 447 | 81 | 18.1% | 5 |
| 54 | Xavier Legette | CAR | 374 | 67 | 17.9% | 2 |
| 55 | Devaughn Vele | DEN | 270 | 48 | 17.8% | -1 |
| 56 | Xavier Worthy | KC | 480 | 85 | 17.7% | 6 |
| 57 | Jameson Williams | DET | 413 | 73 | 17.7% | 0 |
| 58 | Jerry Jeudy | CLV | 630 | 111 | 17.6% | -3 |
| 59 | Elijah Moore | CLV | 527 | 89 | 16.9% | 0 |
| 60 | Jaylen Waddle | MIA | 440 | 74 | 16.8% | 1 |
| 61 | Gabe Davis | JAX | 252 | 42 | 16.7% | 2 |
| 62 | David Moore | CAR | 307 | 51 | 16.6% | -2 |
| 63 | Calvin Austin III | PIT | 308 | 51 | 16.6% | 1 |
| 64 | Rome Odunze | CHI | 555 | 90 | 16.2% | 4 |
| 65 | Cedric Tillman | CLV | 278 | 45 | 16.2% | 0 |
| 66 | Joshua Palmer | LAC | 370 | 58 | 15.7% | 9 |
| 67 | Jonathan Mingo | DAL | 238 | 37 | 15.5% | -1 |
| 68 | Greg Dortch | ARZ | 253 | 39 | 15.4% | 1 |
| 69 | Allen Lazard | NYJ | 352 | 54 | 15.3% | 2 |
| 70 | Lil’Jordan Humphrey | DEN | 268 | 41 | 15.3% | -3 |
| 71 | Ray-Ray McCloud III | ATL | 481 | 73 | 15.2% | 2 |
| 72 | Keon Coleman | BUF | 264 | 40 | 15.2% | -2 |
| 73 | Sterling Shepard | TB | 316 | 47 | 14.9% | 4 |
| 74 | Alec Pierce | IND | 377 | 56 | 14.9% | 2 |
| 75 | Rashod Bateman | BLT | 404 | 59 | 14.6% | 3 |
| 76 | Jalen McMillan | TB | 323 | 47 | 14.6% | 4 |
| 77 | Brandin Cooks | DAL | 242 | 35 | 14.5% | -5 |
| 78 | Tim Patrick | DET | 300 | 43 | 14.3% | -4 |
| 79 | Michael Wilson | ARZ | 454 | 65 | 14.3% | 0 |
| 80 | Dyami Brown | WAS | 243 | 34 | 14.0% | 4 |
| 81 | Parker Washington | JAX | 322 | 44 | 13.7% | 4 |
| 82 | Darius Slayton | NYG | 487 | 66 | 13.6% | 0 |
| 83 | Tyler Boyd | TEN | 396 | 53 | 13.4% | 3 |
| 84 | Kayshon Boutte | NE | 411 | 55 | 13.4% | 3 |
| 85 | Kendrick Bourne | NE | 248 | 32 | 12.9% | -2 |
| 86 | Jalen Tolbert | DAL | 508 | 64 | 12.6% | 3 |
| 87 | Tyler Lockett | SEA | 505 | 62 | 12.3% | 1 |
| 88 | Ja’Lynn Polk | NE | 247 | 30 | 12.1% | 3 |
| 89 | Demarcus Robinson | LA | 439 | 53 | 12.1% | 3 |
| 90 | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | TEN | 368 | 44 | 12.0% | 0 |
| 91 | Ricky Pearsall | SF | 226 | 27 | 11.9% | #N/A |
| 92 | DJ Turner | LV | 238 | 28 | 11.8% | 1 |
| 93 | Mack Hollins | BUF | 362 | 42 | 11.6% | 1 |
| 94 | Tre Tucker | LV | 576 | 66 | 11.5% | 1 |
| 95 | Andrei Iosivas | CIN | 482 | 52 | 10.8% | 3 |
| 96 | Van Jefferson | PIT | 336 | 35 | 10.4% | 3 |
| 97 | Mike Williams | PIT | 306 | 31 | 10.1% | 4 |
| 98 | Mason Tipton | NO | 238 | 24 | 10.1% | -2 |
| 99 | Jalen Nailor | MIN | 333 | 33 | 9.9% | 1 |
| 100 | Justin Watson | KC | 366 | 27 | 7.4% | 2 |
| 101 | Jahan Dotson | PHI | 348 | 21 | 6.0% | 2 |

Comments
Great write up!
Is this data available in any of the downloadable content either in the UDK or somewhere else on your site?