Targets Per Route Run Report: Week 10 (Fantasy Football)

Welcome back to the TPRR report. As a refresher, Targets Per Route Run, or TPRR, is a metric that quantifies a player’s efficiency in earning targets. For wide receivers, a target is the most important underlying metric to predict consistent fantasy output, so a player’s ability to earn these targets at a high rate is key. Historically, a 20% TPRR is a good minimum threshold we want to see, and the best of the best consistently see TPRRs north of 30%.

Let’s take a look at this week’s leaders, noting that TPRR is only part of the story. In most leagues, there are only five weeks left of the fantasy regular season. A bye week at the wrong time could spell disaster for teams on the playoff bubble, so players often become available as managers scramble for wins. The Browns, Packers, Raiders, and Seahawks are on bye in Week 10.

Data from pff.com

Week 9 Reactions

Cooper Kupp

Expectations were tempered for Puka Nacua in Week 10 after he re-aggravated his knee injury, but it was Puka’s fist that took him off the field. Cooper Kupp, to the surprise of no one, took advantage, posting his highest TPRR (35%) since Week 1.

Serious Flex Appeal: Courtland Sutton

Anyone putting their trust in Courtland Sutton (28% TPRR) was rewarded again in Week 9, as he has solidified his role as Bo Nix‘s number one target. The Broncos’ offense is still shaky and faces a tough test on the road against the undefeated Chiefs. Sutton should have enough volume to be a safe start in Week 10, as long as Nix and the offense don’t completely collapse.

Indianapolis Colts

Joe Flacco has already been named the Colts’ Week 10 starter, boosting the ceiling of Josh Downs, who only trails Malik Nabers and Cooper Kupp in TPRR for the season (full list below.) A note of caution, however, as the Colts have some tough weeks ahead, taking on Buffalo this week before heading to New Jersey to face the Jets in Week 11. Michael Pittman Jr. (16% TPRR in Week 9) has not posted a TPRR above 20% since Week 4, but his best games have been with Flacco under center.

Darnell Mooney Is a Top-24 Receiver

The Falcons’ passing offense ranks in the top 10 in yards per game, yards per attempt, passing completions per game, and just about any other passing category. Atlanta’s defense, on the other hand, has given up 20+ points in every game except the season-opening loss in Pittsburgh (18-10). Drake London (hip injury; day-to-day) should suit up against division-rival New Orleans this week, but Mooney’s role is secure as a preferred target of Kirk Cousins regardless of London’s availability.

Trade Deadline WRs

A couple more receivers were traded at the deadline, making the 2024 in-season WR carousel the biggest in recent memory. Davante Adams, DeAndre Hopkins, Diontae Johnson, Amari Cooper, and now Jonathan Mingo and Mike Williams were all moved in the last three weeks. Mingo and Williams have both failed to make an impact this season. Williams could provide an additional outlet for Russell Wilson, but his 8% TPRR for the season ranks 104th out of 108 eligible receivers. Jonathan Mingo hasn’t been much better (15% TPRR) and finds himself on a Cowboys team with a losing record and a quarterback about to hit the IR. Yikes.

The Full List – Season TPRR Rankings

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Targets Per Route Run – Through Week 9 (Min 120 routes)
Rank	Player	Team	Routes	Targets	TPRR	+ /-
1	Cooper Kupp	LA	138	49	35.5%	#N/A
2	Malik Nabers	NYG	261	81	31.0%	-1
3	Josh Downs	IND	177	53	29.9%	-1
4	Justin Jefferson	MIN	253	69	27.3%	-1
5	Nico Collins	HST	162	44	27.2%	0
6	CeeDee Lamb	DAL	300	81	27.0%	2
7	Garrett Wilson	NYJ	347	92	26.5%	2
8	Amon-Ra St. Brown	DET	223	59	26.5%	3
9	Dontayvion Wicks	GB	159	42	26.4%	-5
10	Diontae Johnson	BLT	218	57	26.1%	-3
11	Tee Higgins	CIN	165	43	26.1%	-1
12	George Pickens	PIT	218	56	25.7%	0
13	Tutu Atwell	LA	149	38	25.5%	0
14	A.J. Brown	PHI	130	33	25.4%	-8
15	Drake London	ATL	280	70	25.0%	-1
16	Chris Godwin	TB	244	60	24.6%	0
17	Jauan Jennings	SF	147	36	24.5%	0
18	Wan’Dale Robinson	NYG	294	71	24.1%	-3
19	Khalil Shakir	BUF	186	44	23.7%	3
20	Zay Flowers	BLT	268	63	23.5%	6
21	Rashid Shaheed	NO	171	40	23.4%	0
22	Ladd McConkey	LAC	219	51	23.3%	-2
23	Terry McLaurin	WAS	260	60	23.1%	-5
24	Davante Adams	NYJ	222	51	23.0%	15
25	Stefon Diggs	HST	270	62	23.0%	-2
26	Tyreek Hill	MIA	240	55	22.9%	-7
27	Chris Olave	NO	188	43	22.9%	-2
28	Olamide Zaccheaus	WAS	123	28	22.8%	1
29	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARZ	239	54	22.6%	-2
30	Courtland Sutton	DEN	303	66	21.8%	7
31	Deebo Samuel	SF	180	39	21.7%	0
32	Calvin Ridley	TEN	255	55	21.6%	0
33	DeVonta Smith	PHI	214	46	21.5%	-5
34	Mike Evans	TB	196	42	21.4%	-1
35	Christian Kirk	JAX	220	47	21.4%	-1
36	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	287	61	21.3%	-1
37	Amari Cooper	BUF	269	57	21.2%	-1
38	Jakobi Meyers	LV	255	54	21.2%	5
39	DeAndre Hopkins	KC	156	33	21.2%	6
40	Brian Thomas Jr.	JAX	248	52	21.0%	-16
41	Brandon Aiyuk	SF	215	45	20.9%	-3
42	Darnell Mooney	ATL	307	64	20.8%	4
43	Ja’Marr Chase	CIN	327	68	20.8%	-1
44	Quentin Johnston	LAC	131	27	20.6%	-4
45	Troy Franklin	DEN	122	25	20.5%	-15
46	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	360	73	20.3%	2
47	Michael Pittman Jr.	IND	269	54	20.1%	-6
48	Jayden Reed	GB	236	47	19.9%	-4
49	Noah Brown	WAS	157	31	19.7%	3
50	Demario Douglas	NE	234	46	19.7%	-1
51	Keenan Allen	CHI	194	38	19.6%	-4
52	Tyler Johnson	LA	136	26	19.1%	1
53	DJ Moore	CHI	306	58	19.0%	-3
54	Xavier Legette	CAR	211	39	18.5%	0
55	Christian Watson	GB	151	27	17.9%	12
56	Romeo Doubs	GB	248	44	17.7%	-5
57	Tank Dell	HST	267	47	17.6%	5
58	Nelson Agholor	BLT	129	22	17.1%	-1
59	Allen Lazard	NYJ	255	43	16.9%	2
60	Lil’Jordan Humphrey	DEN	179	30	16.8%	10
61	Gabe Davis	JAX	210	35	16.7%	1
62	Michael Wilson	ARZ	244	40	16.4%	-4
63	Greg Dortch	ARZ	177	29	16.4%	-3
64	Jameson Williams	DET	178	29	16.3%	0
65	Keon Coleman	BUF	221	36	16.3%	-10
66	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	237	38	16.0%	-7
67	Cedric Tillman	CLV	214	34	15.9%	6
68	Elijah Moore	CLV	311	49	15.8%	4
69	Jerry Jeudy	CLV	377	59	15.6%	5
70	Xavier Worthy	KC	238	37	15.5%	-14
71	Calvin Austin III	PIT	161	25	15.5%	0
72	Darius Slayton	NYG	324	50	15.4%	-4
73	Tyler Lockett	SEA	320	49	15.3%	-8
74	Jordan Addison	MIN	178	27	15.2%	-5
75	Josh Reynolds	DEN	128	19	14.8%	0
76	Tyler Boyd	TEN	210	31	14.8%	-10
77	Rome Odunze	CHI	286	42	14.7%	0
78	Jonathan Mingo	CAR	185	27	14.6%	-2
79	Joshua Palmer	LAC	172	25	14.5%	4
80	Jalen Coker	CAR	124	18	14.5%	2
81	Ray-Ray McCloud III	ATL	292	42	14.4%	-3
82	Rashod Bateman	BLT	258	37	14.3%	2
83	Ja’Lynn Polk	NE	184	26	14.1%	-2
84	Brandin Cooks	DAL	135	19	14.1%	-4
85	Demarcus Robinson	LA	265	36	13.6%	7
86	Jalen Tolbert	DAL	313	41	13.1%	-1
87	Jalen McMillan	TB	169	22	13.0%	0
88	Tre Tucker	LV	317	41	12.9%	2
89	Alec Pierce	IND	251	32	12.7%	-1
90	Simi Fehoko	LAC	126	16	12.7%	1
91	Nick Westbrook-Ikhine	TEN	127	16	12.6%	#N/A
92	DJ Turner	LV	169	21	12.4%	-6
93	Jalen Nailor	MIN	171	21	12.3%	-4
94	Jalen Brooks	DAL	167	20	12.0%	#N/A
95	Mason Tipton	NO	202	24	11.9%	-2
96	Parker Washington	JAX	128	15	11.7%	#N/A
97	Trey Palmer	TB	129	15	11.6%	4
98	Mack Hollins	BUF	209	24	11.5%	0
99	Sterling Shepard	TB	182	20	11.0%	4
100	Kendrick Bourne	NE	128	14	10.9%	#N/A
101	Van Jefferson	PIT	184	20	10.9%	-5
102	Kayshon Boutte	NE	195	21	10.8%	-3
103	Andrei Iosivas	CIN	281	29	10.3%	-6
104	Mike Williams	NYJ	215	21	9.8%	-4
105	Luke McCaffrey	WAS	153	14	9.2%	-3
106	Justin Watson	KC	194	16	8.2%	-1
107	Xavier Hutchinson	HST	135	11	8.1%	-3
108	Jahan Dotson	PHI	198	13	6.6%	-2