Week 4 NFL Blind Spots and Sleepers

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@allinkid

Week 4 NFL DFS Sleepers

In case you’re new to this/me, this sleeper piece aims for contrarian/GPP players, but more importantly, it focuses on matchups to exploit using APA (Adjusted Points Allowed). APA is a metric that I created years ago, adjusting for the strength of opponent, etc. Obviously, facing Patrick Mahomes every game would inflate the points allowed versus seeing Eli Manning under center. APA does a quality job at evening out the strength of opponents to give you a true Fantasy points allowed average (+/- compared to positional league average).

As always, catch me @allinkid and keep reading to see my FanDuel DFS sleepers for Week 4.

Quarterback APA

RANK TEAM OPP APA +/- RANK TEAM OPP APA +/-
1 DAL NO 30.5 +12.7 17 PIT CIN 17.1 -0.7
2 SEA ARI 29.2 +11.4 18 CIN PIT 16.7 -1.1
3 WSH NYG 26.1 +8.3 19 KC DET 16.6 -1.2
4 LAC MIA 24.7 +6.9 20 NO DAL 15.8 -2.0
5 CAR HOU 21.4 +3.6 21 DET KC 15.8 -2.0
6 NYG WSH 21.0 +3.2 22 MIN CHI 15.2 -2.6
7 TEN ATL 20.6 +2.8 23 HOU CAR 15.2 -2.6
8 OAK IND 19.4 +1.5 24 NE BUF 15.0 -2.9
9 IND OAK 19.3 +1.5 25 DEN JAX 14.2 -3.6
10 BAL CLE 18.9 +1.1 26 MIA LAC 14.0 -3.9
11 CLE BAL 18.1 +0.2 27 JAX DEN 14.0 -3.9
12 GB PHI 18.1 +0.2 28 ATL TEN 13.6 -4.3
13 LAR TB 17.8 -0.1 29 TB LAR 12.4 -5.4
14 ARI SEA 17.4 -0.4 30 PHI GB 11.1 -6.7
15 CHI MIN 17.3 -0.5 31 BUF NE 8.5 -9.3
LEAGUE AVERAGE 17.8

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