Thursday Night DraftKings Showdown for Week 14
It’s been a while since we’ve had a Thursday Night Football DFS Showdown slate, but this week’s matchup between the 6-6 New England Patriots and the 8-4 Los Angeles Rams in a game that features a middling 44.5 with the Rams favored by 6 points at home. This game features a rematch of Super Bowl LIII in which the Patriots defense gave Jared Goff and the Rams fits in a 13-3 victory for the Pats. Will we see a similar outcome or will we see a higher scoring affair? Predicting the game script will be helpful in building showdown lineups, so before we get to the top plays on the slate, let’s take a look at some efficiency metrics for each team.
Team Pace and Efficiency Metrics
Pace of Play: LAR: 6th, NEP: 21st
Total Plays Per Game: LAR: 4th, NEP: 22nd
Pass Play Percentage: LAR: 24th, NEP: 32nd
Run Play Percentage: LAR: 9th , NEP: 1st
Pass Defense DVOA: LAR: 4th, NEP: 30th
Rush Defense DVOA: LAR: 7th, NEP: 28th
Injury to monitor: Cam Akers DNP on Monday, Limited Tuesday (shoulder) but expected to play
Jared Goff $16,500
The price on Goff makes him a bad value on the slate relative to our expectations in this matchup, but the QB of the favored team according to Vegas is always in play as the captain on showdown slates. With a healthy 25 point implied total, the Rams are likely to score three TDs on Thursday, giving Goff the opportunity for a multi-TD performance. He’s shown his floor several times this ceiling but has also been able to put up some ceiling games as well and can be easily stacked with two of the Rams pass catchers.