NFL DFS DraftKings GPP Picks: Week 14 (Fantasy Football)
For the purposes of this article, I’ll be highlighting plays that I believe have upside at reduced roster percentages, but that doesn’t mean we can’t sprinkle in some cash plays into our GPP lineups as well. For my full breakdown on DraftKings for Week 11 cash games, be sure to check out my DraftKings cash picks here.
When building your GPP lineups, be sure to reference our Roster Percentage Report as well as our DFS Rankings in order to identify plays who have a solid projection yet may be undervalued by the field. In order to compete in GPPs, we’ll want to utilize a combination of cash plays and GPP plays in order to build solid lineups without sacrificing too much in the way of projection. For more on how to use roster percentages and build strong GPP lineups, be sure to check out this episode of the DFS Podcast.
Josh Allen $8,300 @ KC
Allen and the Bills travel to Arrowhead for a matchup with the Chiefs that could be high scoring if you follow the betting markets. This one has been bet up a full point and a half to 48.5 points as of Friday morning, which is the highest on the slate. At 6-6, the Bills come out of their bye week desperate for a win to keep their playoff hopes alive, so we should see an aggressive game plan for Allen. The Chiefs D has regressed recently, ranking 22nd in EPA per play over the last month compared to 5th in EPA per play from Weeks 1-8. Now, KC is dealing with major injury issues on the defensive side of the ball, and we just saw Jordan Love carve ’em up for 7.4 YPA and 3 TD passes. The other thing to love with Josh Allen is that he’s been running more; From Weeks 1-6, his designed rush rate was just 6%. Since Week 7, his designed rush rate is all the way up to 15%. Allen could smash this week, and it looks like most of his pass catchers are falling through the cracks when it comes to roster percentages.