DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 9 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: PIT -2.5
Team Totals: Steelers (19.5), Titans (17.0)
Week 9 kicks off with a Steelers/Titans matchup that projects to feel like the most ‘Thursday Night Football’ matchup of all time. No game in Week 9 carries a lower total than the current 36.5 line on most books, and this one was bet down a half point early in the week after it opened at 37. Nevertheless, there’s money to be made here, so let’s dive in!
The Titans have announced Will Levis will make his second career start after torching the Falcons for four TD passes a week ago. In that Week 8 matchup, the Titans only logged a 43% neutral pass rate, the fifth-lowest mark on the week. From a season-long standpoint, they rank middle of the pack with a 56% neutral pass rate and have the eighth lowest pass rate over expectation. A run first offense, the Titans definitely didn’t ask Levis to do much in his first start, but he was ultra efficient, averaging over 8 YPA on 29 attempts. With this game projected to play close as the spread indicates, we should largely expect a run-first approach from the Titans on a short week.