DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 4 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: CIN -4
Team Totals: Bengals (25.5), Dolphins (21.5)
The Dolphins travel to the Jungle to face the Bengals for a Thursday night clash between two offenses that have upside written all over them. Cincy got off to a slow start in Weeks 1 and 2, but predictably turned the corner last week against the Jets. Per Rotoviz, the Benglas have jumped the Raiders in neutral situation pass rate, throwing at a healthy 74% clip when games are close. Given the tight spread, if that trend continues, Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have slate winning upside, especially against a Miami defense that’s getting torched to the tune of 7.3 yards per attempt while ranking 24th in explosive pass rate. So long as Zac Taylor doesn’t revert back to his conservative play calling tendencies, the Cincy passing options look enticing here.