DFS Thursday Night Football: DraftKings Showdown for Week 1 (Fantasy Football)
Before we get into the specifics of this matchup and how to approach it for the DraftKings showdown slate, I want to point people back to a few pieces of evergreen content that I think are extremely valuable if you’re serious about winning showdown all season. I’d recommend reading/listening to this content before proceeding, especially if you’re new to showdown.
1. How to Win Showdown Contests: A detailed article looking at the data and strategy behind winning showdown lineups.
2. DFS Showdown Strategy Podcast: A thorough discussion on how to beat showdown, looking at the game theory and how to leverage the field.
DraftKings Sportsbook Lines
Spread: BUF -2.0
Total: 51.5
Team Totals: Bills (26.75), Rams (24.75)
Game Outlook
The Bills travel to Los Angeles for a matchup against the defending Super Bowl champs highlighting two of the NFL’s best offenses in 2021. Not surprisingly, this game carries a healthy 51.5-point total to kick off Week 1 and the regular season. Home teams are 16-3 in the Thursday night season openers (11-4-4 ATS), notable as this game carries less than a field goal spread, giving life to a Rams “upset” at home. This is notable as 73% of the cash is on the Bills in the betting markets. Should DFS gamers follow suit and heavily utilize Bills in their roster, constructing lineups around a Rams victory may be a way to gain leverage on the field in a contrarian way. It’s worth noting since Sean McVay became head coach, the Rams are 5-0 in Week 1 games, scoring an average of 32.6 points (30+ in 4 of those games).
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